Dave's Daily Report

June 17, 2026

7:32 am

GUSTY-LOOKING THURSDAY WITH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE… A FEW SHOWERS LATER TODAY, BUT OTHERWISE VERY NICE… FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY LOOK HEAVENLY

Good morning folks, if we’re looking into early next week, we’ve got a number of gorgeous days to enjoy between now and then, but we do have two active weather days to note, and that is Thursday (tomorrow) and this coming Monday, with the former featuring strong to severe thunderstorm potential, and the latter hopefully producing some wider-spread more soaking rainfall.

For today, sunshine should be plentiful with highs in the mid 70s to low 80s, though some areas of cloudiness will form in the afternoon when a few isolated to scattered showers are possible. I can’t rule out a couple thunder rumbles, but the main thunder potential holds off until Thursday. Lows tonight will dip into the mid to upper 50s and humidity levels will be tolerable.

By early Thursday morning, though, a warm front extending southeast off of a very strong southern Canadian storm system that will drop to pressures consistent with powerful winter nor’easters off of the New England coastline, which will produce a lot of wind energy aloft with the Thursday storm.

As the storm tracks east-northeast out of the Great Lakes, the warm front will come through with periods of morning showers, and then we’ll enter into the pre-frontal trough zone between the warm front and cold front in the storm’s warm sector.

If we can generate enough clearing of the cloud deck, the warmer the surface can become, any additional instability produced can tap into what will be very strong wind shear aloft.

This should produce a gusty day of southerlies in the 25-40mph range as it is for Thursday with a bit higher humidity and highs in the mid 70s to low 80s, but sunny periods or breaks between fronts could also produce strong to severe thunderstorms capable of localized damaging wind gusts.

The main timeframe for this activity would be 1-7pm.

Everything dissipates with the passage of the cold front Thursday night as lows drop into the low to mid 50s.

A fairly strong pressure gradient behind the front sets us up for a gorgeous Friday through Sunday period with mostly sunny skies, and westerly gusts of 15-30mph at times along with highs in the 70s to 80º and lows in the 50s.

Clouds will likely thicken Sunday night, with a Monday rainstorm possible and some early signals could spell out a soaking rainfall for the region of a half inch to an inch or more, so hopefully that will come to pass as we need the rain!

Thanks for reading, and have a great day!

“Follow your bliss and the universe will open doors for you where there were only walls.”
― Joseph Campbell

YOUR NUTSHELL:
–Lovely high pressure day with highs in the mid 70s to low 80s
–Lower humidity, though a few isolated showers possible later this afternoon
–Thunder rumble possible, with lows in the mid to upper 50s
–Clouds increase overnight, and a warm front passes through with scattered showers Thursday morning
–Between the warm front and evening cold front, if we clear skies enough, we could develop some scattered strong to severe thunderstorms
–Thursday looks gusty anyway behind the warm front, with southerly gusts of 35-40mph
–However, strong to severe thunderstorm wind gusts of 40-65mph is possible a couple of cells if conditions maximize
–Highs Thursday reach the mid 70s to low 80s with increased humidity, followed by some showers in the evening and lows dropping into the 50s
–High pressure builds in for Friday through Sunday with mostly sunny skies and highs in the 70s to near 80º
–Westerly winds could gust 15-30mph at times Friday through the weekend, though Sunday is likely less gusty
–Lows will be in the 50s, and a few isolated lighter showers are possible each weekend afternoon
–Clouds thicken Sunday night, with potential for a stronger rainstorm on Monday if the storm tracks close enough to the southern New England coastline
–Highs hang in the 70s to low 80s into early next week as upper level troughing to our north suppresses heat and humidity to our south, for now

YOUR DAILY CELESTIALS
STAR:
–OUR STAR ROSE AT: 5:13am this morning
–OUR STAR SETS AT: 8:28pm this evening
–TOTAL DAYLIGHT TIME: 15 hours and 15 minutes

MOON:
–OUR MOON RISES AT: 7:49am this morning
–MOON RISE DIRECTION: Northeast
–OUR MOON SETS AT: 11:08pm this evening
–MOON SET DIRECTION: Northwest
–MOON PHASE: Waxing Crescent (8.3%)

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