Good morning folks, we’ve got some patchy fog that will lift later this morning. We also have a severe thunderstorm threat to monitor today, along with scattered showers and downpours which will be followed by a long stretch of dry, sunnier conditions with a cool shot late this week for a Fall feel, but before we dive into all of the weather details below, let’s check a note from our local and delicious sponsor, #TandemBagelCo, with their newest location in West Springfield, MA.
——————–
A NOTE FROM OUR SPONSOR:
DHTWN Is Sponsored by Members, Patrons & Tandem Bagel Company: No matter the weather, Tandem Bagel is always there for you at several valley locations to make your mornings brighter! With bagels baked fresh daily, house-whipped cream cheese, coffee, and tons of lunch options, Tandem is the perfect quick stop for lunch, breakfast, or a coffee and bagel to go. Find them in Easthampton, Northampton, Hadley, Florence, and West Springfield, or use their super-streamlined online ordering tool by visiting their website: https://www.tandembagelco.com
——————————————-
***DHTWN DAILY WEATHER REPORT***
——————————————-
NWS ALERTS
–None but there is a Level 2 out of 5 risk of severe thunderstorms posted for WMass, SVT and the central/northern Taconics of NY for 1-7pm today.

We can’t rule out an isolated tornado, or damaging straight line winds along with a couple areas of street flooding from torrential rain, and small hail.

DHTWN REMINDER
–The odds of being a human is 1 in 400 trillion… make it count, even in a small way (see Kurt Vonnegut quote at end of post)

DAILY CELESTIAL (STAR):
–OUR STAR ROSE AT: 6:28am this morning
–OUR STAR WILL SET AT: 7:03pm this evening
–TOTAL DAYLIGHT TIME: 12 hours and 35 minutes

DAILY CELESTIAL (MOON):
–OUR MOON WILL RISE AT: 8:50pm this evening
–OUR MOON WILL SET AT: 11:05am tomorrow morning
–MOON RISE DIRECTION: East-Northeast
–MOON SET DIRECTION: West-Northwest
–MOON PHASE: Waning Gibbous (89.2%)
———————-
DAILY TERRESTRIAL (ZoneCast)
ZONE 1 (Northern Region)
Southern VT, Southwest NH, N. Taconics NY
–High Temps: Mid to Upper 70s
–Low Temps: Low to Mid 50s
–Humidity: Very humid, dewpoints mid 60s to low 70s
–Wind: Light southeasterly, higher in strong/severe storms, if any
–Skies: Mostly Cloudy, a few sunny breaks possible
–Precipitation: Periods of showers and thunderstorms, greatest chance for storms by mid afternoon to early evening, some may be strong to severe with gusty wind and heavy rain being main threats

ZONE 2 (Central Region)
WMass, N. CMass, N. Litchfield County, C./S. Taconics NY
–High Temps: Mid 70s to Low 80s
–Low Temps: Low to Mid 50s
–Humidity: Very humid, dewpoints mid 60s to low 70s
–Wind: Light southeasterly, higher in strong/severe storms, if any
–Skies: Mostly Cloudy, a few sunny breaks possible
–Precipitation: Periods of showers and thunderstorms, greatest chance for storms by mid afternoon to early evening, some may be strong to severe with gusty wind and heavy rain being main threats

ZONE 3 (Southern Region)
S. CMass, S. Litchfield County, NC.CT, & NE.CT
–High Temps: Mid to Upper 70s
–Low Temps: Mid to Upper 50s
–Humidity: Very humid, dewpoints mid 60s to low 70s
–Wind: Light southeasterly, higher in strong/severe storms, if any
–Skies: Mostly Cloudy, a few sunny breaks possible
–Precipitation: Periods of showers and thunderstorms, greatest chance for storms by mid afternoon to early evening, some may be strong to severe with gusty wind and heavy rain being main threats
———————-
WEATHER REPORT
Good morning everybody, it’s everybody’s favorite time again this morning, and that’s Double–Dash–Time, hooray!

–We’re starting off with a cluster of non-severe thunderstorms and heavier showers in central CT extending north into the southern and central Pioneer Valley of WMass
–These are associated with a warm frontal push, and are tracking northeast more fully into MA, eastern CT, and RI
–They also could produce a bit of a punch in southeastern CMass and northeast CT with a strong storm there, though these tend to ride more southerly, so RI could be affected
–After these and other morning showers currently in southern VT and southwest NH pass through, our humidity will rise substantially for #SouperTuesday, as dew points climb into the low 70s by afternoon for many of us!
–This sets the stage for the *potential* to produce afternoon/evening severe thunderstorms, *if* we can get some breaks in the cloud deck long enough to heat the surface up to 80º, give or take
–Highs generally are forecast to be 75-80º under mostly cloudy skies
–As a surface low tracks into northern New England behind this warm frontal passage, it will drag its cold front through NY and into New England and the greater WMass region
–Pretty strong wind shear is associated with this feature, and as along as drier air aloft can hold off until the shear, moisture, lift and instability try to line up, we could get one or three severe thunderstorms to develop, along with other showers, downpours and non-severe storms
–These storms could produce damaging straight line winds, small hail, torrential rain with areas of street flooding, and an isolated tornado or two cannot be ruled out
–The timeframe for this second, cold-frontal round of showers and storms looks to work through between 1-7pm or so from west to east
–Best chance for a severe storm exists in WMass and SVT westward into eastern NY
–Please stay tuned today as I will be updating this potential throughout the day and evening until it is out of the region
–We clear things out late tonight with lows in the 50s, and drier air begins to work into the region
–Wednesday looks sunnier, breezier, and pleasant with highs in the mid to upper 70s, with a secondary cold shot moving through at night, dropping temps into the mid to upper 40s for lows!
–A breezy, cooler Thursday is on the way with highs in the 65-70º range both Thursday and Friday with lows in the low to mid 40s… chilly! Plenty of sun, though, so that’s good
–The weekend looks milder, lovely, sunny, with highs in the 70s Saturday, and then upper 70s to low 80s on Sunday and Monday
–After today, we’re dry for many days folks

Have a great day and check back with me as I will be in Monitoring Mode and doing day-of coverage as potentially strong to severe storms develop!

Did you know that you can also follow me on Twitter?

AND REMEMBER…
“Hello babies. Welcome to Earth. It’s hot in the summer and cold in the winter. It’s round and wet and crowded. On the outside, babies, you’ve got a hundred years here. There’s only one rule that I know of, babies: Goddamn it, you’ve got to be kind.”
–Kurt Vonnegut