A showery late-afternoon and evening ahead.
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TABLE OF CONTENTS:
–DHTWN Reminder (Be Nice)
–Weekly Nutshell (Quick impact list)
–Sponsor Note (Tandem Bagel Co.)
–NWS Alerts (Advisories, Warnings, Watches)
–Celestial Data (Sun/Moon info)
–Regional Summaries (Quick in/out details)
–Morning Discussion (More Details)
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DHTWN REMINDER: It doesn’t take much to do a nice thing for somebody that you don’t know.
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DAVE’S WEEKLY WEATHER NUTSHELL
–A few light morning showers beget a lull / dry period later morning into early afternoon
–A few glimpses of sun possible, otherwise cloudy and mild
–Breezy later with more showers later afternoon and evening
–Gusts 15-30mph out of the southwest today, and up to 20mph out of the northwest Friday
–Friday is cooler, partly sunny to mostly cloudy, and dry
–We cloud up Friday night into Saturday with rain, sleet and snow by later morning
–Milder air will turn most valleys to rain, but snow and sleet changes to sleet along north of Rt. 2 Saturday afternoon, and back to snow and sleet in the evening in that area
–A coating to 2″ is possible north of Rt. 2 at elevation by Sunday morning
–Sunday looks windy behind that storm system, but mild and well into the 40s
–Monday looks lovely, mostly sunny and near 50º
–Tuesday into Wednesday, depending on storm track and time of arrival, could produce a late-season winter storm in parts of the region, but before we jump into the weather discussion / details below, let’s check a note from our local and delicious sponsor, #TandemBagelCo, with their newest location in West Springfield, MA.
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A NOTE FROM OUR SPONSOR:
Dave Hayes The Weather Nut is Sponsored by Individual Community Members, Patrons & Tandem Bagel Company… No matter the weather, Tandem Bagel is always there for you at several valley locations to make your mornings brighter! With bagels baked fresh daily (including Gluten-Free options), house-whipped cream cheese, coffee, and tons of lunch options, Tandem is the perfect quick stop for lunch, breakfast, or a coffee and bagel to go. Find them in Easthampton, Northampton, Hadley, Florence, and West Springfield, or use their super-streamlined online ordering tool by visiting their website.
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***DHTWN DAILY WEATHER REPORT***
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NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALERTS
–None.
DAILY CELESTIAL (STAR):
–OUR STAR ROSE AT: 6:48am this morning
–OUR STAR WILL SET AT: 7:05pm this evening
–TOTAL DAYLIGHT TIME: 12 hours and 17 minutes
NIGHTLY CELESTIAL (MOON):
–OUR MOON WILL SET AT: 9:38pm this evening
–OUR MOON WILL RISE AT: 8:16am tomorrow morning
–MOON SET DIRECTION: West-Northwest
–MOON RISE DIRECTION: East-Northeast
–MOON PHASE: Waxing Crescent (3.9%)
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DAILY TERRESTRIAL
ZONE 1 – Northern Region
(Southern VT, Southwest NH)
–High Temps: Upper 40s to Low 50s
–Low Temps: Low to Mid 30s
–Winds: Southwest wind gusts 15-30mph at times
–Sky Cover: Mostly Cloudy
–Precipitation: A few scattered morning showers, then quiet, then more numerous showers this afternoon / evening
ZONE 2 – Central Region
(Western MA, North-Central MA, Northern Litchfield CT)
–High Temps: 50s to Low 60s
–Low Temps: Mid to Upper 30s
–Winds: Southwest wind gusts 15-30mph at times
–Sky Cover: Mostly Cloudy
–Precipitation: A few scattered morning showers, then quiet, then more numerous showers this afternoon / evening
ZONE 3 – Southern Region
(South-Central MA, Northern CT)
–High Temps: Upper 50s to Low 60s
–Low Temps: Upper 30s
–Winds: Southwest wind gusts 15-30mph at times
–Sky Cover: Mostly Cloudy
–Precipitation: A few scattered morning showers, then quiet, then more numerous showers this afternoon / evening
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MORNING DISCUSSION
Good morning everybody, I hope that golden slumbers filled your eyes, and that a lovely day awaits you as you rise!
Unfortunately, the weather won’t be super inspiring today like it was over the past few days with a sweet Spring taste in the air as we’ll have some showery periods at times as a storm passes to our north and drags a cold front through the region tonight.
Ahead of the cold front is blotchy, patchy area of light showers that will wet the ground in a few places before we enter a mostly cloudy, dry day until about mid to late afternoon, with highs well into the 50s.
By late afternoon a cold front will be pushing into New York state and spread batches of rain showers through our region that should last past sunset. Southwest winds should kick up and gust over 20mph at times as well.
This activity should wane by around midnight, and lows will hang in the 30s overnight, mostly above freeezing.
For Friday, we’ll have a drying day with northwest gusts up to 20mph or so and highs well into the 40s, to perhaps low 50s under mostly cloudy skies with some sunny periods, and lows either side of 30º.
Clouds thicken overnight into Saturday when a more organized storm system presses into the eastern Great Lakes and pushes a warm front toward the southern New England region.
By about mid morning or so we should see a mix of rain, sleet and snow develop (rain or rain-snow / rain-sleet mix in the valley, snow/sleet mix in the high terrain and along and north of Rt. 2 corridor).
Highs on Saturday should rise into the mid 30s to low 40s and with high sun angle, accumulations in the high terrain or north of Rt. 2 should be tamped down or not even occur as rain mixes in during mid-day, with rain showers elsewhere.
However, a secondary low will develop south of New England by afternoon and evening, and this could hold in enough cold air as it tracks toward the Gulf of Maine to flip high terrain areas and northern areas back to snow or snow/sleet mix. A coating to 2″ is possible north of Rt. 2 and in high terrain areas above 1000 feet, but that’s about it.
After some morning mixed showers, everything clears out for Sunday with northwest winds gusting to 20mph and partly sunny skies developing with highs in the mid to upper 40s, and lows in the upper 20s to low 30s.
Monday looks like a winner with mostly sunny skies, highs 45-50º, and breezy: can’t ask for much more in late March!
Then we turn to the Monday night to Wednesday period, which is murky, but does hold the potential for a stormy with wintry potential.
We’ll see a storm move to the Mid-Atlantic coastline early in the week, but then we’ll have to see how atmospheric features in southeast Canada, the western Atlantic Ocean and over New England help draw that storm toward our southern coastline, or suppress it south and away from the region.
There isn’t a lot of deeper guidance support for a closer hit, but there is some model guidance that produces a wet snowstorm here Tuesday night into Wednesday, so please stay tuned for updates on what might be winter’s last gasp!
Have a great day, and I’ll hope todays the day you’ll click below and become one of the remaining 460 patrons out of almost 52,000 to help support my work before my drive ends this weekend… we’re almost to my goal (about 80%), and when we reach it, it’s enough to cover my expenses, costs, time and energy to keep serving the entire community through 2023, thx!
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BE KIND
“Hello babies. Welcome to Earth. It’s hot in the summer and cold in the winter. It’s round and wet and crowded. On the outside, babies, you’ve got a hundred years here. There’s only one rule that I know of, babies: Goddamn it, you’ve got to be kind.”
–Kurt Vonnegut