Good evening everybody, that sure was a pretty snowfall today, for those that saw the snow showers as our warm front lifted north into the region.
As my Nana used to say way back in the 80s before she passed, “I love the big flakes”.
Me too, Nana. <3 For tonight, a few flurries or light snow showers will linger mainly west of the CT River after 7pm. Clouds will thicken and lower as our Alberta Clipper system races east through northern New England by tomorrow. Lows tonight should mostly be where they are now (25-30 degrees), and are expected to rise a bit by dawn, especially south of the Route 9 corridor in WMass. Colder temps may hold longer north of Route 9, resulting in more snow or rain/snow mix before the I-91 corridor from Greenfield to Hartford turns to rain after dawn (and maybe before dawn for north-central CT up to Springfield metro area). Snow moves in after midnight, starting in the Berkshires around then, and progressing east. The southwesterly flow will help enhance snow rates in west-facing slopes of the high terrain of NW CT, WMass ENY, and SVT west of the CT River Valley. Valley areas will likely see lighter precip and/or more spotty coverage given the downsloping/sinking air into the valley itself (remember sinking air is a drying regime). Again, I think 1-3" does it by late morning for those aforementioned high terrain areas, with perhaps 3-5" in the northwestern hilltowns of Hampshire/Franklin Counties, northeast Berkshires, and SVT west of Brattleboro. The rest of us in the valley that see mostly rain will see a quarter inch of water or so. Highs tomorrow will reach the low 40s with some southwest breezes to 15-20mph at times. For Monday night, we cloud back up and see lows drop to near 30 degrees. By the pre-dawn hours of Tuesday morning, our cold front that our Monday morning Clipper system will have dragged to our south along the southern New England coast will be stalling. Another wave of low pressure will form to our southwest and ride northeast along this frontal boundary for Tuesday morning. This will bring more light snow, ice and rain into the region for Tuesday morning. As for precip changeover lines, I am not sure yet, I will update you as get closer. It doesn't look like a major system, and should last into the afternoon and quit thereafter. Highs look to reach the 35-40 degree range on Tuesday, and dip into the upper 20s by Tuesday night. Wednesday looks great! High pressure builds through with highs in the mid to upper 30s under partly to mostly sunny skies. Then yet another storm system arrives after midnight early on Thursday. This will be another flat west-to-east tracker, which is the type we get in a pattern like this when the Arctic circulation is high and tight and locking the coldest air up well north of us. There will be some cold air just north as high pressure dives southeast into the Great Lakes, spinning a NW flow towards New England. But we need that high to dive more SE rather than SSE (south-southeast) to nudge our storm more south, to bring a moderate snowstorm in WMass. Right now, the tracks are all over the place, and it could easily just be snow to rain... again. I do know that it will get much colder here Friday into the weekend, but looks fairly dry. Have a great night! ------ [HILLTOWN SNOWS TONIGHT] A FEW SNOW SHOWERS IN SPOTS TODAY AS A WEAK WAVE MOVES THROUGH, BUT A MORE ORGANIZED STORM WILL TRACK EAST THROUGH THE REGION OVERNIGHT, SPREADING SNOW AND RAIN THROUGH THE WMASS REGION AFTER MIDNIGHT, ENDING BY MID MORNING TOMORROW... MORE MIXED SHOWERS ON TUESDAY, AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY, THEN WE COOL DOWN FOR THE WEEKEND, ACTIVE BUT MILDER PATTERN CONTINUES... (8am Sunday) Good morning every, rise and shine! Oh wait, you've already rose and shone? It's just me that's behind the 8 ball this morning? Let's start that again: Rise and Shine, Dave! SUMMARY --Early sunshine will give way to increasing clouds as the day wears on --More clouds already exist over northwest CT, the Taconics, the Berkshires, etc. --A weak system is already producing a few snow showers or flurries in Litchfield County and the southern Taconics, and this will push northeast into the southern Berkshires and southwest hilltowns of WMass later this morning and into afternoon --Highs will reach the low to mid 30s --A few light coatings are possible in high terrain spots, but snow showers will change to rain showers in the central/lower Pioneer Valley if they make it that far east --For this evening, clouds will thicken and lower, lows will drop into the upper 20s to low 30s, but will rise toward dawn --Low pressure will track east through northern New England, and encourage southwest flow into the region --This will enhance precipitation rates over the BLTs (Berkshires/Litchfields/Taconics), western hills, and SVT, and it will be cold enough there for snow, which starts after midnight --Some northern valley areas from about Northampton north to Brattleboro could see snow or mixed rain and snow, with just rain likely in northern CT (east of the high terrain, though Tolland County highlands could see snow) --While coatings are possible in some valley locations east into Worcester County, 1-3" looks likely for the BLTs, the western hills and southwest NH (and possibly an inch or two in the eastern Franklin County hills), with 3-6" in southern VT, maybe a little more! A few more northwestern hilltowns like Heath, Rowe and northeastern Berkshires like Savoy and Florida could see more like 2-4" --Any rain or snow clears out by mid to late morning, and tomorrow will become mild with highs in the upper 20s --A cold front will stall south of New England and a wave of low pressure will develop along it and spread mixed rain and snow into the region Tuesday with highs in near 40 degrees, and lows in the upper 20s --Wednesday looks like the pick of the week with mostly sunny skies and highs in the 35-40 degree range --Wednesday night into Thursday is uncertain in terms of precipitation type and duration. A storm will move through, but exact track will need to be refined, which will impact precip types and totals --We cool down by Friday into the weekend with drier conditions and highs in the 20s to near 30 degrees Have a great day!