TODAY’S NUTSHELL: Another upper low is squaring up over the Great Lakes and will be pushing east today through Saturday, helping to spawn a surface low pressure center near New Jersey which will track northeast across southeast MA on Friday. We’ll start with scattered showers and a couple thunderstorms late this afternoon, which will transition into more widespread rainfall overnight and especially into Friday and Friday night with much cooler temps before tapering of around mid-day on Saturday. Sunday thru Tuesday look warmer and sunnier before a few more showers may arrive by mid next week.
TABLE OF CONTENTS
* Daily Celestials (Sun/Moon)
* Sponsor Section
* Your Short-Term ZoneCast
* Morning Discussion
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YOUR DAILY CELESTIALS
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STAR:
–OUR STAR ROSE AT: 5:36am this morning
–OUR STAR SETS AT: 7:57pm this evening
–TOTAL DAYLIGHT TIME: 14 hours and 21 minutes
MOON:
–OUR MOON RISES AT: 4:18pm this afternoon
–MOON RISE DIRECTION: East
–OUR MOON SETS AT: 4:00am tomorrow morning
–MOON SET DIRECTION: West
–MOON PHASE: Waxing Gibbous (84.7%)
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A NOTE FROM OUR SPONSOR
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Dave Hayes The Weather Nut is Sponsored by Individual Community Members, Patrons, and Tandem Bagel Company… No matter the weather, Tandem Bagel is always there for you at several valley locations to make your mornings brighter! With *New Pizza Bagels(!)*, along with bagels baked fresh daily (including Gluten-Free options), house-whipped cream cheese, coffee, and tons of lunch options, Tandem is the perfect quick stop for lunch, breakfast, or a coffee and bagel to go.
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YOUR SHORT-TERM ZONECAST
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ZONE 1 – Northern Region
(Southern VT, Southwest NH)
–Highs Today: Mid to Upper 60s
–Lows Tonight: Mid to Upper 40s
–Highs Tomorrow: Upper 40s to Low 50s
–Winds: Light and variable, switching to light northeast tomorrow
–Skies: Partly sunny to start, trending to mostly cloudy later, then overcast tonight into Friday
–Precip: Scattered showers/storms this afternoon, rainy late tonight through Friday
–NWS Alerts + Nut Notes: Flood Watches are up for Friday into Saturday… Patchy fog burns off this morning…
ZONE 2 – Central Region
(Western MA, North-Central MA, Northern Litchfield CT)
–Highs Today: Mid 60s to Low 70s
–Lows Tonight: Mid 40s to Low 50s
–Highs Tomorrow: Upper 40s to Mid 50s
–Winds: Light and variable, switching to light northeast tomorrow
–Skies: Partly sunny to start, trending to mostly cloudy later, then overcast tonight into Friday
–Precip: Scattered showers/storms this afternoon, rainy late tonight through Friday
–NWS Alerts + Nut Notes: Flood Watches are up for WMass and N. Litchfield Cty. for Friday into Saturday AM… Patchy fog burns off this morning…
ZONE 3 – Southern Region
(South-Central MA, Northern CT)
–Highs Today: Low 70s
–Lows Tonight: Upper 40s to Low 50s
–Highs Tomorrow: Mid to Upper 50s
–Winds: Light and variable, switching to light northeast tomorrow
–Skies: Partly sunny to start, trending to mostly cloudy later, then overcast tonight into Friday
–Precip: Scattered showers/storms this afternoon, rainy late tonight through Friday
–NWS Alerts + Nut Notes: Flood Watches are up for much of northern CT for Friday into Saturday AM… Patchy fog burns off this morning…
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YOUR MORNING DISCUSSION
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Good morning folks, we’re starting off in the upper 40s to 50s with some patchy fog in SVT, SWNH and parts of northern MA, especially east of the CT River, but that will burn off by mid-morning, I believe.
Otherwise, we’ve got a mix of sun and clouds, and we’ll be trending to more clouds than sunshine today, so soak it if you got it.
We’ll average highs in the mid 60s to low 70s with light wind, but as the afternoon wears on, a wave will run towards us and kick off some scattered showers, downpours and a thunderstorm or two by late this afternoon, like 4-8pm timeframe.
As the upper low keeps tracking east towards New England, surface low pressure will be developing over the Mid-Atlantic region and arriving at the New Jersey coast on Friday afternoon or evening.
Lows tonight will drop into the 45-50º range, and due to our incoming upper low, rain will become steadier and overspread the region late tonight into Friday.
Friday is looking rainy and raw focus, with highs only in the upper 40s to upper 50s, and lows in the 40s with rain continuing as our storm lifts northeast and tracks into southeast MA by Saturday morning.
Saturday morning looks rainy as well, but mostly in the morning, with a tapering of activity by early afternoon, the way it looks now. Highs will reach the upper 50s to mid 60s, and we’ll start drying out Saturday night with lows in the 40s.
This isn’t so much a flash flood threat as it is a main-stem minor river flooding potential. The Connecticut River, the Housatonic River, the Hoosic River and the Walloomsac River all could see some rises into minor flood due the wet antecedent conditions from past recent rain events. Most likely, of course, is for renewed flooding at Hartford along the CT River.
By Sunday, we fully turn the corner with high pressure building into and then south of the region through early week, which will produce a southwesterly warming flow, with a quasi-Bermuda High setting up way south of New England.
Expect sunshine for those few days, and warming highs in the mid 60s to low 70s Sunday, the low to mid 70s Monday, and the mid to upper 70s on Tuesday, followed by a few showers possible on Wednesday.
Have a great day!
“Follow your bliss and the universe will open doors for you where there were only walls.”
― Joseph Campbell