SNOW SHOWERS TONIGHT IN SVT, WMASS, AND SWNY WITH SOME COATINGS POSSIBLE.. WINTER STORM WATCHES CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION… PLOWABLE SNOWFALL STILL EXPECTED, BUT TRENDS INDICATE A MODERATE SNOWFALL WITH DOUBLE-DIGIT ACCUMULATIONS UNLIKELY… SNOW MOVES IN 7-9PM SUNDAY, AND EXITS 7-9AM MONDAY MORNING, FAST MOVER… COLD AIR DRAINS INTO WMASS NEXT WEEK… (6:15pm, Saturday, 3/2/19)…

Good evening everybody, going to keep it fairly brief here as you can read in a prior post and last night’s possible for storm set up details.

The bottom line is that Sunday night’s storm is going to track flatter than thought yesterday or the day before, which will keep its highest impacts more to the south and east of our region, though northeast CT, eastern Hampden County and southern Worcester County should see the highest snowfall totals. I will bullet things out for you below.

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Secure Support Link (Check, PayPal, Cards): https://westernmassweather.com/donate ------------------------------------------ SUMMARY --As our mid level disturbance sweeps west to east, some snow showers are breaking out across SVT and NY this evening --These will track west to east through the region and some coatings are possible, with an isolated 1" amount in high terrain where orographic uplift squeezes some more snow out of the clouds --Lows tonight will drop into the low to mid 20s as fair weather moves in during the pre-dawn hours into Sunday morning --Partly to mostly sunny skies arrive for Sunday morning and we will undergo some more melting with the strong March sun and highs in the 30s above freezing --While precipitation may start as a few scattered rain showers before sunset, any liquid will turn to snow as it moves into the region between 6-9pm southwest to northeast --Snow will fall moderate to heavy at times tomorrow night as our storm tracks south of Nantucket off shore --Our upper level trough in southern Canada is going to squash this system a bit more south and east, so it won't be able to get the heaviest precip back into WMass --Snow will fall tomorrow night and into early Monday morning before quitting between 7-9am --I think in general we should expect 3-6" of snowfall, with some 8" amounts probable in eastern Hampden County, northeast CT and CMass, especially southern sections toward Worcester --A plowable snowfall is still expected, but as you can, things have changed in the wake of our departing storm from today --After we clear out Monday, we're cold for next week with highs in the 20s and unseasonably cold I will post an updated full report tomorrow morning with the latest on our incoming snowfall, so stay tuned for that folks. I hope you have a great night, and if you haven't yet had a chance to contribute to my 2019 Annual Support Drive to help ensure this work endures, you can click below for secure options by Check, PayPal or Debit/Credit Card. LINK: https://www.westernmassweather.com/donate Any amount helps, thank you very much! ------- WINTER STORM WATCHES HAVE BEEN HOISTED ACROSS ALL OF WMASS, CMASS, AND NORTHERN CT ALONG WITH THE CENTRAL & SOUTHERN TACONICS OF E.NY FOR SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING... TODAY IT LOOKS LIKE A MORE MODERATE SNOWSTORM, BUT STILL PLOWABLE... THIS MORNING'S STORM BUSTED SOUTH AND EAST... QUITE COLD NEXT WEEK WITH SOME SNOW POSSIBLE NEXT WEEKEND... PLEASE POST ANY CONDITION REPORTS BELOW, ESPECIALLY IF YOU ARE IN NORTHERN CT OR SOUTH OF THE PIKE... (3/2/19, 8:30am, Saturday) Good morning everybody, well many of us are waking up and have woken up to the concern I posited late last night, which was that less snow would result from this morning's coastal system. WHAT HAPPENED? Our low pressure this morning has tracked more flatly, and so the heaviest precipitation axis tracked well south and east of our region. This combined with very dry air to the north and west, causing any accumulating snow to be confined mainly to along and south of the Pike this morning. The back edge of the snow is already to Poughkeepsie NY and headed east through the southern Taconics. We should end up with a coating to 3" of snowfall along and south of the Pike. Some scattered coatings are possible east of I-91 and north up to the level of Rt. 9. **>>> 2019 ANNUAL SUPPORT DRIVE <<<** DO YOU RELY ON DHTWN's hyper-local weather reporting? If so, I’d gratefully welcome your patronage so I can continue it. Secure Support Link (Check, PayPal, Cards): https://westernmassweather.com/donate ----------------------------------------- TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY'S SUNSET We should remain mostly cloudy today with highs in the low 30s. A northern stream mid-level disturbance will be moving east through the region tonight with a period of snow showers that could produce an additional coating to an inch in spots, with lows dropping into the low 20s. For tomorrow, we'll enjoy a bit of subsidence between systems with mostly sunny skies in the first half of the day, with highs in the low to mid 30s and light winds. PLOWABLE SNOWSTORM ON THE WAY Based on how things look this morning, I would say that we are more likely than not looking at a more moderate snowfall, something on the order of 4-8" across the region, or perhaps 5-10" at the high end. Let's look at why we're more likely to see totals a little lighter than what was seen yesterday. TODAY'S STORM TRACKED FLATTER As I alluded to in yesterday's report, because today's storm tracked a bit flatter, it has sort of carved out that trend in our regional atmosphere. MID LEVEL PATTERN IS UNAMPLIFIED In addition, as you can see in the attached map, the mid to upper level pattern shows a flattened trough over southern Canada into the northern U.S. You like to see these more north to south, more vertically-oriented. As such, this will encourage a flatter track, though Sunday night's storm is still expected to take more of a northeasterly track, given the anticipated jet stream flow (see attached map). All of this to say, I am leaning toward more of a 4-8" snowfall, beginning Sunday around 6pm and ending earlier then expected, by about 6-9am on Monday morning. This storm will still have impacts on the morning commute, and still looks to be a plowable snowfall, with most of us seeing either side of a half a foot of snow. The snow, with a more southerly track, will be more on the powdery side, so no outages are really expected at the moment. We're cold next week, but mostly fair and dry. I will update later this afternoon when new information is in, and keep you in the loop! I hope you have a great day, and if you haven't yet had a chance to contribute to my DHTWN Annual Support Drive for 2019, you can do so securely by clicking the link below (Check, PayPal and Card options). LINK: https://www.westernmassweather.com/donate -----------------------------------------------