Western Mass Regional Weather for November 14, 2022


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DAVE’S WEEKLY WEATHER NUTSHELL
–Blustery early today, sunny and cold
–Coldest night of the new season tonight
–Increasing clouds and cool Tuesday
–Snow and rain arrives late Tuesday night
–Any snow changes to rain during Wednesday morning
–Snow may linger in the northern Berkshires and esp. SVT mtns.
–Cold temps with fair weather through the weekend, save some lake effect Berkshire/SVT snow showers Thurs. night

Before we jump into the weather details below, let’s check a note from our local and delicious sponsor, #TandemBagelCo, with their newest location in West Springfield, MA.
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A NOTE FROM OUR SPONSOR:
DHTWN Is Sponsored by Members, Patrons & Tandem Bagel Company: No matter the weather, Tandem Bagel is always there for you at several valley locations to make your mornings brighter! With bagels baked fresh daily (including Gluten-Free options), house-whipped cream cheese, coffee, and tons of lunch options, Tandem is the perfect quick stop for lunch, breakfast, or a coffee and bagel to go. Find them in Easthampton, Northampton, Hadley, Florence, and West Springfield, or use their super-streamlined online ordering tool by visiting their website.
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***DHTWN DAILY WEATHER REPORT***
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NWS ALERTS
–None.

DHTWN REMINDER
–The odds of being a human is 1 in 400,000 billion… make it count, even in a small way (see Kurt Vonnegut quote at end of post)

DAILY CELESTIAL (STAR):
–OUR STAR RISES AT: 6:39am this morning
–OUR STAR WILL SET AT: 4:29pm this evening
–TOTAL DAYLIGHT TIME: 9 hours and 50 minutes

DAILY CELESTIAL (MOON):
–OUR MOON WILL RISE AT: 9:23pm tonight
–OUR MOON WILL SET AT: 12:48am tomorrow afternoon
–MOON RISE DIRECTION: East-Northeast
–MOON SET DIRECTION: West-Northwest
–MOON PHASE: Waning Gibbous (69.2%)
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DAILY TERRESTRIAL (ZoneCast)
ZONE 1 (Northern Region)
Southern VT, Southwest NH, N. Taconics NY
–High Temps: Upper 30s to Low 40s
–Low Temps: Mid to Upper 10s
–Wind: Northwesterlies gusting 20-30mph, then diminishing
–Skies: Mostly Sunny
–Precipitation: None

ZONE 2 (Central Region)
WMass, N. CMass, N. Litchfield County, C./S. Taconics NY
–High Temps: Upper 30s to Mid 40s
–Low Temps: Mid 10s to Low 20s
–Wind: Northwesterlies gusting 20-30mph, then diminishing
–Skies: Mostly Sunny
–Precipitation: None

ZONE 3 (Southern Region)
S. CMass, S. Litchfield County, NC.CT, & NE.CT
–High Temps: Low to Mid 40s
–Low Temps: Low to Mid 20s
–Wind: Northwesterlies gusting 20-30mph, then diminishing
–Skies: Mostly Sunny
–Precipitation: None
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MORNING DISCUSSION
Good morning everybody, I’m pretty sure it’s pretty safe to say that we’ve finally flipped the switch to the 2022-23 Cold Season.

That’s not to say we won’t see mild surges at times between now and just after the Vernal Equinox, but the cold air has been generated and pooling in Canada and is now emptied into the United States, and finally reached New England with these gusty northwesterlies overnight.

Temps are in the 20s and 30s this morning, and with a peak gust of 45mph measured in Peru, the weather has been letting us know overnight that we’re shifting, and hinting at our first snowfall late Tuesday night into Wednesday morning.

I’ll get into those details below, but for now, we’ve got a breezy, cold morning, that will turn into a nice, but brisk later-Autumn day with highs in the upper 30s to mid 40s with winds calming down with time.

For tonight, winds will slacken, skies will be clear, and it will be dry as a bone, causing lows to tank into the mid 10s to mid 20s across the region, generating the coldest night of the Autumn thus far, so bundle up on the way out the door tomorrow morning or for late night dog walks!

For Tuesday, we should see some partial sun early with highs in the low 40s, but clouds will be increasing and thickening as a complex storm system heads our way, destined to blanket the ground in white for some of us for the first time as head towards Winter.

By Tuesday evening, primary low pressure will be tracking into the Great Lakes as secondary low develops near the Mid-Atlantic coast and tracks towards somewhere either side of Martha’s Vineyard.

This track is too close into the coast (i.e. too far north) to produce an all-snow event for much of WMass region (warmer air will work north about a mile above our heads), so many of us will mixed snow and rain, brief snow to rain, or a mix of snow then ice then rain in the Pioneer Valley from Greenfield east and south in MA and CT.

Lows will drop into the upper 20s to low 30s, then rise in the early morning, which flips many of us to rain.

SNOW AMOUNTS
However, west of the CT River Valley in the western hilltowns of MA, northern Litchfield County CT, the Berkshires, Taconics, and southern VT into southwest NH, a coating to 3″ of snow accumulation is expected.

This also goes for the higher terrain in the Worcester Hills in CMass.

We could also see some coatings of snow in the valley if the storm tracks a little further south than expected, we’ll have to see.

TIMING
The bulk of any snow accumulation comes on the front end, as precip will arrive into the colder air just before midnight and into the pre-dawn hours, which is perfect timing for such a potential early-season wintry outcome.

ICING
There is a low chance of some freezing drizzle or rain occuring in some low elevation spots providing briefly slippery travel, so I will keep an eye on that.

As Wednesday wears on, most of us flip to rain, though snow may hold on in the highest peaks of NW. MA and S. VT, OR it may go to rain there, and change briefly back to snow before ending by Wednesday afternoon.

Highs will reach the upper 30s to low 40s with lows in the 20s.

Thursday through Sunday looks like fair weather should rule the roost, but it’s gonna be cold, folks. No 50s or 60s are coming at this point.

Highs will generally range from the mid 30s in the high terrain to the low 40s in the valleys with varying amounts of sunshine.

On Thursday night we could also see some lake effect snow showers in the western hills, Berkshires, Litchfields, Taconics and southern Greens (what I lovingly refer to as the WHBLTSGs, which rolls off the tongue with ease).

That does it for now, have a great day, and remember that there’s only 7 days left to Order my Educational, Practical, WMass-centric, and highly Gift-able Weather Wall Calendar, so be sure to order or get more info today (link below):

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AND REMEMBER…
“Hello babies. Welcome to Earth. It’s hot in the summer and cold in the winter. It’s round and wet and crowded. On the outside, babies, you’ve got a hundred years here. There’s only one rule that I know of, babies: Goddamn it, you’ve got to be kind.”
–Kurt Vonnegut

By |2022-11-14T07:22:25-05:00November 14, 2022|Current Forecast|

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