[SAT-8:20AM] WARMEST DAY SINCE AUTUMN 2021 ARRIVES TODAY WITH SOME AREAS PUSHING 60º… MORNING SHOWERS END, WIND SHIFT OCCURS BY NOON FROM SOUTH TO WEST, GUSTING 20-30MPH THIS AFTERNOON WITH DECREASING CLOUDS… SECOND ARCTIC FRONT SWEEPS THROUGH THIS EVENING, DROPPING TEMPS BACK INTO FEBRUARY BY MORNING, LASTING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT… LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS TOMORROW MORNING WITH SCATTERED COATINGS… AFTER OUR COLD SNAP, WE WARM RIGHT BACK UP SECOND HALF OF NEXT WEEK WITH A RAINSTORM THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY BEFORE ANOTHER COLDER PERIOD FOLLOWS… NO SNOWSTORMS IN SIGHT…
TODAY’S DATE: Saturday, February 12, 2022
Good morning everybody, our temps are already up into the 30s and 40s with showers in northwest MA and SVT along a wind shift boundary that will move through this morning. This will kick our winds around to the west It’ll be breezy and mild today with cold air and light snow arriving by tomorrow morning, but before we dive into the details below, let’s check out our celestials and terrestrials (#DailyZoneCast).
DAILY CELESTIAL
–OUR STAR ROSE AT: 6:50am this morning
–OUR STAR WILL SET AT: 5:19pm this evening
–TOTAL DAYLIGHT TIME: 10 hours and 29 minutes
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–OUR MOON WILL RISE AT: 1:14pm this afternoon
–OUR MOON WILL SET AT: 5:18am tomorrow morning
–MOON PHASE: Waxing Gibbous 84.0%
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DAILY TERRESTRIAL (ZoneCast)
ZONE 1 (Northern Region)
Southern VT, Southwest NH, N. Taconics NY
–High Temps: Mid to upper 40s
–Low Temps: Mid to upper Teens
–Wind: Southerly breezes veer to the west by afternoon, gusting 20-30mph at times
–Skies: Decreasing clouds to partly sunny skies eastern Windham County into southwest NH…. Mostly cloudy western Windham into Bennington County/N. Taconics
–Precipitation: Morning showers end west, dry conditions develop
ZONE 2 (Central Region)
WMass, N. CMass, N. Litchfield County, C. & S. Taconics NY
–High Temps: Mid to upper 40s in the Taconics / Berkshires / Litchfields / Western Hills, but well into the 50s Pioneer Valley points east into CMass
–Low Temps: Mid teens to low 20s T/B/L/WH, low to mid 20s Valley into CMass
–Wind: Southerly breezes veer to the west and gust to 25mph at times
–Skies: Mostly cloudy Berkshire region, partly sunny skies valley points east
–Precipitation: Morning showers Berkshires, SVT, northwest hilltowns ending, then dry… light snow showers by tomorrow morning in most areas, especially south
ZONE 3 (Southern Region)
S. Litchfield County, NC.CT, NE.CT, S. CMass
–High Temps: 50s to near 60º
–Low Temps: Low to mid 20s
–Wind: Southerly breezes veering to the west and gusting to 25mph at times
–Skies: Becoming partly sunny
–Precipitation: Dry, accumulating light snow Sunday morning into early afternoon, coating to 1″ possible
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DISCUSSION:
Good morning everybody, we’ve got a bunch of substantial weather changes on the way today, as we seesaw into mid-February.
While you can never count out winter in the WMass region until early May, the recent pattern change has been a gut punch to the Winter of 2021/2022, make no mistake, and these mild air intrusions look to continue into at least into early March.
For today, morning showers associated with our wind shift boundary (which is approaching the Berkshires at 8am) are affecting mainly the northern Berkshires into southern VT, and will dissipate as the morning wears on.
Temps already in the 30s and 40s will soar higher well into the 40s for our northern and western zones, and well into the 50s to near 60º in our valley, southern and eastern zones of the greater WMass region (See Zones 1, 2 and 3 above in the “Daily Terrestrial” section for I mean by the greater WMass region).
Mostly cloudy skies will remain in SVT, SWNH and the Berkshires and Taconics, with partly sunny skies in the Pioneer Valley east and south.
Southerly breezes will shift from south and then gust out of the west this afternoon and evening from 20-30mph.
Temps will then drop precipitously tonight behind our second frontal boundary which has an Arctic air mass behind it, crashing our lows into the teens and 20s.
SUNDAY
For tomorrow, a SW to NE oriented mid-level trough will help develop a surface low along the cold frontal boundary to our south that passes through tonight, which will help create a period of light snow for parts of southern New England tomorrow.
I’m afraid that yet again the Pioneer Valley will be in the snow hole portion of this snow shield.
While some scattered coatings are possible in WMass, some of us will just see scattered light snow showers in the morning, with the best chance for a coating to an inch of snow in northern CT, the southern Berkshires, southwest hilltowns (western Hampden) and into southern Worcester County, with 1-3″ in southern CT, RI and southeast MA.
Highs tomorrow will reach the mid to upper 20s with lows in the single digits to low teens as we dry out.
For Monday and Tuesday, it’s cold and sunny with highs in the teens to low 20s Monday and lows in the single digits, to highs in the 20s to low 30s for Tuesday with lows in the teens.
Wednesday through Friday will feature a much milder period as southwest flow is re-established in the region, with highs in the 40s on Wednesday under partly sunny skies.
Thursday highs will reach the 50s with rain moving into the region by afternoon, lasting overnight into early Friday as a storm passes well north of us, keeping us on the mild side of the storm.
Next weekend looks cooler, but I’ll refine that for you as we get closer.
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