THREE STORM CHANCES, TWO OF THEM WINTRY, COMING UP OVER THE NEXT 8 DAYS… A PLEASANT FEBRUARY DAY IS FOLLOWED BY GUSTY SW WINDS AS WARMER AIR ADVECTS INTO THE WMASS REGION… MILDER MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY, RAIN TUESDAY INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY… COLDER LATE WEEK, WITH SNOW OR ICE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY… ANOTHER WINTRY SYSTEM POSSIBLE THE FOLLOWING MONDAY… WINTER IS NOT OVER… 7:45am Sun…
Good morning everybody, stay tuned for a mid-day post of a wonderful time lapse loop of our squall yesterday, it’s really breathtaking!
For our weather today, we’ve got high pressure tracking just south of us, but dominating our sensible weather with sunshine and seasonable highs in the low to mid 30s for the most part, maybe some upper 20s up in parts of southern VT at elevation.
Winds are on the lighter side at first, but as the high tracks a little more (while being south of us) and low pressure well northwest inches closer, some gusts will develop over night, maybe reaching 25mph or 30mph tops, the way it looks now.
It will continue dry, and lows will hang in the 20s, as a well-mixed surface atmosphere tends to hold temperatures up, vs. a calm surface lets radiational cooling maximize and radiate out to Space.
You know… that incomprehensibly vast Void that our little lives our suspended within, the cosmic firmament! Pretty cool that we get to share experiences like this together when you look at the BIG picture. :-)
For Monday, milder air arrives on this southwest flow, and temps shoot up into the upper 40s to low 50s under mostly sunny skies with lows dipping down to either side of the freezing mark.,
Then we will be watching not 1, not 2, but 3 Ohio Valley sliders (really, Miller B type storm systems) that will be tracking east northeast into New England Tuesday afternoon into early Wednesday morning, late Thursday night into Friday morning, and then again on Monday.
The first system is rainer, for sure. The storm will pass well northwest of us, keeping us in the mild southwest flow.
Winds looks gusty Tuesday and Wednesday, with highs upper 40s to low 50s Tuesday, and then a spike into the upper 50s to low 60s on Wednesday before another Arctic front tamps temps back down into the teens Wednesday night!
Clouds increase Tuesday morning, and then showers arrive at some point in the afternoon, with the peak of the rainfall occurring Tuesday night into early Wednesday morning, and then clearing out as the cold front sweeps the region, dries out, and cools us back down to the teens at night.
About a half inch to an inch of rain looks likely, as this is a similar setup to our recent rainstorm with a giant convergence zone stretching from New England down to the Gulf will separate warm mild air southeast and cold dry air northwest – classic atmospheric collision that causes air to rise and precipitation to form.
After a chilly Wednesday night, we turn to storm number 2.
This one will have cold air to run into as it tracks form the Ohio Valley to near the NYC Metro area.
Thursday’s highs will be like today, low to mid 30s, mostly sunny, a pleasant late February day.
Then clouds will increase at night with lows expected to drop into the low to mid 20s before precip arrives, which will create a perfect cold overrunning surface for snow to break out across the region before dawn on Friday morning.
This storm, if it continues ot trend this way, could impact the Friday morning commute with snowy conditions, and there is a chance we mix with and turn to sleet or freezing rain somewhere in the region, so stay tuned for updates. Highs will again be in the low to mid 30s, with the storm ending late in the day, and lows at night bottoming out into the teens.
Next weekend looks cold and fair, but then another potentially wintry system may impact us late Sunday night into Monday, so stay tuned for updates on this active and increasingly wintry pattern!
Have a great day!