Good morning folks, while rain won’t fall at the same rate in state-sized shapes, we have some seriously drought-denting rains moving in over the next 36 hours, and it’s already raining hard in parts of the WMass, CMass and southwest NH sub-regions of the greater WMass region, but before we dive into all of the weather details below, let’s check a note from our local and delicious sponsor, #TandemBagelCo, with their newest location in West Springfield, MA.
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A NOTE FROM OUR SPONSOR:
DHTWN Is Sponsored by Members, Patrons & Tandem Bagel Company: No matter the weather, Tandem Bagel is always there for you at several valley locations to make your mornings brighter! With bagels baked fresh daily, house-whipped cream cheese, coffee, and tons of lunch options, Tandem is the perfect quick stop for lunch, breakfast, or a coffee and bagel to go. Find them in Easthampton, Northampton, Hadley, Florence (and now West Springfield!), or use their super-streamlined online ordering tool by visiting their website: https://www.tandembagelco.com
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***DHTWN DAILY WEATHER REPORT***
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NWS ALERTS
–Flood Watches are up for southwest NH, CMass, central/eastern Hampden County and all of northern CT

DHTWN REMINDER
–The odds of being a human is 1 in 400 trillion… make it count, even in a small way (see Kurt Vonnegut quote at end of post)

DAILY CELESTIAL (STAR):
–OUR STAR ROSE AT: 6:20am this morning
–OUR STAR WILL SET AT: 7:17pm this evening
–TOTAL DAYLIGHT TIME: 12 hours and 57 minutes

DAILY CELESTIAL (MOON):
–OUR MOON WILL RISE AT: 4:31pm this afternoon
–OUR MOON WILL SET AT: 1:12am tomorrow morning
–MOON RISE DIRECTION: Southeast
–MOON SET DIRECTION: Southwest
–MOON PHASE: Waxing Gibbous 69.0%
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DAILY TERRESTRIAL (ZoneCast)
ZONE 1 (Northern Region)
Southern VT, Southwest NH, N. Taconics NY
–High Temps: Mid to Upper 60s
–Low Temps: Mid to Upper 50s
–Humidity: Dewpoints in the 60s, humid
–Wind: Light east to northeast wind
–Skies: Cloudy
–Precipitation: Periods of showers and downpours expected to go from being scattered this morning to being more widespread this afternoon, evening and overnight. Some downpours may train/track over one area causing localized flash flooding, and/or street flooding.

ZONE 2 (Central Region)
WMass, N. CMass, N. Litchfield County, C./S. Taconics NY
–High Temps: Upper 60s to Low 70s
–Low Temps: Upper 50s to Low 60s
–Humidity: Dewpoints in the 60s, humid
–Wind: Light east to northeast wind
–Skies: Cloudy
–Precipitation: Periods of showers and downpours expected to go from being scattered this morning to being more widespread this afternoon, evening and overnight. Some downpours may train/track over one area causing localized flash flooding, and/or street flooding.

ZONE 3 (Southern Region)
S. CMass, S. Litchfield County, NC.CT, & NE.CT
–High Temps: Upper 60s to Mid 70s
–Low Temps: Low to Mid 60s
–Humidity: Dewpoints in the 60s, humid
–Wind: Light east to northeast wind
–Skies: Cloudy
–Precipitation: Periods of showers and downpours expected to go from being scattered this morning to being more widespread this afternoon, evening and overnight. Some downpours may train/track over one area causing localized flash flooding, and/or street flooding.
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WEATHER REPORT
Good morning everybody, it’s a new week, and new weeks call for double–dashes to disseminate and proliferate weather details, because everybody knows THAT’S why they were invented #duh

–Pack galoshes and slickers, folks, the rain is coming
–We have a cold front this morning draped from northeast to southwest through southern New England
–We have a high-moisture air mass in place with warm temps higher up into the atmosphere
–We have a jet stream that will move closer and help evacuate air aloft, which helps suck up and raise air at the surface
–And we have areas of low pressure rippling along this slow moving front laid out through southern New England
–This has caused showers, some very heavy, to develop through WMass, SVT, CMass and southwest NH, along with parts of northwest CT
–As I type, it’s raining heavily at times in northern CMass, southeastern SWMH, the southern Berkshires, and north-central Hampden County into south-central Hampshire County
–SVT has lighter showers, and north-central and northeast CT is yet to get into the better dynamics to produce rainfall
–That will all change as we move from morning to afternoon, and by this evening I think we’ll see widespread rainfall of varying intensities
–Highs will only reach the mid 60s to mid 70s with light onshore wind, and patchy fog will be possible
–Lows tonight will dip into the mid 50s to low 60s range with showers and downpours continuing
–Street flooding is expected sporadically as downpours with embedded non-severe thunderstorms will “train”, meaning they will track parallel to the front and mean flow, which makes them slower moving at times
–There is also concern for stream flooding as well, as this event will last today, tonight, and for some, tomorrow as well (especially if you live along and south of the Pike)
–The first round of rainfall from this system is related to the front and the other aforementioned factors coalescing
–The second round of rainfall is related to low pressure that will ripple east-northeast along the front that should be stalled near the southern New England coastline by tomorrow
–While showers are expected at times north of the Pike, heavier rainfall should continue or resume along and south of it as this low tracks through
–Highs on Tuesday will be CHILLY and only reach the low to mid 60s with onshore flow and rain-cooled air, with lows in the 50s as showery conditions taper off
–Rainfall amounts are going to vary widely from southern VT and southwest NH down into northern CT, including MA
–It’s hard to see how most areas don’t see at least an inch, but I suppose some folks could see half inch to an inch, but many should see 1-3″, with some even seeing 3″ to as much as 6″ of rain!
–It’s an old meteorological saying that preceded my modest entry into the weather world that “droughts end in floods”, meaning that they typically don’t end gradually with periods of perfect human-mind-made subtle gradients from perfectly-spaced smaller more frequent rainstorms
–This event will put a substantial dent in the drought, and thankfully it will happen over what will have been 48 hours for some, and 24-36 hours for others, instead of a quick 6-hour period
–Remember to turnaround and don’t drown if you approach floodwaters, as you have NO idea if the road underneath is washed out etc.
–As for Wednesday and beyond, sunshine will redevelop through the region with highs climbing into the low to mid 70s and with clear skies at night and lows in the 50s
–Thursday is also sunny with highs in the mid to upper 70s as high pressure builds into the region, with highs cresting 80º Friday and into the weekend before another frontal boundary approaches
–We’ll also be keeping an eye on tropical activity, but that should stay out to sea

I will update you later on today, hope you have a great one!

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AND REMEMBER…
“Hello babies. Welcome to Earth. It’s hot in the summer and cold in the winter. It’s round and wet and crowded. On the outside, babies, you’ve got a hundred years here. There’s only one rule that I know of, babies: Goddamn it, you’ve got to be kind.”
–Kurt Vonnegut