Dave's Daily Report
February 15, 2026
8:55 am
TOLERABLE TEMPS AND A FINE SUNDAY LEAD TO A FEW SNOWY / RAINY SETUPS LATE TONIGHT, WEDNESDAY PM, AND FRIDAY PM…
Good morning folks, we’ve got a lovely end to our weekend in store with sunshine and highs in the low to mid 30s – a perfect winter weekend day, if you ask me. Enjoy it while we have it, though, because things are moving into an unsettled pattern for this upcoming week into next weekend.
After our lovely Sunday we’ll see clouds increase tonight from the northern stream energetic counterpart to a southern stream storm which will remain south of us and pass out to sea.
This will push an area of snow showers through the region overnight, probably after midnight, and may lay some fresh coatings down, but nothing more than that is expected for now. Lows will dip into the low to mid 20s.
Any morning snow showers dissipate Monday, leading to a partly sunny day with highs in the mid to upper 30s, followed by lows in the 20s once again as an additional weak wave brings a few flurries or snow showers with no accumulation for Monday night.
Tuesday looks milder, with highs in the upper 30s to low 40s, but I will be watching a frontal boundary setting up over the region, and the position of this boundary and the wave expected to ripple west to east along it by Wednesday afternoon into early Thursday will help determine what we see for sensible weather impacts. For now, that looks like a period of light to perhaps moderate accumulating snow along and north of that boundary Wednesday evening along and north of the Rt. 2 corridor in northern MA up into SVT and SWNH.
That has the potential to collapse south and change rain to snow in areas along and north of the Pike as highs Wednesday that reach the mid 30s to low 30s then drop into the upper 20s to mid 30s for lows.
However, these types of “marginal events” (meaning when temps are marginally close to, just under or just over the freezing mark at the surface and aloft) are tricky, so please check back with me as we get closer to mid-week.
Thursday should eventually dry out by afternoon after some potentially wintry impacts for Thursday morning commute in northern areas. Given the uncertainty of the boundary placement, temps are also uncertain at the moment for late week.
It does appear that we’ll have another storm system working east out of the Ohio Valley for late Friday into Saturday, which could similarly produce a mix of rain and accumulating snow, so suffice it to say I will be updating you all week as these two more substantial (but not major) events start to become more clear as we approach them.
I hope you have a great day!
“Follow your bliss and the universe will open doors for you where there were only walls.”
― Joseph Campbell
YOUR NUTSHELL:
–Lovely end to the weekend, slightly unseasonably cold with highs in the low to mid 30s, light wind
–Clouds increase tonight, some snow showers after midnight with some fresh coatings possible, mostly in the Berkshires, western hilltowns, NW.CT, SW.VT
–Lows drop to the low to mid 20s
–Snow showers quit Monday morning, partly sunny skies develop, highs mid to upper 30s
–A few snow showers at night with no accumulation expected, lows mid to upper 20s
–A frontal boundary sets up nearby on Tuesday with more clouds than sun and highs either side of 40º (mid 40s are looking less likely as we get closer)
–Lows will dip into the 20s with increasing clouds
–Wednesday looks mostly cloudy as an impulse ripples along the boundary, which will set up periods of rain and snow (snow along and north of the boundary, and rain south of it)
–This may produce accumulating snow starting along and north of the Rt. 2 corridor in northern MA, SVT and SWNH and rain south
–Late Wednesday night temps drop into the upper 20s to mid 30s
–Snow may push south to the Pike thru much of WMass and CMass, stay tuned
–Rain and snow continue Thursday morning and then dissipate, highs mid to upper 30s
–Another rain and snow storm looks to push out of the Ohio Valley and into the greater WMass region by Friday afternoon and night into early Saturday
YOUR DAILY CELESTIALS
STAR:
–OUR STAR ROSE AT: 6:46am this morning
–OUR STAR SETS AT: 5:43pm this evening
–TOTAL DAYLIGHT TIME: 10 hours and 57 minutes
MOON:
–OUR MOON ROSE AT: 5:59am this morning
–MOON RISE DIRECTION: East-Southeast
–OUR MOON SETS AT: 3:27pm this afternoon
–MOON SET DIRECTION: West-Southwest
–MOON PHASE: Waning Crescent (4.1%
A NOTE FROM OUR WEEKEND SPONSOR
Historic Deerfield
Dave Hayes The Weather Nut is Supported by Individual Community Members, and Sponsored by Historic Deerfield.
Historic Deerfield is a mile-long museum of history, architecture, and art in Deerfield, MA. Including 12 historic houses, a modern museum facility, and a kids’ discovery center, Historic Deerfield is open 9:30am-4:30pm, Wednesdays-Sundays.


