Good morning folks, well we’ve got some showers and breezes rolling into the greater WMass region from east to west through the region this morning, as expected. Our ocean nor’easter has formed to our south, come north today, pulled west tomorrow, and then eject northeast Monday for 3 days of showery and gusty periods. It’s steady as we go at this point, definitely not a blockbuster for us here in inland areas, though the rain and wind should peak later tonight into Sunday morning with pockets of heavy rain and stronger gusts.

For today, expect periods of showers to continue mixed in with activity lulls and breezy conditions. Most gusts should stay in the 20-35mph range, though some folks could be gusting to 40mph or so in the afternoon and early evening.

Highs will hang in the upper 50s to mid 60s today, and drop to either side of 50º tonight with patchy fog possible late.

In addition, it’s this overnight period into Sunday morning when the storm will make its farthest-north track to a position somewhere south of central or eastern Long Island NY, and then track westward in some fashion toward the NJ coastline on Sunday.

While it’s out of my coverage region, I did want to mention that the long fetch and piling of ocean water due to onshore wind for many days now is already causing big flooding problems along parts of the NJ shore, and that is where the worst of the flooding will be in the northeast U.S.

The Cape and Islands will see some flooding, especially at Five Paths in Vineyard Haven and on Nantucket (steamship service has been suspended to MV & ACK), but here in the greater WMass region we’ll only see some isolated areas of street flooding, most likely overnight into Sunday morning.

In addition, east to northeast wind gusts will peak tonight, probably in the 30-45mph range for most of us, and possibly up to 50mph or so in a few high terrain spots, especially along and south of the Pike.

This could cause some isolated outages and areas of downed leaves that (when pasted to wet roads) can become quite slick, so be mindful when you’re out driving tonight and tomorrow.

After the peak Sunday morning, our storm will continue to track toward NJ and the peak of gusts should also pass to our west, leaving us with scattered showers throughout the afternoon and night with lesser gusts of 15-30mph, occasionally to 35mph. Highs again reach the 50s to low 60s, with lows either side of 50º and patchy fog possible.

By Monday, our storm has weakend near the Mid-Atlantic coast, and it will then be ejected northeast through the day and night, which means more breezy conditions and periods of showers in our region. Highs will be similar to this weekend.

Rain should quit sometime Monday night, with perhaps a few showers Tuesday morning, and all in all, I think 1-4” of rain should do it for most of us. Some east-facing hilltown areas could see over 4”, and some towns west of the central and northern Berkshires, or west of the southern Greens in southwest VT may even see under an inch due to drying/downsloping effects.

By Tuesday, we’ll turn partly sunny and warm into the mid ot upper 60s, and by Wednesday into Thursday, we’ll warm further with more sunshine and highs in the upper 60s to mid 70s for a touch of late-summah warmth after our 3 days of wet and wind.

Have a great day and again, if you’re in the high terrain (or anywhere where roads become covered with wet leaves this weekend) take it slow!

“Follow your bliss and the universe will open doors for you where there were only walls.”
― Joseph Campbell

YOUR DAILY NUTSHELL(S)
SATURDAY:
–Periods of rain and wind today, lulls mixed in
–Gusts up to 25-40mph at times through the afternoon
–A heavier band of showers around mid-day possible, and again overnight
–Wind should peak in gusts 30-45mph tonight into Sunday morning
–50mph possible in some high terrain areas, with isolated outages
–Highs upper 50s to mid 60s, lows either side of 50º, patchy fog late

SUNDAY:
–Periods of showers and wind continue, peaking Sunday morning
–By afternoon, scattered showers expected with lesser wind gusts
–Scattered showers and breezy Sunday night
–Highs upper 50s to mid 60s, lows upper 40s to mid 50s, patchy fog late

MONDAY:
–Mostly cloudy, highs mid 50s to low 60s
–Storm weakens, fills and tracks from NYC metro northeast through southern New England
–This brings more showers, rainy periods, and breezy conditions through our region Monday into Monday evening before dissipating
–A total of 1-4” of rain expected for most of us by Monday night
–Lows dip into the upper 40s to mid 50s

TUESDAY-THURSDAY:
–Partly sunny skies develop Tuesday as high pressure pushes the storm seaward
–Mostly sunny by Wednesday and Thursday
–Highs mid to upper 60s Tuesday, then upper 60s to mid 70s Wed. & Thurs.
–Lows in the low to mid 50s

FRIDAY:
–A front approaches with some showers possible
–Highs in the upper 60s to mid 70s

YOUR DAILY CELESTIALS
STAR:
–OUR STAR ROSE AT: 6:42am this morning
–OUR STAR SETS AT: 6:40pm this evening
–TOTAL DAYLIGHT TIME: 11 hours 58 minutes

MOON:
–OUR MOON RISES AT: 6:27pm this evening
–MOON RISE DIRECTION: East
–OUR MOON SETS AT: 7:44am tomorrow morning
–MOON SET DIRECTION: West-Northwest
–MOON PHASE: Full Harvest Moon