A NEW WAVELENGTH HAS COME TO TOWN… COLD FRONTAL PASSAGES EVERY 3 DAYS REINFORCING DRIER CANADIAN AIR AFTER EACH… A FEW SHOWERS THIS MORNING, MORE THIS AFTERNOON/EVE, T-STORM POSSIBLE… SIGNAL FOR A WARM UP THE WEEK AFTER NEXT, BUT NOTHING MAJOR AS IT LOOKS NOW… THE BIG ITEM OF NOTE IS POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON, IF COLD FRONT CAN MOVE THROUGH DURING THE DAYLIGHT… OTHERWISE, WE’RE STRINGING MORE PLEASANT AND DRIER DAYS TOGETHER, FINALLY… 8:10am Sunday…
Good morning folks, so I said we’ve got a new wavelength in town, and that refers to the this new pattern we find ourselves in at the moment. The length of time between low pressure waves or frontal waves through late next weekend looks to be about 2-3 days between each.
For instance, we’ve got low pressure currently to our northwest and that will track east, remaining north of us, while swinging its cold front through our region this evening.
This set up is going to play out at least two more times over the coming 7 days, again on Wednesday, and again next Sunday, or close to it.
These represent our 3 wet weather chances over the next 7 days.
For today, clouds will continue to build and we have a few showers out over the Berkshires at the 7:30am hour, and heavier showers behind that.
There’s been a lot of dry air in place, so showers should be mostly light to moderate as they move through today, though this late afternoon into the evening a thunderstorm or two is possible, and along with that activity, some heavier showers as well.
Humidity comes up today too, but not horrible. Dewpoint temps will rise into the low to perhaps mid 60s, which is dealable.
High temps will generally be in the upper 60s to near 70º with lows in the upper 50s to low 60s with patchy fog possible late.
For Monday/Labor Day, while skies should become mostly sunny with highs in the mid to upper 70s behind the front, a cold pool of air will pass over aloft, and that could destabilize the atmosphere enough to create a few scattered afternoon showers. Lows drop into the low to mid 50s as we dry out and clear up.
Tuesday looks like a winner, with sunny skies, low humidity, highs in the low to mid 70s and light west wind. Lows will drop into the mid to upper 50s under clear skies.
For Wednesday, our next frontal boundary and surge of humidity moves toward the region, with the front likely passing through sometime by late afternoon into the evening.
The actual timing of this is key, because if it passes through earlier, it will be able to take advantage of max instability and surface heating, and could produce a line of strong to severe thunderstorms with isolated damaging straight line wind gusts. If If it arrives later, storms won’t be as strong, so I’ll keep you updated on that piece.
Highs on Wednesday should reach the mid to upper 70s with scattered showers and thunderstorms and an increase in humidity, with lows either side of 60º and showers/storms waning with time.
For Thursday through Saturday, as of now, it looks like 3 days in a row of early autumnal perfection with mostly sunny skies, low humidity, highs in the low to mid 70s, light winds, and lows in the low to mid 50s, before some more showers are possible next Sunday.
Can’t get much better than that, after all we’ve been through after our exceptionally windy Spring, and our alternatingly hot, humid, severe, flooding, rainy, cool Summer.
We deserve this respite, so let’s be sure to savor it while it’s here.
Again, I will update you on Wednesday, the only day over the next 7 that looks Potentially Problematic, which will be the title of my new book.
Have a great day!