Weather Nut Update
February 17, 2026
7:36 pm
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES CONTINUE FOR WESTERN MASS, CENTRAL MASS AND SOUTHERN VT FOR WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING... THE BAND OF STEADIER SNOW MAY SHIFT FURTHER SOUTH INTO N.CT
Good evening everybody, as a quick reminder we are going to be dealing with additional snow and mixed precipitation on Friday afternoon and night with periods of snow showers possible Saturday as an upper level system moves through.
Beyond that, a BIG storm is going to form somewhere near the northeast U.S., but at the moment areas south of the Pike are favored for any impacts because there’s not a ton of upper level support to draw what could become a blizzard up and into the greater WMass region, but I’ll keep an eye out and update you accordingly.
For tonight, however, we’re going to see temps drop into the 25-30ª range, with potential for patchy fog to develop as dew points rise with increasing moisture from the south.
Clouds will thicken and we’ll wake up to an overcast sky most likely. I will be watching a ribbon of precipitation, a snowy rain finger sticking its uppity business into the greater WMass region in a most rude way, especially for those sick of Winter already! ;-)
The fly in the ointment I am seeing tonight is a trend in a weaker low pressure area backing in further west and southwest from New Brunswick, Canada into Maine by tomorrow morning into the afternoon.
This may act upon that band of snow and rain in our region by drying out the north and northeast edge of it (see attached relative humidity graphic showing RH at half a mile above our heads).
This would push that accumulating snow band (along with colder air from the north) further south and south-southwest into northern CT, and out of SVT and SWNH, which could shift the snow totals south-southwest (less to the north, and more south).
In addition, the eastern part of that snow finger is very far away from the low center out near the eastern Great Lakes, and we could see that part of the precip shield dry out a bit (for example, northern CMass down into far northeast CT), so there are some last-minute potential impact shifts with this setup.
I’m not going to lurch around this evening and drop totals to the north (SVT, SWNH, northern CMass into eastern Franklin County) and raise them to the south (northern CT), but I’m saying if these trends hold, I may have to change totals/impacts up with tomorrow morning’s report when more short-term info is in.
For now, I am still hanging with a coating to 2″ along and south of the Pike, and 2-5″ north of the Pike, with much of the valley in a 1-3″ zone and the higher totals at elevation, especially in northwest MA and southern parts of SVT.
Have a great night!
A NOTE FROM OUR WEEKDAY SPONSOR
Gerard, Ghazey & Bates, P.C.
Dave Hayes The Weather Nut is Sponsored by Individual Community Members, Patrons, and Gerard, Ghazey & Bates, P.C.
GGBPC is a Northampton-based law firm and is the area’s premier estate and tax planning provider. The firm specializes in Estate Planning, Elder Law, and Tax Law, so be sure to contact GGBPC today to see how they can help you.
Simply click the following link to their secure website.

