Western Mass Weather for February 4, 2020

[ICY THURSDAY AM COMMUTE] CLOUDY BUT GENERALLY DRY TODAY… COLD FRONT WORKS THROUGH TONIGHT, COLDER TOMORROW WITH SOME SUNNY BREAKS… SNOW AND SLEET ARRIVES AFTER MIDNIGHT PRE-DAWN HOURS OF THURSDAY AM… LIKELY SLEETING WITH POSSIBLE FREEZING RAIN FOR THURSDAY AM COMMUTE AS SNOW QUICKLY SHIFTS NORTH INTO SVT BY DAWN… ICE AND RAIN THURSDAY, A LULL THURSDAY AFTERNOON, THEN HEAVIER RAINS THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY ENDING AS SNOW SHOWERS FRIDAY AFTERNOON WITH LIGHT ACCUMS IN THE BERKSHIRES POSSIBLE… FAIR SATURDAY WITH MORE SNOW POSSIBLE SUNDAY, BUT LIKELY RELEGATED SOUTH OF THE PIKE AND EAST OF I-91… MILDER EARLY NEXT WEEK… MAY THE COFFEE (OR TEA) BE WITH YOU THIS MORN… (6:50am Tues)

Good morning everybody, I arose today with vim and vigor sans the piss and vinegar – I’m feeling punchy AND salty, so let’s get down to business, let’s get this show on the road, let’s engage, let’s make it so (#1), on with the show this is it, and *insert here* every other quick quip from my middle-aging hayes-y memories of TV culture that I can muster at this hour. Shadowfax, show us the meaning of haste… we ride to Minas Tirith, I mean the Synopsisummary!

(Yes, I am a Lord of the Rings movie series nerd).

SYNOPSISUMMARY
–The big picture shows high pressure near the Great Lakes and high pressure down over the Bahamas
–Between the two is a giant plume of moisture spreading northeast towards New England (insert two-note Jaws theme here)
–A large mid-level trough (i.e. are of lower pressures than average aloft which begets foul weather) is swinging east through the Rocky Mountain chain, kicking this moisture and surface low pressure for Thursday our way
–The current local picture features generally cloudy skies with temps in upper 20s to mid 30s generally
–Virga (i.e. precip in the sky that is evaporating before reaching the ground) is flying over head in northern CT
–Expect a mostly cloudy day with a few pockets of drizzle possible, but likely we’re dry. Mild with highs in the low to mid 40s, maybe a few upper 40s south in CT
–For tonight, a cold front drops south out of northern New England, pushed south by high pressure tracking east from the Great Lakes destined for Maine by late Wednesday night
–Lows will drop into the mid to upper 20s as clouds re-thicken with a mixed shower possible late
–For Wednesday, the front continues south of the WMass region, and so partly sunny skies should develop from north to south with highs only in the low to mid 30s
–By Wednesday night surface low pressure will be tracking northeast out of the South and making a beeline to New England
–Clouds will increase, and lows will be cold, bottoming out in the low 20s
–After midnight on early Thursday morning, snow will overspread the region, and a coating to 2″ should fall before changing to sleet by dawn Thursday morning, with milder air rushing in aloft
–The Thursday morning commute looks messy with some snow possible still in southern VT and southwest NH, but with sleet north and east and freezing rain south and west in western Massachusetts, northern CT and CMass
–Some light sleet accumulations are possible and freezing rain ice accretion as well before noon on Thursday
–As this wave lifts through, we may see a change to rain showers south of Rt. 2 with icing continuing north of Route 2, but I will have to update this, as these mixed events are challenging to be sure
–Highs will be in the mid 30s, and we should see a bit of a break in the action, or at least lightening or more showery presentation by Thursday afternoon
–However, as that Rocky Mountain trough now swings northeast through the Great Lakes by Thursday night, another wave of low pressure (this time with plenty of Gulf of Mexico moisture) will bring milder air and heavy rains Thursday night and Friday first half of the day
–Lows Thursday night will hang in the mid 30s, and highs Friday will reach to near 40 degrees
–As colder air works in on the back side, we turn to light snow Friday afternoon with some light accumulations possible, especially over the Berkshires, western hills and Worcester hills, and points north into VT and NH
–Lows Friday night will plummet into the teens, so watch for black ice late Friday night and early Saturday morning!
–Saturday is cold and dry with partly sunny skies, highs in the low to mid 30s with lows in the upper teens
–A cold enough air mass will be in place on Sunday, that if low pressure tracks to our south and gets close enough (it may stay out to sea) we could get an actual snowstorm, though it looks like a light to moderate event if it does get close enough to us
–Milder temps early next week look more likely

Have a great day, peeps!

By |2020-02-04T06:54:41-05:00February 4, 2020|Current Forecast|

To share this, choose a platform:

Go to Top