Good morning everybody, this report is going to be a double-dash style, and tonight’s report will be essay/book style as I want to read some updated data, so look for that early this evening re: our mid-week winter storm.
SUMMARY
–For today, Dense Fog Advisories continue given the warm front draped about the region
–A weaker cold front that is moisture-starved will pass through the region this afternoon, and milder air will lag behind it for a time, so we’re going to get a great second half of our Sunday
–Expect partly sunny skies by afternoon, and highs in the upper 40s to upper 50s!
–West winds will gust 20-30mph at times
–It’ll be the nicest afternoon we have in at least a week, I believe, in terms of sky conditions and temperatures
–For tonight, lows will drop into the mid to upper 20s with mostly cloudy skies
–Monday, we become overcast, as an upper trough well northwest presses a surface low center out to sea to our south
–This system will be a flat tracker (mostly west to east), and graze us with some mixed rain and snow showers, but it could precipitate heavily enough in northern CT up into eastern Hampden County into southern Worcester County to squeeze out a coating to 1″ of snow accumulation
–Precip arrives by late morning and is out of here by sunset, I believe
–Highs will be in the low to mid 30s (20 degrees colder than today!) and lows will be in the low to mid 20s as a secondary, Arctic cold front sweeps the region.
–Tuesday highs under mostly sunny skies will only be in the upper 20s to low 30s – WINTER DAY. Lows in the teens!
–NOTE: this feeble Monday storm for us is going to undergo bombogenesis, and deepen about 40 millibars (a millibar is a unit of measure for atmospheric pressure) in under a day and bomb out over and north of Newfoundland
–Where this storm ends up, and where our surface high pressure center ends up in Quebec will determine how far north heavy snow can get on Wednesday night into Thursday
–Wednesday highs will only be in the 20s, so a perfect overrunning surface will be in place for heavy, powdery snow, if the storm can be allowed to track north enough into our region
–As of now, it looks like Great Barrington to Springfield to Worcester and points south will see the heaviest snow, with less north of there
I will update tonight with my first thought on snow amounts and more details on the atmospheric players involved.
Check back in with me later, and have a great day, and get outside this afternoon if you can!! :-)