Good evening everybody, it sure has been a pretty day so far, and the Pioneer Valley has been going through a final burst of moderate to heavy snow as the main area of atmospheric lift trucks east through and away from our region.
How much snow do you have and what are your current conditions?
Once this cluster of snow bands gets out of here, we will transition (a couple of hours earlier than expected) into a more intermittent snow showery regime, with some flurries, some lulls, some light sleet or freezing drizzle possible through midnight into the early pre-dawn hours with only additional scattered coatings expected.
After midnight, the low now centered in western NY will approach the region and bring another area of lesser lift with it, which should fill in the precipitation shield a bit and produce another coating to an inch into Wednesday morning. I am not sure that every single square foot of our region sees this additional very light accumulation, but it’s possible.
Lows will be in the low to upper 20s tonight, and highs tomorrow will reach the low to mid 30s.
We should taper off after the morning to just some flurries during the day, and be otherwise overcast.
A final upper level system will work through the region from our northwest during the evening, which may produce some more upslope snowfall for our high terrain regions west of the I-91 corridor for an additional coating to 1″ or so by Thursday morning.
All in all, it looks like the 2-4″ in the Pioneer Valley points east and south should hold, with 3-6″ in the Berkshires, western hilltowns, Litchfield County, Taconics and southern VT/southwest NH, with the potential for some spikes to 7″ or 8″ in isolated areas in said high terrain west of I-91.
Yes, it’s going to be brutally cold Thursday night into Saturday night, and yes we are still watching for a potential snowy Nor’easter in early Feb. (next week), and I will touch on those aspects of this recent wintry bout of weather tomorrow morning.
I may update again later tonight to see how radar may be showing development of post-midnight additional light to moderate snow.
Let me know how much you have received so far, and thanks so much for all of your reports!! :-)
———-
[WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES HAVE BEEN EXPANDED REGION-WIDE… SNOW ONSET A TAD LATER, MORE LIKE LATE AFTERNOON TOWARD SUNSET… MODERATE TO BRIEFLY HEAVY SNOW THUMP TO LAST ABOUT 4-6 HOURS UNTIL AROUND OR LIKELY A COUPLE HOURS BEFORE MIDNIGHT… THEN MORE SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS, FLURRIES, FREEZING DRIZZLE PATCHES OVERNIGHT, WITH ADDITIONAL SNOW SHOWERS WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT… THE ARCTIC UNLEASHES THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT, BUT DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED… STILL WATCHIN EARLY NEXT WEEK FOR POSSIBLE WINTER STORM.. 7:15AM TUES]
Good morning everybody, beautiful sunrise this morning! Clouds will continue to build and thicken during the day.
Dry cold air is in place, with temps in the teens to low 20s, and even some single digits in northwest MA and SVT. Highs will reach the upper 20s to low 30s.
Our storm will track ENE out of Ohio and into western PA/NY and spread its warm front toward our region, as the secondary coastal storm kicks east out to sea off of the Mid-Atlantic coast.
This will spread a snow shield of steady/moderate intensity snow, which may be briefly heavy at times from late afternoon through the late pre-midnight hours of tonight, when lows will dip into the mid 20s.
We could see snow rates of .5-.75″ per hour, and maybe see one or two hours with a 1″ per hour snowfall rate in the eastern Berkshires and western hilltowns, as well as SVT.
Snowfall amounts should generally be 3-6″ in the Berkshires, western hilltowns, northern Litchfield County, southern VT, and the Monadnock Region of southwest NH. Elsewhere, we can expect 2-4″ of accumulation in the rest of northern CT, WMass, CMass and the Keene region.
The bulk of our snow falls during tonight, before a dry slot punches into the region and breaks up the snow shield.
However, the low will still be approaching from the west, and so broad, less-intense lift will still be present over the region through Wednesday night.
Around/after midnight, this means we could see some briefer lulls, some patches of freezing drizzle as lift fails to reach up and into the best snow growth zone, lighter more scattered snow showers, flurries, you get the idea.,
This periodic, intermittent type presentation lasts into Wednesday morning and afternoon, with a possible resurgence of steadier light to perhaps moderate snow later in the afternoon and evening as a weaker wave dives through the flow. This may produce additional very light accumulations.
Highs tomorrow reach the low to mid 30s and lows will again be in the low to mid 20s as snow showers weaken and abate by Thursday morning.
Thursday’s highs in the mid 20s to low 30s under partly sunny skies are reached earlier in the day as an Arctic cold front zips through in the afternoon, and unleashes a swath of Arctic air into New England via northwesterly flow.
Lows will plummet into the low to mid single digits with northwest winds picking up and gusting to 30mph at times. This will bring wind chills to near 15 below zero in spots.
Friday is Hoth in WMass. Highs in the low to mid teens under sunny skies, northwest winds gusting to 35mph, wind chills in the single digits below zero during the day, then lows either side of 0 degrees, and wind chills down to as low as 25 below zero.
Saturday will be sunny with highs in the mid teens to low 20s and continued blustery conditions, with lows in the single digits.
For now Sunday looks sunny as well, with highs in the 20s, but the Sunday night into Tuesday period is murky, with winter storm potential, so we will need to get closer to that event to parse out and refine details.
Let’s deal with the snowfall in front of us, it surely will pretty up the place!
Have a great day, and I will update again this evening, so stay tuned!