3 CONSECUTIVE DRYING DAYS ON THE HORIZON… FIRST WE GET VERY WARM AND HUMID TODAY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS/STORMS POSSIBLE BY LATE AFTERNOON, BUT MORE LIKELY TOWARD MIDNIGHT… THEN SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE TOMORROW DURING THE AFTERNOON, EXITING BY AROUND DINNER TIME… THE WHOOSHENING THE COMMENCES WITH LOWER HUMIDITY, CLEAR AND SUNNY SKIES ON THURSDAY AND SATURDAY WITH A MORE PARTLY SUNNY FRIDAY WITH A FEW SHOWERS… SUNDAY EVENING INTO MONDAY BECOMES UNSETTLED AGAIN, WARMER AND MORE HUMID… 6:55AM TUES…
Good morning everybody, we’ve got patchy dense fog out there this morning, specifically in Orange, Chicopee and Springfield where visibilities were observed at a quarter mile or less.
This fog will relent and repent as it’s vaporized by the high late July sunshine that develops later this morning.
We’ve got a summer day on the way, with highs in the mid to upper 80s with a light west wind and dewpoints well into the 60s, so it will be muggy and quite warm.
A cold front will be starting to sag southeast today out of the St. Lawrence River Valley and will push through our region tomorrow afternoon.
A disturbance will coincide with it, and help to fire a cluster of showers, downpours and thunderstorms, which will be scattered in coverage.
This first round should push through mainly north of the Rt. 2 corridor up in southern VT and southwest NH this early evening, whereas a larger cluster can reasonably be expected to push into the rest of WMass and points east and south toward the midnight hour, so we could have another night time light show tonight, with lows in the low to mid 60s.
For Wednesday, it’s Air Mass Change Day (AMCD), and the people shall be rejoicing by Thursday.
Our cold front presses into the region on the earlier side, and will focus areas of showers and thunderstorms, some of which may be strong to severe with damaging wind gusts possible, and hail given ample instability and moisture, along with decent wind shear available to help form storms.
Highs Wednesday should reach the mid 70s to low 80s under partly sunny skies on average, with more clouds in the early to mid afternoon as activity moves through.
Showers and storms clear the CMass/northeast CT region to the east by around sunset, and The Whooshening commences! Maybe we should call it The Wootening!!! Woot!
Drier, more crisp air swings through, and drops our lows into the mid to upper 50s as humidity drops.
By Thursday, a day of delight awaits. Sunny skies, lower humidity, highs in the mid to upper 70s, and light northwest flow.
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Lows will again be in the 50s under partly cloud skies.
A weak wave moves through Friday with maybe a few showers possible, but on average it should relatively dry and partly sunny with highs again in the mid to upper 70s, and lows again in the mid to upper 50s.
Saturday looks like a Sun Day, with highs in the mid to upper 70s once again with dry conditions and low humidity expected, so we’ve essentially got a solid 3-day stretch of mostly dry conditions, which we desperately need, so let’s be thankful for that. Lows will be in the upper 50s to low 60s.
By Sunday into Monday, we’re going to resume more traditional summer type conditions, as another warm front leads a surging burst of warmth and humidity to arrive early in our upcoming new week.
Timing and impacts still need to be worked out, but at some point by either Saturday afternoon or evening, scattered showers are expected to return, and last into Monday, when temps will start climbing back into the low 80s with more clouds than sunshine, and this general look should extend into the mid week.
No heat waves in sight.
Have a great day!