MON-6:05P: SHOWERS MOVE IN TOWARD MIDNIGHT AND DEPART BY MID TO LATE MORNING TOMORROW… WE GET A LULL, MAYBE SOME SHINY SUN, THEN MORE RAIN WORKS BACK IN AFTER MIDNIGHT AND DURING THE PRE-DAWN HOURS OF WEDNESDAY MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON… FRIDAY COASTAL STORM KEEPS LOOKING LIKE A GRAZE OR MISS EAST OF US…
Good evening folks, the dry air has definitely held strong for much of the day, which turned out to be pretty decent, with some morning breaks of sunshine, and a mostly cloudy but mostly dry second half of the day as well, albeit cooler than the noon hour.
Sometimes it can be helpful to take these little tiny it-could-have-been-worse moments and blow them up with gratitude, because with just about anything in life it could usually be worse – a LOT worse.
In this way, being grateful for “meh moments” or run-of-the-mill stuff can help make things even a little bit better – it helps me, anyway, when I can remember to do it. That’s the trick – remembering. :-)
Anyway, there has been some light rain or sprinkles in areas south of the Pike, but it’s been isolated, generally, and currently southern Litchfield County looks like some light rain is ongoing.
The humidity is still bone dry in the Pioneer Valley, but it is surging in southwest MA and northwest CT, and that trend will continue tonight as moisture pushes into the region ahead of a slightly more robust but broken rain shield.
These showers will arrive just before or around midnight and continue into the mid-morning hours or so, with not too much more then a tenth to a half inch of rain, depending on where the heaviest showers move through (likely south of the Pike).
Lows tonight will be in the upper 40s to low 50s.
For Tuesday, morning rain should quit before or around noon, and then we may see a few sunny breaks. With onshore flow, it looks cool-ish tomorrow, with highs in the mid 50s to near 60º as we dry a little bit.
After lows dipping into the upper 40s to low 50s again, more showers arrive around or after midnight, and a thunderstorm can’t be ruled out as we move into Wednesday morning, with highs reaching the upper 50s to mid 60s.
Another couple of showery periods may move through early Wednesday afternoon, and again late Wednesday night, but Thursday still looks sunshine-y with highs either side of 60º and some westerly gusts up to 25mph at times.
Our late-week coastal low still looks like a graze at best, but I’ll keep an eye on it. The weekend looks decent at this point, not overly showery, with the next chance of rain coming on Monday.
Have a great evening!
————
MON-6:55A: DESPITE A FEW SUNNY BREAKS, MORE SHOWERS ARRIVE BY MID AFTERNOON OR SO TODAY, AND BECOME HEAVIER BEFORE MIDNIGHT, CLEARING OUT BY NOON TOMORROW/TUESDAY… SOME MORE SUNNY BREAKS TUESDAY AFTERNOON WILL BE DOTTED BY A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS INTO THE NIGHT… PRE-FRONTAL SHOWERS AND MAYBE A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MOVE IN WEDNESDAY MORNING AND LAST THE DAY… THURSDAY STILL LOOKS LIKE THE SUNNIEST WEATHER OF THE WEEK, THEN WE MONITOR A POSSIBLE COASTAL STORM FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY, WHICH MAY JUST GRAZE US TO THE EAST…
Good morning everybody, we’ll see some sunshine at times this week, but clouds will be the dominant sky feature as a series of fronts and low pressure areas congregate around the New England region, with the likelihood that most of us will see over an additional inch of rainfall between and betwixt the numerous showery periods that will likely move through the region this week.
Notably, Monday mid-afternoon to Tuesday noon, early Wednesday morning into Wednesday evening are the two main rain bouts that seem likely, along with a chance for isolated showers Tuesday afternoon and night, and a coastal storm Friday into early Saturday. There’s even a chance for more rain early next week, but let’s not get ahead ourselves.
Our mild and sunny March is surely being missed by many right now, but that is not our current short-term lot. Hopefully, by the middle of May or two, this blocking pattern will break down, get some warmth and more sunshine in here, and take advantage of all this ground moisture that is getting laid into the Earth’s surface so deeper Spring can SPRING!
For today, despite some sunny breaks as aforementioned, we should be mostly cloudy across the region with highs in the 60s. Another mid-level disturbance will make a run at us from our southwest over Pennsylvania and the Virginias, and spread scattered rain showers into our region starting around the mid-afternoon period.
As we move past sunset (sometime between 8-11pm) showers should become more numerous and heavier and last overnight and into Tuesday morning.
Patchy fog is expected, and lows will drop into the upper 40s to low 50s.
A showery Tuesday morning should give way to some drying by afternoon, and a few sunny breaks are possible. If we can develop enough holes in the cloud deck, we may see our high temps shoot well into the 60s to near 70º but for now, we’re expecting highs in the upper 50s to low 60s, with even cooler temps possible in central MA, northeast CT and southwest NH points east due to onshore easterly flow.
A few isolated showers will be possible from Tuesday afternoon into the overnight hours, with lows bottoming out near 50º.
However, another storm system that will be tracking to our northwest on Wednesday will be sending its cold front toward our region during Wednesday, and areas and clusters of pre-frontal showers and thunderstorms will start arriving into our region during the pre-dawn hours of Wednesday morning.
Wednesday looks like WETnesday, to be honest, though it does look mild with highs in the low to mid 60s.
Expect showers throughout the day into the evening, before quitting at night, with lows in the low to mid 40s as our cold front moves through the region.
Thursday still looks like the nicest day this week, with mostly sunny skies, though slightly below-seasonable high temps reaching the mid 50s to low 60s. Northwest winds may gust to 25mph at times, but the wind doesn’t look too bad right now.
It will be chilly at night with lows in the mid to upper 30s as clouds increase again.
By Friday, we’re watching a coastal low to determine its exact track. Right now, odds are it tracks a bit more east of us, and just grazes us with some lighter rains, especially east of the I-91 corridor.
However, if it comes close enough, it could bring more substantial rains with some wind Friday into early Saturday.
The weekend is unclear right now, though it doesn’t look like a washout, with a chance of scattered showers each day under partly sunny skies with seasonable temps in the low to mid 60s, which may be followed by another rain batch by Monday.
For now, we’re in an inclement weather pattern thanks to blocking to our north, but there are some signs by mid-May that it will break down and set up troughing in the west, which correspondingly should mean ridging in the east, which with the high May sun angle, could start to get some 70s and even 80s into our region more routinely for the second half of the month.
I’m not saying that it’s definitely happening, but the signal is there, and is something I will be monitoring as the days go by.
Have a great day!