WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES HAVE BEEN HOISTED FOR WMASS, CMASS, SOUTHWEST NH, AND NORTH-CENTRAL / NORTHEAST CT FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT… A MIX OF SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED TO FALL INTERMITTENTLY, WITH PRECIP BEGINNING AS EARLY AS MID TO LATE MORNING… 7:05pm Sunday…
Good evening everybody, I hope you caught the sun dogs out there early this afternoon, they were gorgeous! Really brilliant colors, but they didn’t last very long as the cirrus clouds responsible for producing them kept drifting by, kind of like the days of our lives.
For those who don’t know what a sun dog is, click here:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sun_dog
As for tonight, clouds will continue to increase and thicken and lows will dip into the teens.
We have strong high pressure off to our east, low pressure centers northwest of us, and a positively-leaning mid-level trough heading toward the eastern U.S.
At the same time, a storm will develop off the Carolinas tomorrow and track southeast of The Benchmark (a point that is about 80 miles due south of Nantucket).
While air will be cold in the morning, we have a southerly flow that will be *slowly* dislodging that cold through Monday afternoon and night.
As precipitation blooms south of and lifts northeast into southern New England tomorrow morning, we could see mixed showers of snow and/or freezing rain arriving into northern CT and WMass by mid to late morning.
This activity will continue, intermittently, throughout Monday afternoon and night, ending before dawn on Tuesday.
Temps are expected to warm into the afternoon to the low to mid 30s, so it’s a tricky precipitation-type forecast given that temps will be marginal (just either side of freezing). It precipitates harder for a while and it snows, it lightens up and it’s freezing rain or freezing drizzle, with plain rain becoming more likely for the southern Pioneer Valley down into northern CT as the afternoon leads into the early evening.
As of now, the precipitation looks to be showery, not a solid shield.
A general coating to 2″ of snow is possible with a light ice glaze from any freezing rain showers, or freezing drizzle patches.
Temps will hang either side of 30º Monday night, and precip will quite before dawn on Tuesday.
Fair weather follows after morning clouds and a rain or snow shower Tuesday morning, with highs in the 30s to low 40s through the week with partial sunshine on average.
Have a great night, and I will update you in the morning, sleep tight…
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[AM REPORT] BEAUTIFUL SUNDAY WITH AN OFFSHORE STORM EXPECTED TO BRING A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW TO THE WMASS REGION STARTING MONDAY AFTERNOON, BUT WITH MOST OF ITS EFFECTS FROM MONDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY… HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF WORCESTER COUNTY INTO THE EASTERN HILLTOWNS OF WMASS AND NORTHEAST BEST CHANCE FOR LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS… TUESDAY INTO THE START OF NEXT WEEKEND LOOKS FAIR AND MILDER… 8:10am Sun…
Good morning everybody, temps did get below zero for some folks, but mostly bottomed out in the single digits above zero, creating a very cold morning.
High pressure is building through the region today at the surface, and aloft through Monday.
Highs will only make it into the low to mid 20s for highs, but sunshine will be abundant early, with some high clouds later in the day, and building overnight with lows in the mid to upper teens.
For Monday, a storm will be gathering near the Carolinas, and is expected to pass southeast of New England Monday night into early Tuesday morning.
With our high pressure to the east, southerly flow will develop and push milder air into southern New England, prompting highs to rise into the mid to upper 30s under mostly cloudy skies.
Some scattered showers of rain, possibly mixed with snow, are expected in the afternoon, but the main precipitation shield doesn’t overspread parts of our region until Monday night.
Again, we’re assuming that the offshore low will try to link up with a disturbance northwest of us and produce what’s called an inverted trough over parts of our region, which could enhance the precipitation intensity.
At this point, it’s reasonable to expect that we’ll see temps cool over night into the 25-30º range with any mixed rain/snow showers turning to snow, which may accumulate a coating to 2″, with the 1-2″ range most likely in the high terrain in the eastern hilltowns of WMass, Worcester County, and northeast CT, with coatings possible elsewhere. I will update more on this as we get closer, but it doesn’t look like a big deal at the moment.
This activity will end Tuesday morning and ship out to sea, and then it looks like we’ll get fair conditions and slightly above-average temps for the rest of the week, averaging in the 35-40º range with lows in the 20s under partly to mostly sunny skies.
Have a great day, and I’ll keep you updated on our minor Monday night event!