Good morning everybody, clouds will continue to build into the region from west to east this morning as a disturbance and warm front tracks west to east out of central NY and right through the WMass region.
Much needed showers and rainfall will move through between noon to 6pm from west to east (which means, starting around noon in the Berkshires, with progressively later start time the further east you go).
The best instability will be located on the southern flank of this system, which would mean CT has the best chance for isolated strong thunderstorms to develop. Wind shear will be strong, with not a ton of instability, but rotating storms are possible, especially in northwest CT which is where there is a very low chance for an isolated tornado this afternoon.
Highs today will be in the 75-80º range, and dewpoints will be in the low to mid 60s, so it will be muggy but should be fairly tolerable for many.
Any showers and storms quit by 8 or 9pm tonight, and lows will dip into the low 60s with patchy fog possible given air temps and dew temps will merge in spots.
For Sunday, it will be warmer under partly sunny skies with westerly flow, and highs well into the 80s. We’ll have another chance for scattered afternoon strong to severe thunderstorms, and if we’re lucky, we’ll get some more beneficial, much-needed rains. Lows will be near 60 degrees.
The period of Monday through Wednesday will feature strong influence from an upper level low pressure system over Quebec, that will keep cycling disturbances and periods of instability through the region, resulting in afternoon scattered showers and thunderstorms each day.
Monday will feature highs in the upper 70s to low 80s under partly sunny skies, while Tuesday and Wednesday will feature more clouds than sun with highs staying in the 70s. Lows will be either side of 60 degrees each night, and moderate amounts of humidity will continue, but it shouldn’t become oppressively humid.
We should start to lower the humidity by the late week period, but temps will come up well into the 80s with a lower chance of scattered afternoon instability showers.
I certainly hope that this is the 7 day period that will start to make a bit of a dent in the drought conditions many of us are experiencing.
Everybody visualize together, now…