Wet Weather On The Way! Western Mass Weather for 7/7/2020

[ACTIVE PATTERN AHEAD… STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE TOMORROW AFTERNOON/EVENING AS OPPRESSIVE HUMIDITY ARRIVES AND LASTS THROUGH THE WEEKEND… PULSE-TYPE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS THURSDAY, THEN A HEAVY RAIN STORM WITH GUSTY WIND AT TIMES ARRIVES FRIDAY AFTERNOON LASTING INTO SATURDAY MORNING… FLOODING ISSUES POSSIBLE… INSTABILITY FOLLOWS BEHIND THAT STORM’S DEPARTURE WITH MORE SHOWERS AND STORMS POSSIBLE SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK… OUR RECENT DRY PATTERN IS GOING BYE BYE… 6:40AM TUES]

Good morning everybody, the world has turned once again to face our star, our galactic companion in this constant hurtling-corkscrew of a dance through the Cosmos we’re unwittlingly thrust into at the moment of our birth.

Pretty amazing to think that from the moment we’re born to the moment we die, we never occupy the same point in the Universe, even if we were to sit at our kitchen table 24/7 – we’re always moving in Space.

And that right there is why I’m a Nut.

Who thinks of this esoterica first thing in the morning?

Yours truly.

Having established our Cosmic perspective for the day, our atmospheric perspective needs addressing forthwith, as we’ve got active weather on the way, and a push into deeper Summer conditions lapping up against the shores of our lives.

ONE LAST CALM DAY TODAY
For today, we’ve got one last tolerable day in the humidity department, and it will also be mostly cloudy thanks to high pressure positioned over the Canadian Maritimes which will foster more of an onshore flow into the region.

Highs will reach the mid 70s to low 80s from high terrain to low terrain, and while a morning shower or patch of drizzle can’t be ruled out, we’ll generally be dry.

During tonight, a frontal boundary that was south and west of us during today (keeping any showers or higher humidity suppressed for our Tuesday) will lift north as a warm front and move through the region by tomorrow afternoon.

Lows tonight will only dip into the mid to upper 60s with increasing humidity, and a few showers or even a rumble of thunder as the warm front passes the region.

WEDNESDAY (STRONG/SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE)
For Wednesday, we enter The Soup. Much more humid air arrives, and dewpoint temps will reach the upper 60s to low 70s, and the air will be thick (blech).

We can thank our high pressure tracking further south and east for propelling our warm front north, along with southerly flow, and warmer air. Highs will reach the low to mid 80s, and south winds may gust over 20mph at times.

Then we turn our attention to Wednesday later afternoon and evening for a line of strong to severe thunderstorms and attendant showers/downpours to slide through the region from northwest to southeast.

The best chance for severe weather is along and north of Route 2 in MA, VT and NH, but a severe storm is possible anywhere with increased instability across the region thanks to our soupy air mass.

The biggest threat with these storms is isolated damaging wind gusts as a squall line tries to form.

Wednesday night lows will drop into the mid to upper 60s with showers possible and humid conditions continuing.

THURSDAY (PULSE-TYPE ISOLATED SHOWERS/STORMS)
For Thursday, we’ll have a more aimless, weaker wind field in place and so it will feature more of the scattered, pop-up type of showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon with continued very humid conditions.

Highs will reach the upper 80s to low 90s with partly sunny skies, and lows in the mid to upper 60s as showers/storms wane with the loss of the daytime heating of the Earth’s surface (which fosters rising air given a warmer surface and cooler air aloft).

HEAVY RAIN STORM FOR SECOND HALF FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY
Then all eyes turn to our south, as a storm exists the southeast coastline and gets pulled northward thanks to an upper level trough hanging back to our west over the Great Lakes, which will act as a pivot, pulling this storm right up the coast and slamming it into New England.

It’s a bit of a winter-type storm track, but instead it is happening in the middle of July, and will be drawing an abundance of tropical moisture right up with it, and depositing that over the WMass region and points east and south.

Highs on Friday will reach the low to mid 80s with very humid conditions, and partly sunny skies to start the day.

By afternoon, clouds will be increasing rapidly, and a surge of moderate to heavy rain with embedded thunderstorms will push from south to north into our region.

Friday night will be very wet, and gusty winds may accompany some of these rain bands, especially in northeast CT and central MA and points east. Lows will be in the upper 60s with saturated air in place.

We could be talking inches of rain, and as such, I wouldn’t be surprised to see Flood Watches or even Flash Flood Watches hoisted later this week if these trends continue… stay tuned for updates.

OUR UPCOMING WEEKEND
Heavy rainfall ends sometime during Saturday morning or by early afternoon as the storm sweeps north and east. Highs will crest into the low to mid 80s with lows in the 60s with scattered showers still possible, but the bulk of the rain will have exited the region.

On Sunday, we will be dealing with the upper level system that will be dragged through the northeast U.S. With its colder pool of air aloft and high temps in the 80s, scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop yet again during the day and provide more rains to the region. Lows will be in the 60s, and it will still be quite humid.

By early next week, we should get a break from rainfall either by Monday or Tuesday, but we have a lot to get through before I can clarify what those days will look like weather-wise.

For now, we’ve got our hands full, so keep it tuned here, and I will keep you updated throughout the coming changes in our weather.

If I don’t show in your feed, that doesn’t mean I’m not posting. It just means FB’s AI is being AD (artificially dumb), so treat me like a TV channel you frequent, and turn the dial over here every few hours during active days.

May The Force Be With You *insert Yoda trill here*

By |2020-07-07T06:40:14-04:00July 7, 2020|Current Forecast|

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