TABLE OF CONTENTS:
–DHTWN Reminder (Gratitude Helps)
–Weekly Nutshell (Quick impact list)
–Sponsor Note (Tandem Bagel Co.)
–NWS Alerts (Advisories, Warnings, Watches)
–Celestial Data (Sun/Moon info)
–Regional Summaries (Quick in/out details)
–Morning Discussion (More Details)
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DHTWN REMINDER: Can you swallow food no problem? Do you still have some or all of your human senses intact still? Have you laughed in the past week? Do you have food in your pantry or fridge? If so, these are things worthy of your gratitude. Life could always be worse than it is, so it can be useful to foster thankfulness for whatever it is that you have, now.
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DAVE’S WEEKLY WEATHER NUTSHELL
–Patchy freezing fog, and frost this morning, with Pittsfield reporting 29º at 6am with fog, so watch surfaces
–Colder start in the west where clearing took place, with fog CT River Valley and other spots, and more clouds northeast CT, CMass and parts of SWNH
–Partly to mostly sunny skies this morning give way to more clouds as they bubble up again today with cold air aloft
–Scattered showers redevelop by this afternoon, and should last into tonight and early Thursday morning
–Sunny breaks on Thursday afternoon may pop a few isolated showers
–Friday is the pick of the week with very mild temps in the 60s and no rain expected
–Warm front arrives by Saturday with more rainfall, could be steady or heavier at times, lasting into Saturday evening
–A break in the action first part of Sunday should lead to a stronger system Sunday night into Monday that develops along a cold front driving heavier rains south to north into our region
–Once again, and upper level low meanders around the Great Lakes like this week, but during next week, with more cool and unsettled conditions, but before we jump into the weather story below, let’s check a note from our local and delicious sponsor, #TandemBagelCo, with their newest location in Northampton, MA at the Stop & Shop Plaza on King Street.
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A NOTE FROM OUR SPONSOR:
Dave Hayes The Weather Nut is Sponsored by Individual Community Members, Patrons & Tandem Bagel Company… No matter the weather, Tandem Bagel is always there for you at several valley locations to make your mornings brighter! With bagels baked fresh daily (including Gluten-Free options), house-whipped cream cheese, coffee, and tons of lunch options, Tandem is the perfect quick stop for lunch, breakfast, or a coffee and bagel to go. Find them in Easthampton, Northampton, Hadley, Florence, and West Springfield, or use their super-streamlined online ordering tool by visiting their website.
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***DHTWN DAILY WEATHER REPORT***
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NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALERTS
–None, but patchy freezing fog early is possible, along with patchy fog and frost in spots

DAILY CELESTIAL (STAR):
–OUR STAR ROSE AT: 5:53am this morning
–OUR STAR WILL SET AT: 7:43pm this evening
–TOTAL DAYLIGHT TIME: 13 hours and 50 minutes

NIGHTLY CELESTIAL (MOON):
–OUR MOON WILL RISE AT: 10:24am this morning
–OUR MOON WILL SET AT: 2:24am tomorrow morning
–MOON RISE DIRECTION: Northeast
–MOON SET DIRECTION: Northwest
–MOON PHASE: Waxing Crescent (36.5%)
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DAILY TERRESTRIAL
ZONE 1 – Northern Region 
(Southern VT, Southwest NH) 
–High Temps (Today):  Mid 50s
–Low Temps (Tonight): Upper 30s to Low 40s
–High Temps (Tomorrow): Mid to Upper 50s
–Winds: Light and variable 
–Sky Cover: Mostly sunny early, then clouds develop today, tonight, & Thurs. AM, then breaks of sun
–Precipitation: Scattered afternoon showers again today, lasting into tonight and Thursday morning
–NWS Alerts / Nut Notes: Patchy freezing fog possible early

