THREE PERIODS OF ACCUMULATING SNOW POSSIBLE FOR WMASS AND SURROUNDING COUNTIES THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON… FRIDAY MORNING SOUTH OF THE PIKE, SATURDAY MORNING FOR OUR SOUTHERN AND EASTERN ZONES, AND A MODERATE TO MAJOR SNOWFALL POSSIBLE LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO THE FIRST HALF OF MONDAY… COLD BUT FAIR WEATHER FOLLOWS NEXT WEEK AS WINTER HOLDS STRONG… (4:45PM Thursday)

Good evening everybody, after our severe wind event on Monday and last night’s #SugaryFluffFest2019 of 2-6″ across the region, even more snow and winter weather is looking more probable over the upcoming 72-84 hour period, starting tomorrow morning and lasting through early Monday afternoon.

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SNOW POTENTIAL #1 (VERY LIGHT)
For tonight, clouds will be increasing across the region from south to north in response to a weak wave of low pressure tracking east toward the Mid-Atlantic coastline.

We should see enough clearing before clouds build in that we drop quickly into the upper single digits to low teens. It might even drop into the mid single digits in SVT and SWNH further away from the building cloud deck.

This also means that black ice will from where we saw some melting from the high almost-March sun angle, despite cold air temps, so alertness is your friend.

As high pressure races east through northern New England, our little Mid-Atlantic wave zips west to east, and could bring some coatings to northern CT from roughly 4am to 10am or so. The best chance for any very, very light accumulations would be in the southern halves of the 4 northern CT counties (Litchfield, Hartford, Tolland and Windham from west to east).

Otherwise, any flurries or snow moves east by noon in northern CT which takes longer to get sunny, while the rest of us in MA, VT and NH see a mostly sunny day develop later in the morning with highs in the low to mid 30s. Clouds will build back into the region Friday night with lows in the low 20s.

SNOW POTENTIAL #2 (LIGHT/MODERATE)
By Friday night, yet another flat-tracking weaker storm with southern stream origins will bring with it a little more oomph. This system will track west to east off the Mid-Atlantic coastline once again on Saturday morning.

This one looks to come a bit more northerly and have a bit more moisture with it.

However, it should be affecting more of southeastern New England than southwestern New England with accumulating snowfall of up to half a foot of heavy wet snow (no fluff this time, folks) back east.

For our region, it’s hard at the moment to see how we get any accumulation north of the Rt. 2 corridor. It looks like 1-3″ is possible east of I-91 and south of the Rt. 9 corridor with 2-4″ possible in northeast CT and southern Worcester County, with a bit more south and east of there toward the Cape and Islands.

This system zips out of here by noon on Saturday, with highs expected to again be in the low to mid 30s as we enter a bit of a lull.

Then we have the northern stream disturbance that will move through Saturday evening with a period of snow showers, and some very light accumulations will be possible along and north of the Rt. 2 corridor in WMass and CMass and up into VT and NH.

Lows should drop into the mid 20s with lighter winds.

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SNOW POTENTIAL #3 (MODERATE/MAJOR)
Sunday will start off as a partly sunny day with highs well into the 30s across the region.

We will be watching a more amplified storm system with substantially more strength and moisture associated with it track northeast out of the lower Tennessee Valley and zip northeast toward the Jersey coastline.

While we don’t have any super cold air to our north, and we don’t have any blocking ridges to our north and east to slow this system down, this one could actually pack a fairly quick wintry punch for late Sunday night and into the first half of Monday.

Its timing of moving in during the night when temps will be in the 20s is advantageous for snow lovers in terms of getting a nice late winter hit before Spring flexes by mid March.

It’s too early to discuss details, but if this storm tracks “right”, it could produce a 12-hour burst of moderate to heavy snow of a wetter consistency, which may bring some power outage potential into play.

It feels and seems like this could be a 4-8″ or 6-10″ type of snowstorm, with some areas of the high terrain seeing a foot, but it’s WAY too early to talk about amounts. I mention those as a guide to potential impact.

After that, we get cold next week, with generally dry conditions.

Ok, that’s the skinny for now folks!

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OUR LIGHT/MODERATE SNOWSTORM KEEPS ON TRUCKING EAST… PLEASE POST YOUR SNOWFALL TOTALS BY TOWN BELOW… A COUPLE OF FAIR WEATHER DAYS TODAY AND TOMORROW GIVE WAY TO TWO STORM SYSTEMS THIS WEEKEND INTO MONDAY… COLD NEXT WEEK… (6:25am Thursday)

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TODAY’S DATE: Thursday, February 28, 2019

TERRESTRIAL:
HIGH AIR TEMPS: Highs should rise into the low 20s in the Berkshires/Taconics/Litchfields, western hilltowns, SVT/SWNH, and N. Worcester County, while we reach the mid to upper 20s for the Pioneer Valley floor down into northern CT and in S. Worcester County.

LOW AIR TEMPS: Lows should drop into the upper single digits to low teens region-wide

SKIES: Mostly cloudy with a few snow showers early, then partly sunny skies develop as the day wears on

WINDS: Light northwest wind

NWS ALERTS: WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES EXPIRE THIS MORNING…

CELESTIAL:
–OUR STAR WILL RISE AT: 6:27am this morning
–OUR STAR WILL SET AT: 5:38pm this evening
–OUR MOON WILL SET AT: 12:16pm this afternoon
–OUR MOON WILL RISE AT: 3:35am tomorrow morning
–MOON PHASE: Waning Crescent

SUMMARY:
–Good morning everybody, after our lull last night snow filled back in and brought additional accumulation during the pre-dawn hours to the region
–As our storm departs today, high pressure will build east in behind it, and produce a cold and calm late winter day to illuminate our new wintry scene
–A very cold night is on tap tonight with lows in many spots in the single digits as high pressure builds in with fresh snowpack on the ground and ice underneath that, so walk with gingerly-ness
–For Friday, we should continue to enjoy the effects of high pressure with mostly sunny skies and highs in the low to mid 30s
–Lows will drop into the upper teens to low 20s
–By Saturday morning, we should be looking at the first of two storms for the first half of the weekend
–On Saturday morning, the northern stream disturbance will be passing to our northwest most likely bringing snow changing to rain. Precip looks to be generally light at the moment
–Highs again will be in the low to mid 30s
–Then by Saturday evening, the southern stream system will pass off the east coast to our south, and how close it gets, will determine whether or not we can get some light accumulating snow into our region
–Best chance for snow Saturday night is south of the Pike and east of I-91. Lows will be in the 20s.
–Then on Sunday, a stronger storm system will be rounding the southerly extent of a trough in the eastern U.S.
–Depending on how strong our Saturday systems are and exactly where they track, will determine remnant flow and where exactly the Sunday night system tracks
–Without a ton of cold air immediately to our north, we will need a perfect track off the Mid-Atlantic coast and over or south of Nantucket to get accumulating snow in here
–Otherwise, a snow to rain potential is there as well. Lots to figure out
–It does look cold and generally dry at the moment next week to start the month of March

Ok folks, that about does it for now, I hope you have a great day, and if you haven’t yet had a chance to contribute to my DHTWN Annual Support Drive for 2019, you can do so securely by clicking the link below (Check, PayPal and Card options). Thank you.
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