Good morning everybody, we’ve got another beautiful and calm day today. A great face towards the Sun to appreciate and be grateful for!

There is a cloud shield associated with a stubborn cold front that continues to move s l o w l y south and east of our south coast, and so the day starts off from Hartford to Worcester to Manchester, NH with some clouds, but that will move steadily south and east. Showers on the Cape will abate as well.

We’ll see highs in the low 80s today in Western Mass, and fairweather cumulus clouds will build during the day today, and tomorrow. An isolated, quick shower can’t be ruled either day, but given drier air in the mid levels of the atmosphere, it’s unlikely.

Tomorrow will warm more into the mid 80s, with slightly more humid air as high pressure moves over us and off the coast, allowing a return of the southerly flow into New England.

Sunday is a transition day between our current fair weather, and what could be a substantial severe weather outbreak Monday, and especially Tuesday, with remnants on Wednesday, before cooler and drier high pressure moves back in for the late week period.

We will see some showers and thunderstorms on Sunday, which could arrive as early as the afternoon. However, the bulk of any shower activity would likely be from dinner time into the night, but I’ll have to watch it and update as the day arrives.

I do have some concern about early next week, as a piece of the Polar Vortex settles south into the north-central US, representing a highly amplified pattern. A high amplitude pattern just refers to more pronounced north-south motion of jet streams, as opposed to a “zonal flow” which is more straight west-east in orientation.

There will be anomalously cool and dry air moving into the country for mid July, and since that feature is to our northwest, it will allow a very strong southwesterly flow of very warm and humid air into southern New England and Western Mass. As that cool pool works into and collides with the very warm and humid air, we could see severe thunderstorms that could result in any or all severe weather hazards: strong damaging winds, hail, frequent lightning, flash flooding, microbursts and even a tornado or two.

It certainly bears watching, but I wanted to make you aware of this potential severe weather situation. Hopefully factors between now and then will shift, which could mitigate severe effects.

Anyways, that’s all for now, have an awesome day!