ZONE 2 – Central Region 
(Western MA, North-Central MA, Northern Litchfield CT)
–High Temps (Today):  Mid 50s to Low 60s
–Low Temps (Tonight): Low 40s
–High Temps (Tomorrow): Upper 50s to Low 60s
–Winds: Light and variable 
–Sky Cover: Mostly sunny early, then clouds develop today, tonight, & Thurs. AM, then breaks of sun
–Precipitation: Scattered afternoon showers again today, lasting into tonight and Thursday morning
–NWS Alerts / Nut Notes: Patchy freezing fog possible early, freezing fog noted in Pittsfield this morning

ZONE 3 – Southern Region 
(South-Central MA, Northern CT) 
–High Temps (Today):  Upper 50s to Low 60s
–Low Temps (Tonight): Low 40s
–High Temps (Tomorrow): Upper 50s to Low 60s
–Winds: Light and variable 
–Sky Cover: Mostly sunny early, then clouds develop today, tonight, & Thurs. AM, then breaks of sun
–Precipitation: Scattered afternoon showers again today, lasting into tonight and Thursday morning
–NWS Alerts / Nut Notes: Patchy fog in spots, frosty
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MORNING DISCUSSION
Good morning folks, we are most definitely stuck in a cool, showery early Spring pattern after a record-breaking warm up earlier in the month, and it shows no signs of abating until at least 10 days from now, so surrendering to it makes more sense than resisting it, as that will prove futile.

(Wow, Dave’s kind of bossy this morning, I’ll huff and puff about it all I want, hmmmpphh!!).

We’ll experience lots of 50s for highs coming up in the near future, folks, though some of us today will hit the low 60s in the Pioneer Valley and points south and east, so that will be nice.

Any morning fog burns off and any morning sunshine gets filtered out as more clouds bubble up today due to steep lapse rates in place (i.e. the gradient from surface to sky that fosters or prevents rising air, and today it’s fostering it).

The surface heats up, the air aloft is already quite cold, the lapse rates steepens, and air rises more readily, producing clouds and, yes, scattered afternoon showers.

This time, this atmospheric field will be perturbed by not only a shortwave moving through which will enhance scattered showers this afternoon and evening, but the upper low itself will finally float overhead overnight into Thursday which should keep the showers going overnight and into Thursday morning before dissipating.

Lows tonight will drop into the upper 30s to low 40s, with light and variable wind today, tonight and tomorrow.

We should see some sunshine develop as Thursday morning transitions into the afternoon, with a few isolated showers possible, but not nearly as numerous as yesterday and what is expected today/tonight, with Thursday highs in the mid 50s to low 60s with lows near 40º.

For Friday, our pick of the week arrives with highs in the upper 50s to mid 60s under partly sunny skies with no showers expected. Lows will drop into the low 40s but clouds will be increasing as a warm front approaches the region.

On Saturday, it looks like a widespread rainfall as a front pushes northeast into the region, and it should last much of the day and into Saturday evening with highs in the low to mid 50s, with lows in the 40s along with some patchy fog.

We could see almost an inch of rain in spots, the way it looks now.

Highs Sunday reach the low 60s behind the front, and while Sunday morning into early afternoon *may* feature mostly cloudy skies without showers, a cold front will be moving in for later afternoon and the night with heavier rainfall expected, lasting into Monday.

Beyond that, we’ll have another cutoff low and upper level system to our west over the Great Lakes, drunk out of its mind, slurring its speech, bumping into things, and generally wandering around in a stupor of insolent stupidity, bringing periods of showers to the region through the week and keeping us cool as well.

Eventually, this pattern will pass, but for now, more clouds and showers are on the way for the foreseeable future.

I hope things go your way today.

BE KIND
“Hello babies. Welcome to Earth. It’s hot in the summer and cold in the winter. It’s round and wet and crowded. On the outside, babies, you’ve got a hundred years here. There’s only one rule that I know of, babies: Goddamn it, you’ve got to be kind.”
–Kurt Vonnegut