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TABLE OF CONTENTS
* Daily Celestials (Sun/Moon Data)
* Sponsor Note
* Weekly Weather Nutshell
* Join My Newsletter (Free 70 page ebook)
* Morning Discussion
* TIP: Scroll below for sections, or read all
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YOUR DAILY CELESTIALS
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STAR:
–OUR STAR ROSE AT: 5:13am this morning
–OUR STAR SETS AT: 8:27pm this evening
–TOTAL DAYLIGHT TIME: 15 hours and 14 minutes
MOON:
–OUR MOON RISES AT: 1:12pm this morning
–MOON RISE DIRECTION: East
–OUR MOON SETS AT: 1:29am tomorrow morning
–MOON SET DIRECTION: West
–MOON PHASE: Waxing Gibbous (52.2%)
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A NOTE FROM OUR SPONSOR
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Dave Hayes The Weather Nut is Sponsored by Individual Community Members, Patrons, and Tandem Bagel Company… No matter the weather, Tandem Bagel is always there for you at several valley locations to make your mornings brighter! With *New Pizza Bagels(!)*, along with bagels baked fresh daily (including Gluten-Free options), house-whipped cream cheese, coffee, and tons of lunch options, Tandem is the perfect quick stop for lunch, breakfast, or a coffee and bagel to go.
You can either A) visit them in Easthampton, Northampton, Hadley, Florence, and/or West Springfield, B) hire them to cater your next event, or C) use their super-streamlined online ordering tool by visiting their website and clicking the “Catering” or “Order Online” links.
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WEEKLY WEATHER NUTSHELL
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–A few showers this morning, but mostly dry
–Temps rise into the mid 70s to mid 80s
–Partly sunny early, then more clouds this afternoon and eve
–Scattered showers, downpours and thunderstorms form by afternoon, lasting on/off into the evening
–Strong gusty winds with localized damage possible
–Hail (some larger) and street flooding also expected in spots, with isolated instances of flash flooding possible
–Lows drop to the mid to upper 50s, any showers/storms should be ending by midnight or so
–After some morning clouds, a lovely weekend develops
–Highs low to mid 70s Saturday, dry and sunny, with lows in the 40s
–highs mid to upper 70s Sunday, dry and sunny, with lows in the 50s
–Monday is transition day to potent heat and humidity, with highs in the low to mid 80s under mostly sunny skies and lows in the low 60s with increasing humidity
–Tuesday through Friday looks hot, hazy and humid, with highs ini the upper 80s to mid 90s Tuesday inio Wednesday, and then the mid 90s to low 100s late week so put the ACs in the windows!
–No severe weather noted during next week’s heat wave as powerful high pressure and an upper ridge dominates our skies
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GET DAVE’S TOP 12 MOST POTENT STORMS
IN WMASS HISTORY (Plus 3 honorable mentions)
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YOUR MORNING DISCUSSION
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Good morning folks, I’m expecting periods of scattered showers, downpours and thunderstorms at any point today, but especially in the afternoon and evening, with potential for a few rounds of unsettled weather today.
A few showers are ongoing in southern VT and the far northern Berkshires and this line should weaken with time.
Temps are already in the upper 50s to 60s, and this means temps will come up pretty quickly where hazy sunshine is present.
Highs today should reach the mid 70s to mid 80s with humid conditions, and with some upper level support and an approaching cold front (along with associated wind shear) from our northwest, we’ll see instability increase across the region by mid-day.
From what I can see, we could see a few rounds of weather across differing parts of the greater WMass region.
GENERAL SETUP: 3 ROUNDS
As of early morning this seems more like to present as a mid-day cluster or set of individual thunderstorm cells, followed by more of a squall line by mid to late afternoon, and lastly ending with some more heavy rain showers with some embedded thunder later this evening and into the first part of the night before the whole soupy mess swings east-southeast and out to sea as the cold front passes through, setting up a lovely weekend.
HAZARDS
We were always expected to see a sharper low-level temperature gradient from surface to a couple miles up or so (i.e. “low level lapse rate”), but now it appears that the mid-level lapse rates will be a bit sharper as well, and this is what can produce taller and stronger updrafts in storms cells and loft precip high above the freezing layer, and generate hail of increasing size.
Given this, all hazards (except a tornado) or possible today, including straight line damaging wind gusts, hail (mostly small, but up to an inch in diameter possible), street flooding, and isolated instances of flash flooding possible, with of course lightning as well.
PLEASE NOTE: It’s not going to be possible to time out these fast-forming, fast-moving, small-scale storms, or to say when one will impact your neighborhood, unfortunately.
I do have a concern for heavy rain tonight as a passing coastal storm well southeast of us may help amp departing showers and moisture, and it would be south of the Pike in southern WMass, northern CT and over to southern CMass that could see some heavy rain tonight as well.
After today’s and this evening’s unsettled weather, we’re off to the races for both an amazing weekend of mostly sunny skies with highs in the 70s and lows in the 50s and low humidity, but then a serious heat wave for Tuesday through Friday with some areas hitting 100º by late week with high humidity… and plenty of sunshine.
So, stormy/changeable today, lovely clear weekend, hot and humid next week with many days of sunshine on the way.
For now, I am focused on today’s weather threats, so please stay tuned and I will do my best to keep you updated.
Have a great day, peeps!
>>> BE KIND <<<
“Hello babies. Welcome to Earth. It’s hot in the summer and cold in the winter. It’s round and wet and crowded. On the outside, babies, you’ve got a hundred years here. There’s only one rule that I know of, babies: Goddamn it, you’ve got to be kind.”
–Kurt Vonnegut