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Good evening folks, a pretty dreary day has ended, and now we enter the mist of the night.
It’s quite a saturated surface atmosphere we have in our region this evening, and some patchy fog is ongoing and will continue for a time, and then dissipate later at night, with partly to mostly cloud skies and lows in the upper 20s so watch for a few local slick spots.
Sunday will feature some sun spritzes early, but then we’ll see clouds increase toward the noon hour and beyond as a pair of weaker systems will pass both northwest of us, and southeast of us.
This will puts in a bit of a precipitation gap, resulting in either side of a quarter inch of rainfall on the way through Monday morning.
Highs Sunday will be in the low to mid 40s with continued snow melt, and lows will be in the low to mid 30s as the dendritic surface residue of our wintry February pattern continues to recede into the rear view mirror, fading from white to brown, as brown prepares to transform into green in the not too distant future.
By Monday, a southwest flow will set up, and surface winds from that direction will pick up in the afternoon as an Arctic blast presses southeast, impinging on that flow, which will help to pick up winds to gusting at 30mph or so in the afternoon.
Highs will reach the low to mid 40s under partly sunny skies.
The front plows through the region, holy h*%@ we will KNOW when that moment arrives.
Winds will veer around from southwest to northwest and gust to 40mph at times as a parcel of the Arctic empties its icy belly through the WMass region at night.
Temperatures will plummet down into the upper singles to mid teens late, but before that happens, a couple of snow squalls will be possible in the Taconics, Berkshires and Litchfields, as well as teh southern Greens before dissipating prior to reaching the valley, the way it looks now.
Very gusty winds, lowered visibility, and a quick coating will be possible with these Monday evening, so if you’re in the high terrain west of the CT River, tie a brain cell to this mild alert, and keep an eye out for this first few flakes that then turn into a frenzied wind-driven torrent… for about 5 to 10 minutes.
Tuesday is like late January, despite it being early March.
Blustery, cold, highs in the low to mid 20s, but sunny. Lows drop into the teens.
The Pacific Ocean proceeds to shove that little Arctic bowling ball out to sea with vigor, as mild air sets right back up in zonal, west to east flow for the mid to late week period.
Highs will be in the low to mid 40s Wed/Thurs, then the 30s on Friday, with lows in the 20s, and fair weather.
Next weekend looks colder, and a coastal/ocean storm will be nearby.
While I will continue to monitor it, it continues to look like it will be pressed south and east away from much of New England due to positively-tilted trough that will repel it from coming up the coast.
Maybe Nantucket gets a few inches of snow, but that’s about it.
After that, more mild air. Spring is springing. It’s New England, so it can snow at any time until mid May, but March is looking very lamb-like, if you ask me.
Have a great night, and thank you to the kind patrons who want to see me stick around, I do want the exact same thing. If you’re of means, and want to contribute to my annual Member/Support drive, just click the link below for tons of options, any amount, small or large, is gratefully received and keeps me focused on this job and community.
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[PERIODS OF SNOW THIS MORNING WILL TRANSITION TO RAIN, BUT MAY HOLD ON AS SNOW OR SLEET ALONG AND NORTH OF RT. 2 INTO LATE MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON AS COLDER AIR HANGS ON A LITLE LONGER THERE… RAIN ENDS BY LATE AFTERNOON… MORE RAIN SHOWERS TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND EVENING, MILDER… A SHARP COLD FRONT DIVES THROUGH LATE MONDAY WITH A 24-HOUR ARCTIC SHOT, THEN IT’S GONE, BACK TO MILD… MARCH 6/7 IS BEST CHANCE FOR A SNOWSTORM HERE DURING 1ST HALF OF MARCH… OTHERWISE, MILDER, SPRINGIER… 9:10AM SAT]
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Good morning everybody, a very convective (i.e. more summery) precipitation shield is moving through the region, with snow showers, and periods of snow this morning. Sometimes light, sometimes, nothing, sometimes moderate/heavy, these snow showers will transition to rain showers possibly mixed with sleet as the morning wears on from south to north.
Temps are in the mid 20s in southern VT and southwest NH and in the low 30s in southern portions of WMass, and northern CT, with some mid 30s already showing up.
The flow of this storm is southwest to northeast, so as it passes well northwest of us through the Great Lakes, it will draw milder air into the region allowing highs to reach the mid 30s to low 40s.
I am concerned for north of the Rt. 2 corridor because as a secondary low tries to get going well south of us, it may holder colder air in up there with light northerly flow, which could prolong snow and ice.
As advertised accumulations should mainly be a coating to 2″ across the region, but some slippery roads may be prolonged up that way.
All precipitation quits by late afternoon, and we end up with a mostly cloudy night with patchy fog possible and lows in the upper 20s.
For Sunday, we should get some sunny breaks in the morning, but then the second in a pair of weaker storms passing northwest of us will bring overcast skies and more rain showers in the afternoon lasting through the night.
Highs will reach the upper 30s to low 40s with lows in the mid 30s with more patchy fog possible.
By Monday, skies will start to clear as high pressure moves in behind a cold front. Highs will reach the low to mid 40s early, and then the front will move through, turn us sharply colder, and west winds will gust 30-40mph later in the day, as we turn blustery.
Monday night, the temps will plummet into the teens for low as an Arctic pool of air punches through the region.
In fact, lows will dip into the upper singles to mid teens! That might be the coldest night we see until next Winter, but as always, we shall see.
With continued west winds over 30mph Monday night, we could see wind chills below zero, so bundle up if out late, or very early Tuesday morning.
Tuesday is a mid-winter day, with sunshine and highs in the mid to upper 20s, and blustery. Lows will be in the teens.
The mid to late week period will rebound with mild highs in the upper 30s to low 40s and fair weather. A Thursday storm slides south of us.
Then we look to next weekend, which is when another colder parcel of air may be near by, with a coastal storm possible.
It’s way off, but as far as I can see in the first half of March, that may be our only real shot to produce a snowstorm in the region, otherwise it’s looking fairly mild.
Have a great day and if you love snow, enjoy the next couple of hours!
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