7:05AM-THURS: DYNAMIC WEATHER CHANGES ON THE WAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK… HAPPY VETERANS DAY AND A THANK YOU TO ALL THAT HAVE SERVED… THREE PERIODS OF STORMINESS TO MONITOR, TWO OF WHICH MAY BRING SNOW TO NORTHWEST MA AND SOUTHERN VT… HEAVY RAIN FRIDAY WITH THUNDER POSSIBLE AND GUSTY SOUTHERLIES… WE CALM BACK DOWN BY MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK … MY 2022 WEATHER CALENDAR SALE (WHICH USUALLY SELLS OUT) ENDS A WEEK FROM SUNDAY…
Good morning, everybody, and as Ringo Starr says in the new Beatles movie which I cannot WAIT to see, “another bright day!” We’re lucky to have had such a calm, sunny, seasonable to milder than seasonable stretch – it was glorious. It’s ending after today, however, and there’s lots to discuss.
Before we jump into all of the details below, I’ve got a note from our local and delicious sponsor, #TandemBagelCo, who just opened a new location in West Springfield, MA.
A NOTE FROM OUR SPONSOR:
DHTWN Is Sponsored by Members, Patrons & Tandem Bagel Company: No matter the weather, Tandem Bagel is always there for you at several valley locations to make your mornings brighter! With bagels baked fresh daily, house-whipped cream cheese, coffee, and tons of lunch options, Tandem is the perfect quick stop for lunch, breakfast, or a coffee and bagel to go. Find them in Easthampton, Northampton, Hadley, Florence (and now West Springfield!), or use their super-streamlined online ordering tool by visiting their website: https://www.tandembagelco.com
DISCUSSION:
For our Thursday, we have a nice slice of high pressure pressing through the region, and it will be perfectly-timed for supportive of any Veterans Day events, and I want to say a heartfelt thank you to all that have served this country – thank you.
Mostly sunny skies will be with us for a time, but they will be filtered with increasing high clouds as the day wears on. Highs will reach the low to mid 50s with a light south wind by afternoon.
The aforementioned clouds will eventually lower and thicken this evening as strong low pressure winds up over the Great Lakes and sends a lobe of energy northeast toward New England tonight, with lows landing in the low 40s and then hanging there into the pre-dawn hours, and maybe be rising a little by dawn.
As this lobe of energy and convection tracks into and east of the Appalachians, it will develop a secondary surface low center overnight.
That low center will track northwest of us through New York state tomorrow aiding southerly flow advection into our region, bringing scattered showers to our region after midnight, and likely more so towards dawn.
Friday is a soaking wet day, with a showery morning, followed by heavier showers and at times, a stratiform rainfall from about 11am to 5pm, is how it looks now for the heaviest/steadiest period of rainfall.
Some thunderstorms are possible as well as a thin squall line tries to develop and past east through the region during the mid to late afternoon.
Highs will be mild with southerly flow, reaching the upper 50s to low 60s, and southeasterly winds will gust 25-35mph, possibly reaching 40mph in a few high terrain spots in the western hilltowns. The valley floor itself may see gusts to 25mph, though I don’t expect heaviest winds to manifest there.
Showers sweep out of here after sunset, and we should be drying by midnight, with lows dropping into the mid to upper 30s.
—————————————
Dave’s 2022 Weather Wall Calendar offers
Community Connection & a 5-min Daily Respite…
SECURE CALENDAR ORDER LINK (Check Option, too):
https://westernmassweather.com/product/2022-dhtwn-weather-wall-calendar/
~ Enjoy our year’s weather in calendar form
~ Bring the region you love indoors with you
~ Affordable, universal holiday gift option
~ Sale ends before Thanksgiving
~ Order today!
—————————————
A brief wedge of high pressure for the first half of Saturday brings mostly sunny skies, but another shortwave will round the base of an upper level trough over the eastern Great Lakes (a trough is just an area high up that features lower pressures than average).
Highs will reach the mid to upper 50s, but clouds will develop later in the day.
This disturbance will run northeast right over New England and could be a potent little (albeit brief) wave of energy and will bring a period of rain and snow showers to the region, with Saturday night snow showers most likely over northwest MA (western Franklin, northern Berkshire) into southern VT. A few coatings can’t be ruled out, with lows in the upper 20s to mid 30s.
For Sunday, colder air will work in behind this little atmospheric bowling ball, and highs will only reach the mid to upper 40s, and possibly just the low 40s in southern VT under partly sunny skies, with lows in the upper 20s to low 30s.
Lastly, we have a third and final area of low pressure, this time potentially developing along the coastline and tracking through eastern MA into Maine, with the potential for a moderate to major snowstorm in northern NH and northern ME!
Highs will only be in the 40s on Monday, and either side of freezing at night, but scattered rain and snow showers due to upslope northwesterly winds wrapping around the back side of this coastal low may induce lake effect snow showers that could affect our Taconics, Berkshires, western hilltowns, southern VT and Litchfields Monday night into Tuesday.
After the lake effect engine dies down Tuesday afternoon, it looks like will get some high pressure in here by mid week with an upper level ridge that should raise our temps well into the 50s with sunnier conditions as we close out this next round of dynamic Autumn weather in southern New England.
Have a great day, folks, and please check my holiday gift shopping offering in the form of my 2022 Weather Wall Calendar, as the sale ends a just week from this Sunday and they usually sell out (you can get info at the secure order link below).
https://westernmassweather.com/product/2022-dhtwn-weather-wall-calendar/