[7:25AM WED 11/20/24] GREAT BARRINGTON BUTTERNUT FIRE CONTINUES, MAY NOT BE OUT UNTIL WINTER… FINAL DAY OF CONTINUOUS / ELEVATED FIRE-SPREAD RISK TODAY… SOAKING RAINFALL FINALLY ARRIVES TOMORROW… SOME LIGHT WET SNOW ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE BY FRIDAY NIGHT IN THE WESTERN HILLTOWNS, BERKSHIRES AND SOUTHERN GREENS… SATURDAY MAY FEATURE A FEW SHOWERS, BUT SUNDAY IS DRIER… COOL TEMPS THROUGHOUT… IN GENERAL, A SEASONABLE, COOLER PATTERN SETS UP…
~TABLE OF CONTENTS
* Daily Celestials (Sun/Moon Data)
* Sponsor Note
* Morning Discussion
* TIP: Scroll below for sections, or read all
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YOUR DAILY CELESTIALS
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STAR:
–OUR STAR ROSE AT: 6:47am this morning
–OUR STAR WILL SET AT: 4:24pm this evening
–TOTAL DAYLIGHT TIME: 9 hours and 37 minutes
MOON:
–OUR MOON WILL SET AT: 11:44am this morning
–MOON SET DIRECTION: West-Northwest
–OUR MOON WILL RISE AT: 8:59pm tonight
–MOON RISE DIRECTION: East-Northeast
–MOON PHASE: Waning Gibbous (74.7%)
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A NOTE FROM OUR SPONSOR
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Dave Hayes The Weather Nut is Sponsored by Individual Community Members, Patrons, and Tandem Bagel Company… No matter the weather, Tandem Bagel is always there for you at several valley locations to make your mornings brighter! With *New Pizza Bagels(!)*, along with bagels baked fresh daily (including Gluten-Free options), house-whipped cream cheese, coffee, and tons of lunch options, Tandem is the perfect quick stop for lunch, breakfast, or a coffee and bagel to go.
You can either 1) visit them in Easthampton, Northampton, Hadley, Florence, and/or West Springfield, 2) hire them to cater your next event, or 3) use their super-streamlined online ordering tool by visiting their website and clicking the “Catering” or “Order Online” links.
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DHTWN ANNOUNCEMENTS
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— Dave’s FREE Mobile App launches in December
— Get updates at the link below
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YOUR MORNING DISCUSSION
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Good morning everybody, we have quite the spread in temps this morning with upper 20s in southwest NH and northern CMass, and in the low to mid 40s in parts of northwest CT and southwest MA, with 30s in between.
As for today’s weather, we have one more pleasant and dry day, and even with light winds, fire spread continues to be a risk as we have seen for weeks now, with more brush fires than I have ever seen in my three dozen years living here in western MA.
I am pretty sure the Butternut Fire in Great Barrington, MA (southern Berkshires) has exceeded 100 acres, so thankfully we have rain in the forecast for tomorrow with showery periods Friday and possibly even on Saturday, though that’s the transition day from wetter to drier.
For today/Thursday, we’ll enjoy the mildest day we’ll see in the next 7, as we continue to step down now into late Autumn and approach the start of Winter 2024-2025. Highs will reach the mid to upper 50s under partly to mostly sunny skies with clouds building in late.
What was the secondary storm of a potent low currently west of Lake Superior near the Minnesota-Canada border will become the primary storm over the Great Lakes that will then spawn a NEW secondary low off of the northern Mid-Atlantic coastline near NYC tonight and into Thursday.
Clouds will increase tonight with lows dipping into the mid to upper 30s, and our Mid-Atlantic low center will push rainfall into northwest CT and southwest MA in the pre-dawn hours after midnight Thursday morning.
Expect a wet Thursday morning commute to develop tomorrow with rain, moderate to heavier at times, lasting throughout the day and at least the first part of Thursday night before midnight. Highs will only reach the upper 30s to upper 40s.
By Thursday night, our secondary storm will be pulled northwest (i.e. it will retrograde) into New York State as the primary low drops south into the western Ohio Valley, and the upper low will sink south into PA.
This storm motion may produce a dry slot that pushes into the greater WMass region around or after midnight, but as this spiraling, whirlpooling meteorological morass generally drifts east through Saturday, we’ll see periods of showers at times Friday into Saturday morning.
In addition, we will see cooling temps, such that a mix or change to wet snow is probable over high terrain areas of the Berkshires, western hilltowns and southern VT (and possibly even the northern Litchfields of CT) as early as Thursday night into Friday. Heck, we may even see some snowflakes at onset early tomorrow morning in southern VT Green Mountains!
Highs Friday and Saturday will only rise to the upper 30s to mid 40s, with lows in the low to mid 30s for all of us.
The second half of Saturday should be drier, but I am going to have to refine this going forward, because lazy, lackadaisical, logey upper lows tend to meander, lollygag, and wander aimlessly like a drunken and high version of DHTWN back in my 20s ;-)
Sunday looks drier, but still cooler with highs in the 40s under partly sunny skies, with fair weather into Monday.
Cool temps should continue next week with highs in the 40s to low 50s, and there are some additional storm signals, but we need to get through this upcoming complex of systems first.
I will keep you updated, and I hope you have a great day!
(200 extra ordered for late-season calendar buyers)
“Follow your bliss and the universe will open doors for you where there were only walls.”
― Joseph Campbell