Good morning everybody, we’ve got one more day of this most-anomalous early-season heat and humidity, but similar to the first round in April when it reached the 80s and touched 90º for a day, this will also not last, nor do I see a return to such hot temperatures anytime soon. For today, though, very warm to hot and humid conditions with isolated showers and t-storms south of the Pike is in the cards.

Heat Advisories continue for the Pioneer Valley of WMass down into Hartford County CT and points east through the rest of northeast CT and CMass.

The heat peaked yesterday, so while it will still be very warm to hot, highs will be mostly in the 80s to low 90s under a mix of sun and clouds into this afternoon, with a cold front pushing into the region during the afternoon.

We do not have all of the ingredients necessary to produce severe weather, but enough will be present (including steep low level thermal lapse rates, meaning that in the low levels, temps will cool rapidly) that some showers and thunderstorms will form mostly south of the Pike later on.

A storm or two may become strong to severe with strong gusty winds, but I think the threat overall is less compared to yesterday.

After any activity moves through by this mid to late afternoon, we can’t totally rule out a few showers overnight (again along and south of the Pike) but in generally drying air will be moving into the region.

Temps will crash into the 40s to low 50s for lows with northwest breezes forming, and this will introduce a much drier and cooler Thursday which will bring welcome relief to many.

Highs Thursday and Friday should hang in the mid 60s to low 70s under partly sunny skies Thursday and mostly sunny skies Friday.

Thursday night will be the chilliest of the next stretch of days, with lows in the mid 30s to mid 40s so the Friday morning dog walk will need a couple layers to be donned. By Friday night, lows will sit down squarely into the 40s.

The weekend looks even cooler with highs generally in the 60-65º range under mostly cloudy skies, with a chance for rain most probably during the Saturday afternoon to early Sunday timeframe.

A lot of uncertainty still remains, as this rainfall continues to hold the potential for southwestward suppression by high pressure to our northeast, so I will continue to update as trends hopefully become more clear.

By Memorial Day Monday into Tuesday, fair weather redevelops across the region with highs in the 70-75º range.

Have a great day!

“Follow your bliss and the universe will open doors for you where there were only walls.”
― Joseph Campbell

YOUR NUTSHELL:
–One more very warm to hot and humid day for our Wednesday, then relief arrives
–Highs reach well into the 80s to low 90s in the CT River Valley of WMass and northern CT, points east
–Highs more in the mid 70s to low 80s in the high terrain north and west of the valley
–Isolated to widely scattered showers and thunderstorms mostly south of the Pike today later this afternoon as the cold front comes through
–Strong gusty winds possible with hail in one or two storms, otherwise less to no activity north of the Pike the way it looks now
–Much drier air advects in tonight, lows in the low 40s to low 50s under partly to mostly cloudy skies
–On Thursday, light northwest wind with highs well into the 60s
–Lows Thursday night in the mid 30s to mid 40s, so chilly Friday morning
–Highs 65-70º Friday under mostly sunny skies, lows in the 40s
–Weekend remains uncertain regarding rainfall, but if it does form would likely be Saturday afternoon into the night, ending sometime Sunday
–Highs Saturday and Sunday are the coolest, generally in the upper 50s to mid 60s range with lows in the 40s
–Memorial Day Monday is warmest, with highs back up in the 60s to low 70s, and probably partly sunny
–Highs reach the low to mid 70s by Tuesday

YOUR DAILY CELESTIALS
STAR:
–OUR STAR ROSE AT: 5:24am this morning
–OUR STAR SETS AT: 8:09pm this evening
–TOTAL DAYLIGHT TIME: 14 hours and 45 minutes

MOON:
–OUR MOON RISES AT: 8:54am this morning
–MOON RISE DIRECTION: Northeast
–OUR MOON SETS AT: 12:38am tomorrow morning
–MOON SET DIRECTION: Northwest
–MOON PHASE: Waxing Crescent (18.7%)