Good morning folks, we have a varied temperature profile across the region with temps in the mid 30s on up into the mid 50s, in some cases only 10 miles apart! We do have cold sinks where colder air pools, so that’s no doubt part of it, and we’re breezy already this morning as the pressure gradient continues to keep the air moving from high pressure to low pressure, which I learned from Meteorologist Tim Kelley, who I’ve looked up to for decades. Our weekend nor’easter has formed to south, so let’s jump into the AM update!

For this morning, it’s quite nice! Breezy, but mostly sunny, and despite the early chill for some, we’ll warm into the mid to upper 60s as partly cloudy skies develop, first in eastern CT and southern CMass, then spreading northwest to produce mostly cloudy skies by later this afternoon. The last to lose the sun will be the Berkshires up into SVT.

Before I jump into impacts, the main thing I am observing is that this storm is unlikely to get all that close to the southern New England coastline. Sure, it will get close enough to cause problems in far southern and southeastern New England, and it will produce some impacts in the greater WMass region that aren’t to be minimized, but I don’t think we see the full brunt this storm *could* deliver because as it comes north, it gets pulled northwest then west towards southern NJ before even making it to the south coast of Long Island.

What this does it make it more likely that we see a bit less rain in areas along and north of the Rt. 2 corridor, and more wind in the high terrain south of the Rt. 2 corridor, especially along and south of the Pike, where the best chance of isolated outages will be.

Gusts up to 50mph will be possible in these areas, and I remain concerned for slippery patches of wet, leaf-covered road ways in the high terrain, so watch for that over the weekend.

Backing up, we’ll see some scattered showers by later tonight into Saturday morning, and a few could be on the heavier side as the first bands rotate northwest into our region with lows in the low to mid 50s overnight.

Morning showers may move into a lull period with only scattered light activity for a time into the early to mid-afternoon before additional rounds of steadier and heavier rain move in and comes in waves Saturday evening, night and through Sunday.

While easterly to northeasterly gusts should continue 20-35mph today, tonight and Saturday morning, they should pick up to 30-45mph at times by later Saturday afternoon, at night and into Sunday morning when Wind Advisories will expire by that time.

Highs over the weekend only make it into the upper 50s to mid 60s, with lows in the 50s.

By Sunday night to Monday night, additional scattered showers and breezy conditions are expected as the weakened storm retrogrades towards New Jersey, and then the entire stacked, upper low / surface low system fills and is ejected east and out to sea through Monday.

Highs Monday reach the upper 50s to mid 60s, and then as sunshine develops Tuesday through Thursday, temps will come up into the 60s Tuesday, and then the upper 60s to mid to upper 70s by mid-week.

I will update further later today, have a great day in the meantime!

“Follow your bliss and the universe will open doors for you where there were only walls.”
― Joseph Campbell

YOUR DAILY CELESTIALS
STAR:
–OUR STAR ROSE AT: 6:41am this morning
–OUR STAR SETS AT: 6:42pm this evening
–TOTAL DAYLIGHT TIME: 12 hours 1 minute

MOON:
–OUR MOON RISES AT: 6:06pm this evening
–MOON RISE DIRECTION: East
–OUR MOON SETS AT: 6:33am tomorrow morning
–MOON SET DIRECTION: West
–MOON PHASE: Waxing Gibbous (98.2% Illumination)

YOUR DAILY NUTSHELL(S)
FRIDAY:
–Mostly sunny early, quickly becoming partly sunny, then mostly cloudy by later afternoon
–Sunny breaks last longest in the Berkshires and SVT
–Easterly gusts 20-35mph at times, breezy
–Highs mid to upper 60s
–Dry during the day, first scattered showers after sunset and overnight
–Lows drop into the low to mid 50s, patchy fog possible
–Scattered showers overnight, especially east of I-91

SATURDAY:
–Periods of rain, some lulls as bands rotate through
–Potential for a drier period with light showers at times in the morning to mid-afternoon
–Highs reach the upper 50s to low 60s
–Northeast gusts pick up from 20-35mph and blow 30-45mph by later afternoon into the night
–Gusts up to 50mph are possible, especially in the high terrain either side of the valley
–Isolated to scattered outages possible Saturday night into Sunday morning
–Rain may become heavy at times by later Saturday afternoon and overnight
–Lows dip into the 50s

SUNDAY:
–Periods of rain and wind in the morning
–Some tapering may occur during the afternoon
–Wind will certainly ramp down by afternoon to gusts of 20-35mph
–Rain tapers to showers, highs in the upper 50s to low 60s
–Scattered showers at night, lows in the low to mid 50s

MONDAY:
–Scattered light to moderate showers
–Mostly cloudy, some sunny breaks late
–Highs upper 50s to mid 60s, breezy
–Lows in the low 50s, rain quits, wind dies down

TUESDAY-THURSDAY:
–Sunshine develops, and temps increase
–Fair weather period
–Highs mid to upper 60s Tuesday
–Highs upper 60s to mid/upper 70s Wednesday into Thursday
–Possible showers by Friday with a cold front