>>>POST SECTIONS<<< --DHTWN's Reminder (Food) --Weekly Nutshell (Overall impact list) --Sponsor Note (Tandem Bagel Co.) --NWS Alerts (Advisories, Warnings, Watches) --Celestial Data (Sun/Moon info) --Regional Summaries (Local expectations) --Morning Discussion (Detailed Weather Story) ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ >>> DHTWN REMINDER <<< If you have food in your fridge, or your pantry, or can get access to it, if you know how to cook or prepare basic foods, and if you can chew it and swallow your food and digest it, you're doing amazingly well in life. Well done. I'm serious. Think about it. Life starts there. Oxygen, Water, Food, Shelter. Family. Friends. Good. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ >>> DAVE’S WEEKLY WEATHER NUTSHELL <<< --It's broken record weather with haves and have nots like yesterday: many stayed dry and partly to mostly sunny while hilltowns got inches of rain and thunder much of the afternoon --Partly sunny to mostly cloudy periods through Thursday with our upper low slowing moving through --Highs either side of 80º today, and mostly 75-80º through the week --We're in an unstable air mass, but one without much wind aloft and wind aloft tends to organize showers/storms --As such, we'll have hit-n-miss showers and storms today, tonight and tomorrow --Some storms may be become strong to even marginally severe, I would say especially tomorrow when the upper low is closer to New England --There is a chance for an overnight batch of showers and storms that develop in a more severe environment to our southwest, so we may get woken up --This daily shower/storm potential exists through Thursday with humid and warm temps with lows in the 60s throughout --By late week into Saturday we may be between systems, assuming Tropical Storm Cindy stays well east of us --This would lead to warm, humid, and more partly to mostly sunny days with a few scattered showers Friday and Saturday, but we'll have to get closer to refine that part of the forecast --For now, let's check a note from our local and delicious sponsor, #TandemBagelCo, with their newest location in the Stop & Shop Plaza on King Street in Northampton, MA. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ >>> A NOTE FROM OUR SPONSOR <<< Dave Hayes The Weather Nut is Sponsored by Individual Community Members, Patrons & Tandem Bagel Company... No matter the weather, Tandem Bagel is always there for you at several valley locations to make your mornings brighter! With bagels baked fresh daily (including Gluten-Free options), house-whipped cream cheese, coffee, and tons of lunch options, Tandem is the perfect quick stop for lunch, breakfast, or a coffee and bagel to go. Find them in Easthampton, Northampton, Hadley, Florence, and West Springfield, or use their super-streamlined online ordering tool by visiting their website.

>>> NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALERTS <<< --Air Quality Alert in southwest NH >>> YOUR DAILY CELESTIALS <<< STAR: --OUR STAR ROSE AT: 5:16am this morning --OUR STAR WILL SET AT: 8:30pm this evening --TOTAL DAYLIGHT TIME: 15 hours and 14 minutes MOON: --OUR MOON WILL RISE AT: 1:16pm this afternoon --MOON RISE DIRECTION: East --OUR MOON WILL SET AT: 1:11am tomorrow morning --MOON SET DIRECTION: West --MOON PHASE: Waxing Gibbous (51.4%) >>> YOUR DAILY TERRESTRIALS <<< ZONE 1 - Northern Region  (Southern VT, Southwest NH)  --High Temps (Today): Upper 70s to Low 80s --Low Temps (Tonight): Mid 60s --High Temps (Tomorrow): Mid to Upper 70s --Winds: Light southerly wind through tomorrow, stronger in any storms --Sky Cover: Partly sunny to mostly cloudy through tomorrow --Precipitation: Isolated to Scattered showers and t-storms with quiet periods. Can't rule out strong storms overnight. Quite humid.  --NWS Alerts / Nut Notes: Patchy dense fog  ZONE 2 - Central Region  (Western MA, North-Central MA, Northern Litchfield CT) --High Temps (Today): Upper 70s to Low 80s --Low Temps (Tonight): Mid to Upper 60s --High Temps (Tomorrow): Mid to Upper 70s --Winds: Light southerly wind through tomorrow, stronger in any storms --Sky Cover: Partly sunny to mostly cloudy through tomorrow --Precipitation: Isolated to Scattered showers and t-storms with quiet periods. Can't rule out strong storms overnight. Quite humid.  --NWS Alerts / Nut Notes: Patchy dense fog  ZONE 3 - Southern Region  (South-Central MA, Northern CT)  --High Temps (Today): Upper 70s to Low 80s --Low Temps (Tonight): Upper 60s --High Temps (Tomorrow): Upper 70s --Winds: Light southerly wind through tomorrow, stronger in any storms --Sky Cover: Partly sunny to mostly cloudy through tomorrow --Precipitation: Isolated to Scattered showers and t-storms with quiet periods. Can't rule out strong storms overnight. Quite humid.  --NWS Alerts / Nut Notes: Patchy dense fog  >>> MORNING DISCUSSION <<< Good morning everybody, there's not a whole lot more to discuss other than what's been covered above in the preceding sections. A shower or a storm could pop up anywhere later this afternoon, but again, hilltowns are more favored because with weak wind fields like the one we had overhead yesterday and today, there isn't much to organize storms, push them across the region, or force air to rise over a widespread region. In days like this, it is air moving into and over mountains (i.e. orographic uplift) that causes showers and storms to form over high terrain areas, and their cooler air at the summits which allow that forced rising air to continue to rise and turn into showers, downpours and storms (a/k/a differential heating). This looks to be the case for today. For tonight, we do have to watch potential for a Mesoscale Convective System (an MCS is an old cluster of thunderstorms that formed during the day or evening) coming out of the Mid-Atlantic that may rumble our homes tonight. Tomorrow, I believe, holds a better chance for stronger storms as we'll be closer to our upper low, but if that MCS moves through toward dawn, it may cause clouds to linger much of the day which would tamp down heating and reduce the severe storm threat. The bottom line is that it's uniformly humid and warm through the week with chances for isolated to scattered showers and storms each day. It's not really possible to time out who gets wet and where with these setups. The Friday to Saturday period hopefully brings some more drying and less shower chances, but I will update as we get closer. Have a great day! >>> BE KIND <<< “Hello babies. Welcome to Earth. It's hot in the summer and cold in the winter. It's round and wet and crowded. On the outside, babies, you've got a hundred years here. There's only one rule that I know of, babies: Goddamn it, you've got to be kind.” --Kurt Vonnegut