Good afternoon folks, I am in Monitor-Mode regarding our early-season nor’easter at this point in time, though there aren’t a lot of more consistent signals yet, aside from a track somewhere close to the Cape and Islands at some point during the storm’s maturation which would provide some level of rain and wind into our region, especially east of I-91 over the weekend.

I personally don’t believe the worst of heavy rain and strongest wind gusts will come to pass for the greater WMass region, as that would involved a strong near-990mb low center passing west just to the south of both Block and Long Island.

However, if that lower-chance track does occur, the attached potential rain totals could surely result along with gusts as high as 50mph (relegated to the high terrain, and maybe up to 35mph or even 40mph in the valley floor).

I just wanted to give you an idea in terms of rain totals what I think is the most we’d see region-wide, and I expect we’ll probably see less than this, especially in the Litchfield Hills in CT, Berkshires of MA, and southern VT.

I’m watching a lot of other outlets, and I just want you to know that I’m not gonna keep posting model run after model run with fantasy commentary about what this run means, and what that run means, as I personally don’t think helps communicate clearly to the public – it’s confusing to folks, I believe.

We do know that a Western-Atlantic Ocean storm is going to form and that when it interacts with an incoming upper low from our west and the huge surface high to our north, it will likely become quite potent for a time with heavy rain and strong gusty winds capable of producing a number of coastal and near-coast hazards.

I also believe that we’ll see some level of rain and wind impacts here in the greater WMass region over the weekend, with whatever that peak will be occurring Saturday night into Sunday.

Beyond that, we need to get closer, as there is no clearer trend just yet being more than 72 hours out from the storm’s peak in our region.

Have a great night, and I will update again tomorrow morning, thanks for reading, Dave.