>>> DAVE’S WEEKLY WEATHER NUTSHELL <<< --A ridge of high pressure dominates our weather today, and any patchy fog in SVT/SWNH burns off --Friday will be rain-free with highs in the mid 80s to low 90s --Heat indices may reach into the mid 90s with dewpoints in the upper 60s to low 70s, hence the Heat Advisory hoistings! --Air quality may take a slight hit this afternoon and evening due to humidity and a bit of wildfire smoke but should be tolerable --Lows in the upper 60s to low 70s, humid! --Saturday is the final day of potential severe weather before we get a break for Sunday into next week --Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are possible, especially along and south of the Pike AGAIN --Main impacts would be straight line wind damage and street flooding, though a weak tornado can't be ruled out --Some Saturday morning showers should move through, but main weather event is 2-7pm in the afternoon, and it will be very warm and humid --Sunday through Wednesday looks better behind the cold front responsible for Saturday's weather --Lower temps in the 70s for highs and 50s for lows with lower humidity and only occasional isolated showers within a more fair weather and mostly sunny sky on average is expected as of now with more showers/storms possible by late next week, but before we talk details let's check a note from our local and delicious sponsor, #TandemBagelCo, with their newest location in the Stop & Shop Plaza on King Street in Northampton, MA. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ >>> A NOTE FROM OUR SPONSOR <<< Dave Hayes The Weather Nut is Sponsored by Individual Community Members, Patrons & Tandem Bagel Company... No matter the weather, Tandem Bagel is always there for you at several valley locations to make your mornings brighter! With bagels baked fresh daily (including Gluten-Free options), house-whipped cream cheese, coffee, and tons of lunch options, Tandem is the perfect quick stop for lunch, breakfast, or a coffee and bagel to go. Find them in Easthampton, Northampton, Hadley, Florence, and West Springfield, or use their super-streamlined online ordering tool by visiting their website.

>>> MORNING DISCUSSION <<< Good morning everybody, thanks very much for all of your awesome sunset pics, as well as your photos, videos, reports, and updates yesterday during our severe weather day which produced a tornado in southwest NH, and a severe thunderstorm that produced a 66mph gust at Barnes Air Force and created straight line wind damage in parts of Hampden County, Worcester County, and a second severe storm that knocked some stuff down in northern CT as well. When we hear back from the NWS out of Gray, ME which will conduct a formal survey of the Cheshire County NH tornado near Dublin, NH today, I will post more info about it then. It was a hairy day for folks generally south of the Route 9 corridor in MA, along with those cells in SVT and especially SWNH, but the northern half of MA faired pretty well, with no real flash flooding to speak of, which is good, because that area has been hammered enough!!! For today, we've got a rain-free, sunny day, but it will be humid, and very warm to hot, with Heat Advisories hoisted for highs in the mid 80s to low 90s, and heat indices pushing the mid 90s. For tonight, lows will drop to either side of 70º and it will remain quite humid. Tomorrow represents the last day for potentially severe thunderstorms until late next week the way it looks now, so hopefully that holds, because we surely need a break longer than a day or two! As of now, we should see the remnants of another Mesoscale Convective Complex tracking near our region tomorrow morning, and so some scattered morning showers are possible. Then we'll look to an incoming cold front to our west which will be associated with several impulses along it that will all push into our region in the afternoon from northwest to southeast. This front will contain more wind shear with it than yesterday acting on our humid air mass in place. This should produce either clusters or a broken squall line of showers, downpours and thunderstorms reaching into southern VT and the northern Berkshires/Taconics by early to mid afternoon. This line will then track southeast through the greater WMass region by mid afternoon through very early evening before sunset with some storms that may become strong to severe, and capable of straight line wind damage, street flooding, and even a weak tornado. Highs tomorrow will reach the mid 70s to mid 80s with more cloud cover. The additional cloudiness will be overcome by the forcing from the cold front, which bulldozes air skyward as it moves into a region. The timeframe of most active weather is 2-7pm, and the better chance for strong/severe storms is along and south of the Pike in southern MA and northern CT. Activity should wind down Saturday night with lows in the mid 50s to low 60s, setting us up for a fair weather day with northwest flow on Sunday lasting into next week. We should enjoy lower humidity as a new air mass invades from the northwest on light northwest winds, with highs in the 70s under sunny skies with an isolated shower possible, and lows in the 50s! Much nicer!!! The Monday through Wednesday period looks equally as nice and similar to Sunday with mostly sunny skies, lower humidity, highs in the 70s and lows in the 50s as high pressure dominates our region. In fact, some folks may not even break 70º on Tuesday!! Ahhhhhh.... let's hope it holds!! Famous last words, Nut!!! I'll see it when I believe it!! I get it, weather changes, news story at 11.... By late next week another frontal boundary will be approaching the region, and we'll get another chance at showers and thunderstorms, but hopefully we WILL get this 4-day dry break so ground water can seep deeper, and we can get a better shoehorn into some semblance of betterment after what has been a brutal July. Hope you have a great day, and stay hydrated! P.S. Sunset pic of UMass Amherst last night by Veronica R. >>> BE KIND <<< “Hello babies. Welcome to Earth. It's hot in the summer and cold in the winter. It's round and wet and crowded. On the outside, babies, you've got a hundred years here. There's only one rule that I know of, babies: Goddamn it, you've got to be kind.” --Kurt Vonnegut