Good afternoon everybody, isolated, cellular-type thunderstorms are forming across the region this afternoon, and one or two may become severe and form supercells, capable of damaging wind gusts and large hail.
This is in advance of the main squall line forming out over central NY and pressing east. All showers and storms are tracking west to east, or west-southwest to east-northeast, so keep an eye to the western sky.
I have attached edited satellite and radar stills to try and paint a picture of what’s going on currently. Please click on the photos to learn more.
If damaging wind gusts were to form, the best chance for that would be along and south of the MassPike.
Please post your condition reports below, and I hope your neighborhood gets some much needed rain without any crop or property damage.
Get inside when these move through, thank you…
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[STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE TODAY WITH STRAIGHT LINE WIND DAMAGE THE BIGGEST THREAT, HAIL A SECONDARY THREAT… NOON TO 9PM IS THE TIME FRAME FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS TODAY… PATCHY DENSE FOG BURNS OFF WITH TIME THIS MORNING… CHANCE FOR MORE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS EXISTS MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS WELL… SOME FOLKS WON’T GET MUCH RAIN, SOME WILL GET 1-3″ OF RAIN, HIT OR MISS… MUGGY THROUGH MID WEEK BUT NOT HOT… WE DRY OUT BY LATE WEEK… 7:15AM SUNDAY]
Good morning, America, how are ya? Don’t you know that I’m your native son? I’m the train they call the City of New Orleans… and I’ll be gone 500 miles when the day is done!
I used to get up and watch TV when I was a kid, back when they would shut down stations overnight, and that would be the Arlo Guthrie song they’d play as the station “came alive” again at 6am. Pretty cool memory.
Anyway, before I get to my morning oatmeal I’m peck, peck, pecking away over here, so allow me to jump into a Summary format because Uncle Davey’s hungry and is almost ready to strap on the feed bag.
As my old friend and former bandmate F. Alex Johnson once said before a gig we did at Smith College in ’96 to a sparsely-occupied room with students pressed up against the walls and windows of the hall, let’s get down to business kids!
SUMMARY
–Patchy dense fog will burn off with time today
–We’ve got an upper low positioned up in Quebec that is joining forces with a ridge in the northern central U.S. and a trough in the western U.S. to create a blocking pattern in the atmosphere called an omega block, which refers to the shape it makes resembling the letter in the Greek alphabet
–The counterclockwise circulation around our upper low will send a disturbance through southern New England today
–Clouds will be on the increase, and scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop by late morning/early afternoon near the Berkshires, NW CT and SW VT
–This activity will continue eastward through WMass, northern CT, SVT, SWNH and CMass this afternoon and evening
–The Storm Prediction Center has the entire region placed in a Slight Risk for severe thunderstorms, which means a few isolated strong/severe cells are possible with straight line wind damage being the main threat, and hail a secondary threat
–Highs today will reach the upper 70s to low 80s, and dewpoints will rise well into the 60s
–A cold front crosses the region tonight, but will slow down and stall off of the east coast by tomorrow
–Lows tonight will rest in the low to mid 60s and it will continue to be muggy
–Muggy conditions and mostly cloudy skies continue through mid week, and so does the chance for scattered showers and thunderstorms, some of which may be strong
–For Monday, highs will be in the mid 70s to low 80s under mostly cloudy skies and again we’ll see scattered showers and thunderstorms at times
–Lows Monday night will be in the upper 50s to low 60s with showers possible, especially early
–Tuesday looks like the next best chance for more widespread showers and thunderstorms as the flow develops off of the ocean
–Highs will only be in the 70s Tuesday with that more easterly flow, and lows will be near 60 degrees
–Wednesday features one more day of mostly cloudy skies and inclement conditions, as our slow-moving upper low over Quebec Province starts to get the boot east and out to sea from an incoming undulation of the jet stream
–Expect more scattered showers and thunderstorms on Wednesday with highs in the mid 70s to low 80s, and lows near 60 degrees
–While we won’t get the more stratiform type rainfall that many of us got yesterday south of the Rt. 2 corridor, a number of towns should get additional substantial rains through mid week, so some will do better than others
–By Thursday, the pattern breaks down, although some scattered showers are possible then as well with highs in the 80s
–Right now, the 4th of July looks mostly sunny, drier, and with highs either side of 80 degrees
Have a great day, and I will update later as weather conditions warrant, given the potential for severe weather, so stay tuned to the page, and visit it even if I don’t show up in your feed…