Good morning folks, we’ve got one more nice day ahead with mostly sunny skies expected along with easterly gusts up to 20-35mph at times today as the pressure gradient between our high north and developing ocean low south squeezes and steepens, producing easterly flow into the region. A multi-day moderately-potent (for the WMass region) nor’easter is on the way for our weekend, winding down Monday, with moderate to heavy rain at times, northeasterly gusts up to 40mph or so, elevated areas of isolated outages, areas of leaf-down which can cause ponding of roads and slippery patches, and a general stormy Fall feel so let’s jump into the details.

For this morning, it got cold! Some areas even reached the freezing mark in SVT and SWNH, which I did not expect, and we saw some low to mid 30s in parts of WMass as well, notably 33º in Cummington, MA. Patchy dense fog will also burn off (North Adams, MA had a quarter mile visibility) and reveal a lovely, and mostly sunny Thursday.

High temps will reach the upper 50s to mid 60s, and given that pressure gradient overhead, we’ll see easterly winds gust 20-35mph at times as temps come up into the peak daylight hours.

Clouds will increase tonight with lows in the 40s, and I think Friday will be mostly dry with highs in the low to mid 60s and a few showers tracking northWESTward into the region as our low bobs north towards the Cape and Islands with its counterclockwise flow of rain bands around its center.

By late Friday afternoon or evening, showers should increase with time, and by late Friday night into Saturday morning our storm should be underway with waves of rain and showers tracking into our region as the storm tracks north toward somewhere between Nantucket and Block Island.

What it does after that is still a bit of a mystery, with the thought that the upper low will still capture it as that upper feature swings in from the Ohio Valley towards the coastline, pulling it back west for a time.

How far west it goes, and how far north the surface low makes it before any pull to the west, will impact how much rain and wind is allowed to reach the greater WMass region.

This northward track, then westward track with storm weakening, followed by a stall and then a swing east-northeast and out to sea is most likely what will transpire with the closest pass of the storm’s strongest zenith impacting us both weekend days with periods of rain, highs in the mid 50s to low 60s, and northeast gusts of 25-40mph.

I think most of us should see anywhere from 1-3” of rainfall from this system: if it doesn’t get as close, then it’s more towards 1”, if it gets closer and a bit stronger, then up to 3” or so is possible.

Those totals are through Monday mid-day. Lows, again, will hang either side of 50º.

By Monday, our storm’s western extent will have been realized and it will stall and then already be heading back east along with our upper low, so some scattered showers are expected with breezy conditions on Monday, but less rain and less wind is expected to kick off next week.

Fair, sunnier, and milder weather should arrive by Monday night through mid-week with highs into the 60s expected.

I will continue to keep you updated. This won’t be the blockbuster storm of 2026, but it’ll be quite “New England-y” this weekend, let’s leave it at that. ;-)

Have a great day!

“Follow your bliss and the universe will open doors for you where there were only walls.”
― Joseph Campbell

YOUR DAILY CELESTIALS
STAR:
–OUR STAR ROSE AT: 6:39am this morning
–OUR STAR SETS AT: 6:43pm this evening
–TOTAL DAYLIGHT TIME: 12 hours 4 minutes

MOON:
–OUR MOON RISES AT: 5:45pm this afternoon
–MOON RISE DIRECTION: East
–OUR MOON SETS AT: 5:24am tomorrow morning
–MOON SET DIRECTION: West
–MOON PHASE: Waxing Gibbous (94.5% Illumination)

YOUR DAILY NUTSHELL(S)
THURSDAY:
–Cold start, 30s and 40s, patchy fog
–Mostly sunny, fair weather, breezy
–Easterly gusts of 20-35mph at times
–Highs upper 50s to mid 60s
–Lows in the 40s
–Clouds build late Thursday night

FRIDAY:
–Our transition day with increasing clouds ahead of our weekend nor’easter
–Highs reach the low to mid 60s, dry for much of the day
–First showers expected east of I-91 by late afternoon into early evening
–Showers expand northwest into our region overnight into Saturday
–Breezy conditions, gusts 20-35mph at times, lows either side of 50º

SATURDAY-SUNDAY:
–Periods of rain and wind
–Highs mid 50s to low 60s
–Lows either side of 50º
–Northeast gusts blow 25-40mph at times
–Some gusts over 40mph at times in the high terrain
–Isolated outages possible in elevated areas
–Some areas of street flooding or ponding possible with waves of heavier rainfall
–Areas of leaf-down may clog some drains to cause ponding
–Slippery road areas due to leaf-down possible
–Bulk of rain falls by Sunday night
–Generally, 1-3” of rain expected, maybe a bit more in some areas

MONDAY:
–Storm and upper low start to pull away
–Areas of scattered showers expected
–Highs mid 50s to low 60s, lows in the 40s

TUESDAY-WEDNESDAY:
–Fair weather, drier conditions, partly sunny, highs in the 60s