Western Mass Regional Weather for November 16, 2023


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TABLE OF CONTENTS
* Daily Celestials (Sun/Moon Data)
* WMass Zone Forecast Summaries
* Weekly Weather Nutshell
* Morning Discussion
* TIP: Scroll below for sections, or read all
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YOUR DAILY CELESTIALS
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STAR:
–OUR STAR ROSE AT: 6:41am this morning
–OUR STAR WILL SET AT: 4:28pm this evening
–TOTAL DAYLIGHT TIME: 9 hours and 49 minutes

MOON:
–OUR MOON WILL SET AT: 6:52pm this evening
–MOON SET DIRECTION: Southwest
–OUR MOON WILL RISE AT: 11:21am tomorrow morning
–MOON RISE DIRECTION: Southeast
–MOON PHASE: Waxing Crescent (10.9%)
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WMASS ZONE FORECAST SUMMARIES
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ZONE 1 – Northern Region
(Southern VT, Southwest NH)
–High Temps (Today): Upper 40s to Mid 50s
–Low Temps (Tonight): Upper 20s to Mid 30s
–High Temps (Tomorrow): Mid 50s to Low 60s
–Winds: Light variable today and tonight, southerly gusts 20-30mph tomorrow
–Sky Cover: Mostly sunny today, mostly clear tonight, sunny to mostly cloudy by late tomorrow
–Precipitation: None expected today/tonight, showers late Friday night
–NWS Alerts / Nut Notes: Patchy fog possible late tonight

ZONE 2 – Central Region
(Western MA, North-Central MA, Northern Litchfield CT)
–High Temps (Today): Mid 50s to Low 60s
–Low Temps (Tonight): Low to Mid 30s
–High Temps (Tomorrow): Upper 50s to Mid 60s
–Winds: Light variable today and tonight, southerly gusts 20-30mph tomorrow
–Sky Cover: Mostly sunny today, mostly clear tonight, sunny to mostly cloudy by late tomorrow
–Precipitation: None expected today/tonight, showers late Friday night
–NWS Alerts / Nut Notes: Patchy fog possible late tonight

ZONE 3 – Southern Region
(South-Central MA, Northern CT)
–High Temps (Today): Upper 50s to Low 60s
–Low Temps (Tonight): Mid 30s to Low 40s
–High Temps (Tomorrow): Low to Mid 60s
–Winds: Light variable today and tonight, southerly gusts 20-30mph tomorrow
–Sky Cover: Mostly sunny today, mostly clear tonight, sunny to mostly cloudy by late tomorrow
–Precipitation: None expected today/tonight, showers late Friday night
–NWS Alerts / Nut Notes: Patchy fog possible late tonight
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YOUR WEEKLY WEATHER NUTSHELL
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–Cold start for low elevations, milder higher up due either to inversion and/or breezy conditions
–Mostly sunny skies today and tomorrow with highs in the 50s to low 60s today, upper 50s to mid 60s tomorrow!
–Lows tonight will be mostly in the 30s, and mostly clear, calm
–Light wind today, but southerly gusts tomorrow ahead of the cold front will feel balmy, with speeds 20-30mph
–Clouds increase late tomorrow, with showers moving in late as the cold front presses toward the region
–Saturday is cloudy and showery first half of the day as a coastal storm tracks offshore
–Showers quit by early afternoon or so, with strong northwesterlies 25-40mph cooling the air, with highs either side ofd 50º, then falling
–Can’t rule out a few mountain snow showers, with lows in the mid to upper 20s, blustery with westerly gusts to 30mph
–Sunday and Monday look colder, sunnier and breezy with highs in the low to mid 40s Sunday and upper 30s to low 40s Monday, with lows in the 20s
–Tuesday starts off partly sunny but a major storm system will be tracking from Texas through the Great Lakes hurling a warm front at us
–It will become overcast late in the day with rain and possibly snow Tuesday night into Wednesday as a secondary storm may develop south of us and hold cold air into our region, possibly impacting holiday travel, but before we talk details let’s check a note from our local and delicious sponsor, #TandemBagelCo, with their newest location in the Stop & Shop Plaza on King Street in Northampton, MA.
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A NOTE FROM OUR SPONSOR
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Dave Hayes The Weather Nut is Sponsored by Individual Community Members, Patrons, and Tandem Bagel Company… No matter the weather, Tandem Bagel is always there for you at several valley locations to make your mornings brighter! With bagels baked fresh daily (including Gluten-Free options), house-whipped cream cheese, coffee, and tons of lunch options, Tandem is the perfect quick stop for lunch, breakfast, or a coffee and bagel to go. Find them in Easthampton, Northampton, Hadley, Florence, and West Springfield, or use their super-streamlined online ordering tool by visiting their website.
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YOUR MORNING DISCUSSION
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Good morning peeps of the Golden West, I bestow upon you all manner and matter of well-being, goodness, heart-y fellowship, and blessed tidings for you and yours as we gird, brace, and ultimately surrender to the incoming cold season as it seeps into our lives in fits and starts, which is the way much of the rest of life seems to move in and through us.

