Good morning folks, it is certainly Soupy Sales-y out this morning (yes, I’m dating myself) with patchy dense fog, and with temps in the 40s, I can tell you that the snow pack from our strongest winter in 11 years is undergoing “The Meltening” with vim and vigor.

Clearing is on the way, but I think the fog will last through a good part of the morning until that milder and drier air can get a better foothold in the greater WMass region, which is by late morning to mid-day. After that, we should see temps come up off of the dewpoint, fog will abate, and highs should reach the upper 40s to upper 50s with partly sunny skies developing by sometime this afternoon (sooner west, later east).

For tonight, lows will dip into the low to mid 30s so some refreezing is possible, but for some The Meltening will continue.

By Monday through Wednesday, we’re off to the races with highs expected to surge into the upper 50s to mid 60s at least under sunny skies with lows either side of 40º.

In fact, by Tuesday, the warmth aloft should peak which means the CT River Valley could experience a 70º reading, so needless to say, this upcoming stretch of serious mildness will be the warmest we’ve been since the Autumn of 2025, which will be most welcome to many.

What will also do is cause a rapid reduction in snowpack, and that means swelling of rivers as snowmelt increases and drains into our tributaries.

So, some minor flooding along the CT River is possible, and I will keep an eye on it.

By Wednesday night, clouds are going to increase as a cold front approaches the region, and some rain showers will be possible late.

By early Thursday morning, we’ll see a band of rain, some of it heavy, pushing east through the region along a front that will be draped southward off a powerful low center tracking east-northeast up the St. Lawrence River Valley in southeast Canada.

So Thursday is looking wet, and for some of us may end with white, as rain may change to snow by late Thursday as the tail end of the front comes through the region. Any wet snow would be relegated to the western high terrain (southern Greens of VT, Berkshires, western hilltowns), and I don’t expect it would amount to much, but I will follow up on that.

It looks gusty behind the front with lows crashing into the upper teens to mid 20s, so we could have some black ice issues for the Friday morning commute.

Friday and Saturday should be colder but more seasonable, with highs in the 40s and lows in the 20s. Friday should feature brief fair weather, but another system will be tracking close to us (but still to our north) Friday night into Saturday with more rain or snow showers, so it’s looking active mid to late week into next weekend.

Have a great day, and remember that my 13th annual support drive ends *Tonight*

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YOUR NUTSHELL:
–Patchy dense fog has formed overnight, and will keep visibility lowered this morning
–Clearing and drying is slowly pressing in from the southwest, but probably takes until sometime this afternoon to reach us
–When it does, partly sunny skies are expected with highs in the 50s
–Some areas in northwest MA up into SVT/SWNH may hang in the 40s, however
–Clearing tonight, lows in the low to mid 30s, some refreezing possible
–Monday and Tuesday look quite warm for early March, rising into the upper 50s to mid 60s both days under sunny skies with lows in the upper 30s to mid 40s
–This means snow melt will become rapid, and some minor river flooding is possible later this coming week
–On Wednesday, we should remain quite mild with highs either side of 60º
–We’ll cloud up with a few showers Wednesday night, and then by Thursday morning rain will be pushing into the region with a cold front
–Highs should reach the 50s before falling back in the afternoon
–There’s a chance that some western high terrain areas may end as a brief period of wet snow, but I will update as we get closer on that piece
–On Friday temps should be much cooler, down into the 40s (where they are mostly this morning) and I’ll be watching another small system set to track north of us, bringing more showers Friday night into Saturday
–Some snow may mix in overnight into early Saturday morning in the high terrain

YOUR DAILY CELESTIALS
STAR:
–OUR STAR ROSE AT: 7:13am this morning
–OUR STAR SETS AT: 6:48pm this evening
–TOTAL DAYLIGHT TIME: 11 hours and 35 minutes

MOON:
–OUR MOON SETS AT: 9:12am this morning
–MOON SET DIRECTION: West-Southwest
–OUR MOON RISES AT: 12:40am tomorrow morning
–MOON RISE DIRECTION: East-Southeast
–MOON PHASE: Waning Gibbous (76.0%)