Dave's Daily Report

February 17, 2026

7:33 am

3 POTENTIAL WINTER STORM IMPACTS INCLUDING TOMORROW… WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES MAY BE NEEDED FOR AT LEAST NORTHERN MASS UP INTO SVT / SWNH…MORE SNOW/RAIN FRIDAY...

Good morning everybody, the Winter of 2025-26 continues to drag on, despite the fact that we’ve moved past the heart of the winter season in terms of that deep Arctic cold which none of us will forget, especially after a series of milder winters over the past decade. To that notion of persistence, more accumulating snow is on the way tomorrow, especially the further north you go. Your Nutshell follows, with the full report below that.

YOUR NUTSHELL:
–Some patchy freezing drizzle or light snow showers possible this morning
–Otherwise mostly cloudy, with a few sunny breaks possible by late day
–Highs upper 30s to low 40s, lows in the mid to upper 20s with thickening clouds
–Wednesday is overcast with snow, sleet and rain arriving from west-northwest to east-southeast by late morning, highs in the low to upper 30s form north to south
–Colder air slowly works south during the afternoon, changing areas of rain or ice mix over to snow mostly north of the MA/CT state line
–Mix or snow should make it all the way to northern CT by the pre-midnight hours of Wednesday night
–A Coating to 2” along and south of the Pike with 2-5” north of the Pike looks probably, with a few 5”+ amounts possible in far northwest MA up into the southern Greens
–Lows in the upper teens to mid 20s
–Thursday loos nice with mostly sunny skies and highs in the mid to upper 30s with lows in the low 20s on Thursday night
–More clouds increase ahead of a warm front on Friday, with snow changing to mix or rain Friday afternoon into the evening, with more snow accumulation possible for some of us
–The weekend through Monday remains uncertain with potential for more snow showers as temps cool into Sunday and Monday
–A low potential exists for a major snowstorm on Monday, but as of now, it’s more likely light to moderate impacts could result south of the Pike

Before we get there, we have a few snow showers, flurries and patchy freezing drizzle spots this morning, but it shouldn’t amount to much. Just keep a light awareness if you are traveling and if you see any light mist, just take it easy.

Otherwise, this weak system blows through this morning and then we’ll dry out with highs reaching the upper 30s to low 40s under mostly cloudy skies with some patchy breaks of partial sun possible late in the day. Lows tonight will dip into the mid to upper 20s.

Clouds thicken Wednesday, and then by about late morning to mid-day we’ll see rain or a mix south of the Rt. 2 corridor with snow or a mix north of there in northern MA, SVT and SWNH, changing to snow in those northern areas first, as colder air seeps south toward the Pike through WMass and CMass.

At this point, I think we’ll see a change to all snow down towards the southern Berkshires, northern Hampden County and much of Worcester County, but there will be a zone of sleet or freezing rain, and possibly plain rain in southern MA down into northern CT by mid to late afternoon – a transition zone.

Cold air should eventually make it into northern CT by early to mid evening, but precip will wind down by midnight so while everyone should eventually change to snow, it will be too little too late for some southern areas of the greater WMass region.

All in all, I am sticking with a coating to 2” of wet snow along and south of the Pike with some sleet in there, and 2-5” of wet snow north of the Pike with heavier amounts up by the Rt. 2 corridor on north into SVT and SWNH. In fact, some areas of the southern Greens, northwest hilltowns or northern Berkshires may see over 5” in spots.

Everything winds down at night with lows mostly in the 20-25º range, so Wednesday evening into Thursday morning looks slippery given the expected snow.

Thursday follows, and looks lovely with highs either side of 40º, some melting, and mostly sunny skies, with lows dropping to either side of 20º.

By Friday, clouds will be increasing again as a storm pushes into western NY, which may prompt a secondary low to form south of New England. Highs will reach the mid to upper 30s.

As of now, snow will develop by Friday afternoon, and depending on strength of the secondary low could keep any change to rain at bay, resulting in another light to moderate snow event winding down late Friday night.

Beyond that, we’re a bit milder Saturday with breezy conditions behind the storm, followed by cooling air and potential for another substantial snowstorm late Sunday night into Monday, but that’s a long way off and just a signal to monitor for now.

Have a great day and if these reports help you with your biz, your plans, and/or your family life, I’d be grateful for your support day as this community collectively keeps my work churning each year during my annual support drive (link below, thank you):

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