Western Mass Regional Weather for November 21, 2024

[7:22AM THUR 11/21/24] RAIN ARRIVES THIS MORNING, GREAT BARRINGTON FIRE MAY SMOKE MORE AS RAIN FALLS ON IT… DEEP DRY GROUND AND AIR PRECEDING STORM MAY HELP TO LOWER TOTALS SLIGHTLY, BUT GENERALLY 0.5”-1” OF RAIN IN THE VALLEY, AND 0.75”-1.5” IN THE HIGH TERRAIN EXPECTED… ISOLATED TO SCATTERED RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY AM… RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT… SLOW DRYING THROUGH WEEKEND, AS WIND PICKS UP, COULD GUST OVER 40MPH BY SUNDAY… TRANQUIL EARLY WEEK, MORE SHOWERS TUES/WED… BIG THANKSGIVING STORM? GET COZY AND WARM WITH DAVE’S 2024 HOLIDAY APPAREL SALE WHICH LAUNCHES TODAY & ENDS DECEMBER 2… SEE BELOW…

TABLE OF CONTENTS
* Daily Celestials (Sun/Moon Data)
* Sponsor Note
* Dave’s 2024 Apparel Sale Live (Hats, Hoodies, Tees & More)
* Morning Discussion
* TIP: Scroll below for sections, or read all
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YOUR DAILY CELESTIALS
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STAR:
–OUR STAR ROSE AT: 6:48am this morning
–OUR STAR WILL SET AT: 4:23pm this evening
–TOTAL DAYLIGHT TIME: 9 hours and 35 minutes

MOON:
–OUR MOON WILL SET AT: 12:15pm this afternoon
–MOON SET DIRECTION: West-Northwest
–OUR MOON WILL RISE AT: 10:08pm tonight
–MOON RISE DIRECTION: East-Northeast
–MOON PHASE: Waning Gibbous (65.4%)
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A NOTE FROM OUR SPONSOR
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Dave Hayes The Weather Nut is Sponsored by Individual Community Members, Patrons, and Tandem Bagel Company… No matter the weather, Tandem Bagel is always there for you at several valley locations to make your mornings brighter! With *New Pizza Bagels(!)*, along with bagels baked fresh daily (including Gluten-Free options), house-whipped cream cheese, coffee, and tons of lunch options, Tandem is the perfect quick stop for lunch, breakfast, or a coffee and bagel to go.

You can either 1) visit them in Easthampton, Northampton, Hadley, Florence, and/or West Springfield, 2) hire them to cater your next event, or 3) use their super-streamlined online ordering tool by visiting their website and clicking the “Catering” or “Order Online” links.
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DAVE’S 2024 APPAREL SALE ENDS DEC. 2ND
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Need Holiday Gifts, or wanna stay toasty this Winter?

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(3 designs to choose from)

HOODIES, LONG SLEEVES, TEES (Classic)
#1. Snow Lover’s Triangle of Disappointment

#2. Classic DHTWN Logo

HATS (New)
#3. Weather Nut Hats

DAVE’S 2025 CALENDARS (195 left before sold out)
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YOUR MORNING DISCUSSION
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Good morning everybody, much-needed rainfall is moving north-northeast into the greater WMass region this morning, already in place over western CT from the I-91 corridor westward, and also into southwest MA, starting to move up the Pioneer Valley.

It’s still dry in much of SVT, the far northern Berkshires and Franklin County east into SWNH, CMass and northeast CT but that will change in time.

Low pressure is slowly deepening south of Long Island and as it tries to scoot ENE and away, an upper low that is pivoting around the Ohio Valley will capture, tug, and pull it back to northwest as the day wears on.

This will produce periods of light to moderate rainfall in our region today and into tonight, with lighter / drizzly periods, but overall it looks wet into the first part of tonight. Highs will be cold and raw, only rising to the upper 30s to upper 40s, with lows in the low to mid 30s.

Easterly flow will develop today given that the storm will be located to our south, and so easterly gusts should come up to around 15-25mph at times, especially in the high terrain.

This will create a shadowing effect, which is more common in the winter time. Heavier rains will fall over the Worcester hills, as well as into the western hilltowns, the eastern Berkshires, the Litchfield Hills of CT and the southern Greens of VT as air rises due to the presence of mountains (a/k/a “orographic uplift”).

However, as that air descends off of the CMass hills into the Pioneer Valley, it sinks (or subsides) and dries a bit, so the valley should see less rain than hillier parts of our region (The Rain Lover’s Triangle of Disappointment???).

Rainfall totals will range from 0.5-1” in the valley and 0.75” to 1.5” in the high terrain.

Also, don’t be surprised if in and around south county that MORE smoke is generated from the Great Barrington fire as rain falls onto it. This may affect visibility due to smoke and rain combined.

Precipitation becomes more showery and periodic vs. steady later tonight, and could turn to snow in far northwest MA and southern VT, with some slushy coatings in the high peaks above 1500 feet.

Friday should start off with isolated to widely scattered rain and snow showers, though there is a low chance that as the storm retrogrades into western NY overnight into Friday morning that we could see a bloom of light snow over the Berkshires, far northern Litchfields and western hilltowns into SVT, an if that happens we could see coatings to an inch of snow.

Highs Friday again will only reach the upper 30s to upper 40s with scattered showers of rain and/or snow (snow relegated to higher terrain).

As the storm continues to pull west back towards central NY/PA on Friday, another wave wrapping around the east side of the upper low may pull back into southwest NH, CMass and northeast CT bringing additional rains there, with some snow mix Friday night in the high terrain, whereas west of there (valley westward) I still think we see more isolated activity.

Lows Friday night will dip into the upper 20s to mid 30s as the upper low comes east.

The weekend looks blustery and cool, with occasional showers Saturday as the upper low moves overhead, with highs in the upper 30s to upper 40s all weekend, and lows in the 30s Saturday night and either side of 30º Sunday night.

It will be mostly cloudy Saturday with more partial sun on Sunday, but northwest gusts will blow 25-40mph at times, highest most likely on Sunday.

Monday looks tranquil with high pressure nudging in and producing highs in the mid 40s to low 50s and lows in the low to mid 30s as clouds increase.

Another frontal boundary with a storm passing north of us will bring more showers on Tuesday most likely, and then we monitor the Wednesday through Friday / Thanksgiving travel period which may feature a large rain and/or snow storm that could impact travel plans, so I will keep you updated!

Have a great day and check out my 2024 apparel sale below if you need other holiday gifts!

Get warm and cozy with Dave’s 2024 Holiday Apparel Sale!
(3 designs to choose from)

HOODIES, LONG SLEEVES, TEES (Classic)

#1. Snow Lover’s Triangle of Disappointment

#2. Classic DHTWN Logo

#3. Weather Nut Hats

2025 Weather Wall Calendar
(Securely Order via Cards, Venmo, PayPal, Check)

“Follow your bliss and the universe will open doors for you where there were only walls.”
― Joseph Campbell

By |2024-11-21T07:30:00-05:00November 21, 2024|Current Forecast|

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