Good morning everybody, we’ve got some patchy fog out there and it is dense in a few places like northeast CT but with time we’ll see sunshine develop prior to the expected effects of an incoming cold front.
A few isolated showers or even a thunderstorm are expected in the northern half of MA up into SVT and SWNH this afternoon and tonight with more showers and storms Monday afternoon and evening, followed by a few showers Tuesday, a nice day Wednesday, and a windy Thursday with showers leading to much cooler temps by late week with patchy frost possible by the weekend, but before we dive into all of the weather details below, let’s check a note from our local weekend sponsor, #YankeeMattressFactory, with their main headquarters in Agawam, MA along with stores located around the valley.
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A NOTE FROM OUR WEEKEND SPONSOR:
DHTWN is sponsored by members, patrons, and Yankee Mattress Factory. Yankee Mattress is employee-owned, and mattresses are handmade locally in Agawam, MA. Several years ago I purchased a Yankee mattress and was very pleased with their quality and the buying experience, which was friendly and low pressure. Starting on September 1st and running through October 31st, Yankee Mattress will be partnering with the American Cancer Society to raise money to support breast cancer research and local services. A portion of each mattress sale will go towards their goal of donating $10,000 towards this cause. Visit the Yankee Mattress store closest to you in Agawam, Springfield, Northampton, or Greenfield, or click for more info: https://yankeemattressfactory.com/
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***DHTWN DAILY WEATHER REPORT***
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Good morning everybody, we’re starting off our Sunday with temps and dew points in the 50s and low 60s, and with similar air temps, we’ve got some areas of fog out there, but it’s only dense in a few areas like northeast CT.
Our high pressure system has finally exited the east coast, and is positioned southeast of New England this morning.
This high to our southeast, along with back door cold front tracking in from northeast to southwest (thanks to a deep low east of Labrador and another high near James Bay, Canada), will help funnel southwesterly flow into our region today, producing gusts up to 25mph in spots, and warming us up into the upper 70s to low 80s, with a few mid 80s readings possible in the southern CT River Valley (Springfield to Hartford corridor). It will be humid, too, with dew points climbing into the 60s.
Clouds will build this afternoon in northern MA, SVT and SWNH and this is where we could see an isolated shower or two, as well as a thunderstorm by mid afternoon into the evening, when showers could become more numerous.
This activity moves through the region by the pre-dawn hours of Monday morning, with lows dropping into the low to mid 60s.
For Monday, we should start fairly dry in the morning, and the temps are going to be quite tricky to determine ahead of time, as we won’t know exactly where that front will stall.
Right now, it looks like southwest NH and portions of Worcester County could hang in the upper 60s to to low 70s for highs, with mid to upper 70s elsewhere south and west of those sub-regions (SVT, WMass, northern CT).
In addition, another shortwave will be working through the region and interact with our frontal boundary nearby.
This should produce a stronger and more widespread pulse of showers and thunderstorms Monday later afternoon and into the night, so hopefully we’ll get some beneficial rains from this system. Lows will drop to the upper 50s.
For Tuesday, the bulk of rain will be gone, and we should end up with a partly sunny day, but with cool temps aloft still behind that Monday system, a few instability showers are possible in the afternoon with highs in the low to mid 70s. We dry things out a bit more Tuesday night with lows in the low to mid 50s.
Wednesday looks wonderful! Highs should reach the 75-80º range for the last official day of astronomical Summah, with mostly sunny skies expected.
However, by late in the day, we should see some clouds build in by sunset, as another, stronger cold front approaches the region with much cooler and drier air behind it – a true air mass shift.
I think from this vantage point that what could be a stronger severe weather threat may be tamped by a night-time passage of our cold front into Thursday morning, so we’ll have to see if this timing remains in alignment with that thinking.
Lows Wednesday night will dip into the mid to upper 50s and showers are expected into the first half of Thursday. Wind should pick up out of the south ahead of the front.
Once the front moves through by noon on Thursday, temps should end up in the 65-70º range as colder, drier air works into the region on northwest flow, with lows in the low to mid 40s as humidity crashes to the floor (very dry).
By Friday, some of us won’t even escape the 50s!! (think western hilltowns, southern VT, Berkshires etc).
It will, however, be most sunny as strong high pressure builds in from the northwest.
This high pressure system will ensure Fiona does not impact New England, however that Thursday cold front will join forces with Fiona, absorb the storm, and hurl it up into Atlantic Canada, like near Prince Edward Island, and especially east of there in New Foundland, where St. John’s could get hammered.
By Friday night, patchy frost will be possible in the high terrain, with lows in the mid 30s to low 40s under clear skies.
Next weekend looks pleasant at the moment with highs in the 60s and lows in the 40s.
Have a great day!
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AND REMEMBER…
“Hello babies. Welcome to Earth. It’s hot in the summer and cold in the winter. It’s round and wet and crowded. On the outside, babies, you’ve got a hundred years here. There’s only one rule that I know of, babies: Goddamn it, you’ve got to be kind.”
–Kurt Vonnegut