One of those darts is arriving on our shores today and tomorrow in an event I call “The Mildening”, as we’ve got high pressure that has slipped south of us, which puts us into a southerly flow given its position and clockwise circulation.

This means fair weather, mostly sunny skies, and highs in the 50s to low 60s today, and upper 50s to mid 60s tomorrow! Enjoy!

It won’t last, so get out there and do some Sun-Soakin’, is my best advice.

Winds will be light today and tonight, with patchy fog possible late as lows drop into the 30s overnight.

After a super sweet day tomorrow, clouds will be building as an upper low and cold front will be pushing in from the west. At the same time a coastal low which SOAKED southern FL yesterday will be drawn north-northeast, channeled between the western edge of high pressure in the Atlantic and our incoming upper trough.

However, it looks like the trough will stay neutrally-tilted (which means it has an axis from North to South, which sweeps systems east of us, usually), so the coastal low is unlikely to phase with it, and instead just be pushed east of the greater WMass region.

Still, the strong cold front will have bands of showers with it, and so we can expect periods of showers Friday night into the first part of Saturday.

Lows Friday night will only settle into the upper 30s to mid 40s, and it should still be breezy.

Rain ends by mid day or on Saturday, and then the front passes through our region, and northwesterlies will pick up and gust 25-40mph at times, so expect a windy Saturday later afternoon and evening with lows plummeting to the mid to upper 20s with a few Berkshire lake effect snow showers possible.

Sunday and Monday are cool and breezy as our new air mass fully empties into the region from Canada, with partly to mostly sunny skies and highs in the low to mid 40s Sunday and upper 30s to low 40s on Monday (with lows in the 20s).

By Tuesday, I will be watching another much more potent storm cranking up in the middle of the country, set to run throrugh the Great Lakes region.

This will hurl its warm front at us with plenty of moisture to produce showers and rain in our region.

However, there are signals that a secondary low will try to form along the warm front, and possibly even stay south of us, which keeps us in the cooler side of storm systems.

Given that this precipitation and secondary storm would be moving in Tuesday night (the coldest time of the day) this has to be watched, because we could end up with a period of accumulating snow before it all turns to rain on Wednesday morning, which could have negative implications for holiday travel, so stay tuned!

It will become windy sometime on Wednesday and possibly into Thanksgiving as temps spike towards the low 50s, and then cool back down into the 40s on Thanksgiving Day and through that following weekend the way it looks now, so please check back for updates! Have a great day!

>>> BE KIND <<<
“Hello babies. Welcome to Earth. It’s hot in the summer and cold in the winter. It’s round and wet and crowded. On the outside, babies, you’ve got a hundred years here. There’s only one rule that I know of, babies: Goddamn it, you’ve got to be kind.”
–Kurt Vonnegut

By |2023-11-16T07:12:48-05:00November 16, 2023|Current Forecast|

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