WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES POSTED FOR ALL OF WMASS, AS WELL AS WORCESTER COUNTY NORTH OF THE PIKE FOR POSSIBLE FREEZING RAIN TOMORROW MORNING… OTHERWISE, A RATHER HO-HUM RAIN EVENT FOR TOMORROW FOLLOWED BY A BLUSTERY SUNDAY AND A SNOW THUMP MONDAY NIGHT INTO THE TUESDAY MORNING COMMUTE, WITH A CHANGE TO ICE/RAIN BY NOON ON TUES…
(5:50pm Friday)

Good evening everybody, while I think the Winter Weather Advisory might be a bit overblown for this setup, it does serve to highlight the potential for some areas of freezing rain overnight. To the dashes!

–For tonight, clouds continue to build into the region, which will prevent temps from dropping very low
–Lows are expected to be in the low to mid 30s
–Precip moves in before dawn, from south to north
–How fast it gets in will determine how much of it we can get to freeze on surfaces before we warm up into the upper 30s tomorrow. A cold, raw rainy day
–I do think some folks will see freezing rain tomorrow morning, but the timing of the lowest temps with precip onset is going to be close
–Best to assume some icing in at least the high elevations during the first half of the morning
–I just don’t think temps, given a moistening surface overnight, will have that far to drop, but we shall see
–After any morning icing, we go to showers during the day, which should last into the night
–Steadiest rain falls the further south and east you go. I expect a quarter to maybe half inch of rain to fall, could be a bit more in northeast CT and southern Worcester County
–We drop to the upper 20s to low 30s tomorrow night, so some black ice is possible, especially along and north of the Rt. 2 corridor up into VT/NH
–For Sunday, incoming high pressure from the north, and our departing low to the east will create a pressure gradient capable of gusting NW winds to 40mph, so some Wind Advisories may be posted
–Highs on Sunday will reach the upper 30s under mostly sunny skies but then plummet into the teens at night as cold air finally advects into the region
–Monday starts off fair and mostly sunny, but clouds will build ahead of an incoming warm front attached to a parent low pressure area that will pass through the eastern Great Lakes Monday night into Tuesday
–While this is a mild setup for us here in southern New England, we will drop into the 20s Monday night which will provide an excellent overruning surface for a front-end snow thump into the morning commute
–Before we change to rain Tuesday mid/late morning, we could see 2-4″ of snow possibly from this, which may bring the plows out for some towns/cities
–After Tuesday rain, a second smaller system may whip through and bring rain changing to snow showers Tuesday night
–Wednesday through Friday look increasingly colder, which may be a setup for a larger winter storm next weekend. It’s a long way off, so stay tuned

Give yourself some extra time tomorrow morning in case the Attack of the Ice Glaze visits upon your home and workplaces, and have a great night!
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NICE DAY AHEAD… FREEZING RAIN POSSIBLE IN SPOTS TOMORROW MORNING BEFORE CHANGING TO PLAIN RAIN SHOWERS SATURDAY INTO THE EVENING… WE GET COLDER NEXT WEEK, ALONG WITH A CHANCE FOR SNOW NEXT TUESDAY, AND THE FOLLOWING WEEKEND WHEN IT COULD GET EVEN COLDER… (6:40am Fri)

Good morning everybody, while the jet stream flow off the Pacific Ocean is raging west to east, it’s not possible to get a lot of sustained or severe Arctic outbreaks in New England.

However, it does look like next week is colder after a milder weekend, and the following weekend could be the coldest we’ve seen in a bit.

Double-Dashes? Meet the people.
People? Meet Double-Dashes.

–Sunny day today with highs in the low to mid 40s with a light southwest wind
–High clouds move in overnight, which will allow lows to drop into the upper 20s to low 30s
–Rain will begin early on Saturday morning
–Some areas in the high terrain like the Berkshires, SVT, western hilltowns and the Litchfield Hills will see a period of freezing rain early Sat. AM
–This will make driving hazardous for some folks for a time
–Southwest winds will bring plain rain to the rest of us in the lower valley
–The bulk of the rain falls south of NCT from this system, but we will still get some rainy and shower weather in here
–The high terrain may have extended icing towards noon, it will have to be watched with highs currently expected to be in the mid/upper 30s.
–A few upslope snow showers are possible on Sunday across the high terrain with highs in the 30s
–Lows will be cold in the teens as cold high pressure spills southeast into New England from Ontario in advance of our next storm system for Tuesday
–On Monday, expect highs in the upper 20s to low 30s with clouds building in late
–A storm system will be tracking northeast through western NY by Tuesday
–This will spread accumulating snow over our region Monday night into Tuesday morning
–What happens to precip type and snow/ice/rain line and where it sets up will be determined primarily by whether or not a secondary low forms in later over the Gulf of Maine, or will it form earlier and off the Mid-Atlantic coastline, tracking toward Cape Cod
–The latter scenario would indicate that plowable snow across southern New England would be a good bet
–Otherwise we’d go from a snow to ice/rain mix, and back to snow Tuesday night as the system departs and tapers
–This bears watching and could be the most signifcant winter weather event since the November 20th storm that brought 6-12″of snow to the region
–More upslope snows possible Wednesday as the storm pulls away
–That storm will pull in colder air as it pulls away for the following weekend when more wintry weather is possible.

Have a great day!