>>> DAVE’S WEEKLY WEATHER NUTSHELL <<< --Today is the pick of the weekend for sure, partly sunny, but very muggy with highs in the mid to upper 80s --A few scattered showers, downpours or thunderstorms are expected in the afternoon and evening, but outdoor plans should be ok to move forward, just keep an eye/ear out --For tonight, patchy fog is expected as moisture surges north into the region --Scattered showers/storms are expected, but most are dry until midnight or so --Then a cold front approaches from the west Sunday morning with moisture surge, and heavy rain will develop, with tropical downpours and a few embedded thunderstorms --Flash flood warnings are expected throughout the greater WMass region, but especially in northwest CT, Berkshires, western hilltowns and VT into SWNH --We get a lull by early to mid afternoon, with scattered showers, downpours and t-storms thereafter, some of which could be strong to severe --Highs only in the 70s tomorrow with rain that could total 1-4" in spots --Scattered showers/storms wind down Sunday night, with lows in the 60s --Monday looks lovely, summery, a touch drier, and mostly sunny with highs upper 80s --Tuesday features another cold front and disturbance with a period of showers and thunderstorms --Wednesday looks like the pick of the week with drier air moving in for a day under plenty of sunshine, and that MAY last into Thursday, but by late week more unsettled weather returns, though no washouts appear likely at the moment, but before we talk details let's check a note from our local weekend sponsor, #GerardGhazeyBatesPC, an estate planning law firm in Northampton, MA. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ >>> A NOTE FROM OUR SPONSOR <<< Dave Hayes The Weather Nut is Sponsored by Individual Community Members, Patrons & Gerard, Ghazey & Bates, P.C. GGBPC is a Northampton-based law firm regarded as the voice of pragmatic and well-reasoned estate planning, elder law and tax guidance in Western Massachusetts. The firm specializes in estate planning law, and expertly handles other matters such as Elder Law, Tax Law, as well as Real Estate purchase, sales, and refinance transactions. Contact GGBPC today to see how they can help!

>>> MORNING DISCUSSION <<< Good morning everybody, if you're wanting to get outside and take care of outdoor activities, today is your day, but just have a change of clothes, because perspiration is quite likely given how muggy it is today! Dewpoints are already into the low 70s, and I would advise you to stay hydrated and take breaks if you've got work to do! High temps will reach the mid to upper 80s and skies will be partly sunny on average with scattered showers and thunderstorms this afternoon and evening. For tonight, a major surge of tropical air will be siphoned northward from along the eastern seaboard due to low pressure and an associated cold front swinging east and northeast toward New England, unfurled and hurled in our direction by our now-nemesis upper low pressure system in central Canada that I am calling Voldemort, because I'm a Harry Potter nut, and I'm weird. I am so tired of this system, as we all are, as it is the culprit that keeps the bad times coming, and the streams and streets flooding. So, for tonight we'll see patchy fog and lows in the 65-70º range, and with dewpoints coming up, fog could become dense in spots, and I wouldn't be surprised if some Dense Fog Advisories are issued overnight by the NWS, but we shall see. In addition, we'll have scattered showers or a thunderstorm tonight, but these will be increasing quite a bit by early Sunday morning. This is when the cold front and some low pressure areas aloft will be rippling in our direction, and will combine with this rich moisture plume from the south to produce heavy rainfall at times with downpours and embedded thunderstorms. It is the Sunday morning into early afternoon timeframe when it is most likely for us to see multiple flash flood warnings issued to runoff from heavy rainfall. You probably saw which rivers are more "flashy" as Mary M. from this page has put it, so if you live in said flood-prone areas around those streams or terrain dips where land meets water, stay alert. Sunday morning until mid-day looks pretty much like a washout, and then by afternoon we should enter a more scattered showers and thunderstorm regime with hit or miss cells, that's how it looks now, but that doesn't mean we can't see additional flash flooding in the afternoon or evening. Highs tomorrow will only reach 75-80º, and lows will be in the 60s to low 70s with patchy fog and some showers. For Monday, we get a break. Mostly sunny skies should develop with weak ridging, and highs should reach the mid to upper 80s with lows in the mid to upper 60s. Tuesday features highs in the 80s with another frontal boundary and disturbance that will together bring another period of showers and thunderstorms, though not as robust as Sunday's event, which by the way won't be as robust as last Sunday's historic flood, given that the heaviest rain "should" be more progressive and not last as long. Wednesday brings us yet another break and this time humidity should be decreased under mostly sunny skies with highs in the 80s. Hopefully this will last into Thursday, but by late week we are expecting the return of more humidity and another round of afternoon/evening showers and thunderstorms, but at this moment they look to be more of the "typical" afternoon/instability variety generated by the heating of the day vs. a storm/frontal passage, but I will keep you updated. No heat waves are in sight, but not long-term breaks in this pattern are either, I will keep looking for it and keep you up to date, so stay tuned regarding tomorrow's flash flood potential, so so enjoy today since it's the only day you'll ever be guaranteed if you are reading these words. Be well, Dave. >>> BE KIND <<< “Hello babies. Welcome to Earth. It's hot in the summer and cold in the winter. It's round and wet and crowded. On the outside, babies, you've got a hundred years here. There's only one rule that I know of, babies: Goddamn it, you've got to be kind.” --Kurt Vonnegut