Good morning folks, our patchy fog (dense in some spots) is already in the process of dissipating as temps start to rise and come up and off of the dew point temps. This will reveal a beautiful morning sky, and a very nice summer day ahead which should be mostly dry save for a spot shower, and warm with slowly-increasing humidity. Beyond that, we’re headed back into the soup for late week, so let’s jump into the details.

For today, highs will reach the upper 70s to mid 80s under mostly sunny skies with light southwest wind as weak low pressure tracks east of the Cape and high pressure tracks southeast of the New York / New Jersey Bight out into the western Atlantic Ocean.

This will allow for humidity to start slowly creeping up with southery flow developing, but not so quickly as to produce lots of shower activity, though one or two in the afternoon can’t be ruled out entirely.

Humidity will continue to increase this evening and overnight with lows in the 60s, which will set us up for a much warmer and more humid end to our work week.

For Thursday, humidity will soar in the form of low to mid 70s for dewpoint values, and possibly into the upper 70s! Yuck! Boo! Hiss!

High temps should climb well into the 80s and hit 90º in a few lower Pioneer Valley spots (provided enough partial sunshine is generated, which is always a question on such days). Should those temps come to pass, heat indices will push into the mid 90s or so.

As an upper trough slowly comes east of the Great Lakes, some impulses will be sent eastward ahead of its core, and should help to develop scattered showers, downpours and thunderstorms Thursday (and Friday, which will essentially be a copy of Thursday’s weather as noted above).

One or two of said thunderstorms, should they form, could produce strong gusty winds, torrential rain, and localized flash flooding or street flooding each afternoon / evening.

Lows will hang in the 65-70º range Thursday night, and again, rinse and repeat for Friday and Friday night’s weather conditions, the way it looks now.

By the weekend, our temps may tamp down a touch, but it will still be very warm with highs well into the 80s (mid to upper for many of us, especially in the valley east and south), with more in the way of sunshine especially on Sunday.

I expect partly sunny skies on average for Saturday, with more sun in the morning, and a period of showers or a thunderstorm Saturday afternoon and/or evening.

Lows will drop into the 60s both weekend nights, and for now, Sunday looks like the weekend pick!

By early next week, I believe we’ll see one more surge and heat and humidity for Monday into Tuesday with highs in the 85-90º range with chances at afternoon showers or t-storms Monday afternoon.

By as early as Tuesday morning, a surface low pressure system may be tracking east through northern New England. This has the potential to suppress our Bermuda high (the atmospheric feature responsible for the next several days of heat, humidity and instability) further southeastward and deeper into the western Atlantic Ocean away from New England.

This would bring some rainfall through on Tuesday ahead of a cold frontal passage, possible resulting in a pattern and air mass change by the middle of next week, with drier and cooler air possible.

I will keep you updated as we get closer, and hope you have a great day!

“Follow your bliss and the universe will open doors for you where there were only walls.”
― Joseph Campbell

YOUR DAILY NUTSHELL(S)
WEDNESDAY:
–Patchy fog burns off this morning
–One more lesser-humidity day with highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s
–Isolated shower possible, but likely dry, humidity increases late
–Lows in the low to mid 60s, humidity increases overnight

THURSDAY:
–Humidity surges tomorrow, dewpoints soar into the mid 70s, oppressive, with highs in the 80s to 90º
–Heat index values may climb into the mid 90s in the valley
–100% chance of your Weather Nut sobbing through his confused effusion of tears and perspiration
–Confused Effusion will not be the title of your Weather Nut’s next book
–Scattered showers and thunderstorms expected in the afternoon
–An isolated storm could produce strong gusty winds, torrential downpours and frequent lightning
–Lows dip into the 65-70º range, very humid still, and a few showers possible

FRIDAY:
–Similar to Thursday with highs in the 80s to 90º and very humid conditions
–Heat index values also reach the mid 90s in spots
–Scattered afternoon showers and t-storms are probable (remember scattered means not everyone gets one)
–Lows in the 60s with continued areas of showers possible

SATURDAY-SUNDAY:
–More sunshine than compared to Thursday and Friday
–Highs upper 70s to upper 80s
–A period of showers Saturday afternoon and night possible with a disturbance moving through the region
–Lows in the 60s both nights

MONDAY-TUESDAY:
–Heat and humidity surge once more ahead of a Tuesday cold frontal passage
–Highs reach the 85-90º range with high humidity both days
–Partly to mostly sunny skies Monday
–Partly sunny skies Tuesday
–Scattered afternoon showers Monday
–Low pressure tracking north of us Tuesday may bring a cold front with showers and thunderstorms, and a pattern change to cooler, drier weather by middle of next week, more updates as we get closer

YOUR DAILY CELESTIALS
STAR:
–OUR STAR ROSE AT: 5:47am this morning
–OUR STAR SETS AT: 8:04am this evening
–TOTAL DAYLIGHT TIME: 14 hours and 17 minutes

MOON:
–OUR MOON SETS AT: 1:22pm this afternoon
–MOON SET DIRECTION: West-Northwest
–OUR MOON RISES AT: 11:12pm tonight
–MOON RISE DIRECTION: East-Northeast
–MOON PHASE: Waning Gibbous (57.3% Illumination)