Good morning folks, any patchy black ice should mostly melt once again with highs expected to reach the mid 30s to low 40s today as clouds thicken up, and a stronger bout of wet weather arrives by mid to late afternoon from south to north in our region. A primary storm tracks into the eastern Great Lakes, while it hands off some energy to a developing secondary low pressure system that will track to our south.

Still, there is too much milder air aloft and near/at the surface from the main storm being far northwest fo us to NOT flood our region with mild-enough air to produce a mostly rain event for us.

However, temps will be marginal enough, and that secondary low will tug enough cold air from north to south to cause the usual suspects of our high terrain areas (Berkshires, western hilltowns, northern CMass, eastern Franklin County highlands, SVT and SWNH) to develop a period of freezing rain overnight, which will cause slippery travel in mostly high terrain areas, though Franklin County folks should be alert to conditions and temperatures through the night as well.

The heaviest precip should wind down during the pre-dawn hours of Sunday morning, and then another batch is probable towards dawn into the early morning, and by that time we should see colder air working in aloft which may give us a brief end a sleet or even snow north of the Rt. 2 corridor.
Sunday is going to be mild early with highs climbing into the 35-40º range, and then falling back as a cold front works east and through the region, allowing for a couple of snow showers here and there, and westerly wind picking up and gusting 25-40mph by the evening, with gusts up towards 50mph possible in the Berkshires as cold air rushes in.

We may also see a snow squall band push through the region as much colder air aloft moves overhead, steepening lapse rates and allowing for shower clouds to bubble up skyward.

Lows will drop into the upper teens to mid 20s with wind chills in the upper singles to teens by early Monday morning.

Monday and Tuesday look fair with partial sunshine at least, and highs in the upper 20s to mid 30s Monday, and well into the 30s to near 40º by Tuesday. Lows will sit down in the 20s both night.

By Wednesday a front or weak wave could spread some mixed rain and snow showers through here, but by late week a cold front will be working toward the region and it may hook up with a coastal storm being induced to form due to an upper low swinging into the eastern U.S.

This could produce a legit coastal snowstorm that could impact parts of our region, but I will keep you updated as it is still just a signal for now.

I hope you have a great day!

“Follow your bliss and the universe will open doors for you where there were only walls.”
― Joseph Campbell

YOUR NUTSHELL:
–Patchy black ice this morning abates later, giving way to a mostly cloudy day, highs mid 30s to low 40s
–Clouds thicken, dry through about mid-afternoon then showers works into northern CT and spread northeast thru the entire greater WMass region
–Rainy evening ahead, with dropping temps in the high terrain above 1000 feet where freezing rain is expected to develop
–Northern and eastern Berkshires, western hilltowns, northern CMass, the southern Greens of SVT, and colder parts of SWNH (esp. eastern Cheshire County) could see a glaze up to a quarter inch of ice accretion by Sunday morning
–Lows are in the 30s, and as the storm swings east, we may end as some sleet or snow showers Sunday morning
–Highs Sunday will reach the 30s to 40º then fall back as westerly winds pick up by afternoon and evening, gust 25-40mph at times, maybe higher
–Some snow showers or a snow squall band moves through at night, wind chills in the single digits, lows upper teens to mid 20s
–Monday is cold and fair with highs in the upper 20s to mid 30s, with milder temps Tuesday (mid 30s to low 40s) with some rain or snow showers overnight into Wednesday
–Cold front arrives toward Thursday, and may hook up with a developing coastal low to produce snowfall somewhere in our region, details to follow in coming days